Full Slate Breakdown for MLB DFS 5/30:
Get your MLB DFS research started with DFS Army’s Full Count! Pitching advice, stack strategy, home run calls, and everything you need.
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My Take on a Consistent MLB DFS Process – Looking at Pitchers
I always start an MLB slate by looking at pitching, not only do you get a grasp on who the pitchers are that you want to target, but gives you a holistic look at the slate as well. Breaking down pitching also gives you an idea of what offenses are in good spots against bad/vulnerable pitchers. I start my research by going straight to the MLB Carnage Report this is where we can analyze all the pitchers on the slate in a compact, yet detailed manner. Below are the three pitchers that jumped out to me at first glance, good or bad.
- Walker Buehler
- Framber Valdez
- Dylan Bundy
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Atlanta Braves (-120) @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Pitchers:
Braves – Spencer Strider
D’Backs – Zac Gallen
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 8.5. I really love this pitching match-up so I was shocked to see a total at 8.5. Strider has nasty stuff and has been used in kind of a swingman role so far. Gallen, as you guys know, is always one of my favorites. He takes on a very dangerous offense but one that does strike out quite a bit.
ATL 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Austin Riley, Ronald Acuna Jr.
GPP Note: Team ISO of .132 over the last week.
ARI 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Ketel Marte
GPP Note: Team ISO of .178 over the last week.
Milwaukee Brewers (-115) @ Chicago Cubs – Game 1
Pitchers:
Brewers – Ethan Small
Cubs – Matthew Swarmer
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 11. The wind is blowing out at Wrigley! The last time we saw this, I think the D’Backs hit 33 HRs or something along those lines. Small is a bit more talented than Swarmer but neither pitcher is going to be able to defeat the wind and weather in Chicago.
MIL 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Rowdy Tellez, Luis Urias
GPP Note: Team ISO of .112 over the last week.
CHC 5-star plays: Patrick Wisdom
4-star plays: Frank Schwindel, Willson Contreras
GPP Note: Team ISO of .193 over the last week.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs – Game 2
Pitchers:
Brewers – Aaron Ashby
Cubs – Drew Smyly
Rundown:
Waiting on the Vegas information.
MIL 5-star plays: Andrew McCutchen
4-star plays: Luis Urias
GPP Note: Team ISO of .112 over the last week.
CHC 5-star plays: Patrick Wisdom
4-star plays: Frank Schwindel
GPP Note: Team ISO of .193 over the last week.
Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians (-160)
Pitchers:
Royals – Jonathan Heasley
Guardians – Zach Plesac
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 9.5. We get an elevated total between a couple of below-average teams. Neither pitcher excites me so I think we should focus on both offenses. My issue is that neither offense is one that we really want to fully stack. Ramirez-Naylor let me down on Sunday but I am going back to them today.
KC 5-star plays: Andrew Benintendi
4-star plays: Bobby Witt Jr
GPP Note: Team ISO of .153 over the last week.
CLE 5-star plays: Jose Ramirez
4-star plays: Josh Naylor
GPP Note: Team ISO of .102 over the last week.
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets (-185)
Pitchers:
Nationals – Erick Fedde
Mets – David Peterson
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 8.5. The Nationals aren’t an offense we want to fully stack but I could see a few guys performing against Peterson. The Mets are where I want to be in terms of attacking this game. They are rolling at the plate and there are a few Mets with positive BvP against Fedde.
WSH 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Nelson Cruz, Juan Soto
GPP Note: Team ISO of .164 over the last week.
NYM 5-star plays: Pete Alonso
4-star plays: Jeff McNeil
GPP Note: Team ISO of .224 over the last week.
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Miami Marlins (-150) @ Colorado Rockies
Pitchers:
Marlins – Pablo Lopez
Rockies – Ryan Feltner
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 10. Comp crashed, will attempt to get updated this afternoon. Coors game is always in play for us but I tend to play the fade of a first game in Coors. Lopez could be a sneaky play for us.
MIA 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Garrett Cooper, Jesus Sanchez
GPP Note: Team ISO of .130 over the last week.
COL 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Charlie Blackmon, Randal Grichuk
GPP Note: Team ISO of .076 over the last week.
Houston Astros (-180) @ Oakland Athletics
Pitchers:
Astros – Framber Valdez
Athletics – Paul Blackburn
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 7.
HOU 5-star plays: Jose Altuve
4-star plays: Yordan Alvarez, Michael Brantley
GPP Note: Team ISO of .085 over the last week.
OAK 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Ramon Laureano, Chad Pinder
GPP Note: Team ISO of .159 over the last week.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers (-335)
Pitchers:
Pirates – Zach Thompson
Dodgers – Walker Buehler
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 8.
PIT 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Ke’Bryan Hayes
GPP Note: Team ISO of .128 over the last week.
LAD 5-star plays: Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman
4-star plays: Trea Turner, Gavin Lux
GPP Note: Team ISO of .217 over the last week.
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Tampa Bay Rays (-140) @ Texas Rangers
Pitchers:
Rays – Drew Rasmussen
Rangers – Glenn Otto
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 8.
TB 5-star plays: Manuel Margot
4-star plays: Randy Arozarena
GPP Note: Team ISO of .162 over the last week.
TEX 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Nathaniel Lowe, Kole Calhoun
GPP Note: Team ISO of .207 over the last week.
Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox (-170)
Pitchers:
Orioles – Tyler Wells
Red Sox – Rich Hill
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 10.
BAL 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Austin Hays, Ramon Urias
GPP Note: Team ISO of .134 over the last week.
BOS 5-star plays: JD Martinez
4-star plays: Rafael Devers
GPP Note: Team ISO of .248 over the last week.
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San Francisco Giants (-115) @ Philadelphia Phillies
Pitchers:
Giants – Logan Webb
Phillies – Kyle Gibson
Rundown:
This game has opened up with a total of 8.5.
SF 5-star plays: Mike Yastrzemski
4-star plays: Evan Longoria
GPP Note: Team ISO of just .225 over the last week.
PHI 5-star plays: Bryce Harper
4-star plays: JT Realmuto
GPP Note: Team ISO of .118 over the last week.
Minnesota Twins (-160) @ Detroit Tigers
Pitchers:
Twins – Dylan Bundy
Tigers – Beau Brieske
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 8.5.
MIN 5-star plays: Gio Urshela
4-star plays: Carlos Correa, Trevor Larnach
GPP Note: Team ISO of .141 over the last week.
DET 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Harold Castro
GPP Note: Team ISO of .125 over the last week.
San Diego Padres @ St Louis Cardinals (-115)
Pitchers:
Padres – Nick Martinez
Cardinals – Packy Naughton
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 8.5.
SD 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Manny Machado
GPP Note: Team ISO of .070 over the last week.
STL 5-star plays: Paul Goldschmidt
4-star plays: Nolan Arenado
GPP Note: Team ISO of .13 over the last week.
Stacks of the Day: Main Slate
- Boston Red Sox
- New York Mets
- Milwaukee Brewers
MLB Dinger of the Day – Willson Contreras, Chicago Cubs
As always I appreciate everyone who gave the article a read! Feel free to mix it up with me in our coaching forums as news breaks and lock approaches.
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