Full Slate Breakdown for MLB DFS 5/29:
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My Take on a Consistent MLB DFS Process – Looking at Pitchers
I always start an MLB slate by looking at pitching, not only do you get a grasp on who the pitchers are that you want to target, but gives you a holistic look at the slate as well. Breaking down pitching also gives you an idea of what offenses are in good spots against bad/vulnerable pitchers. I start my research by going straight to the MLB Carnage Report this is where we can analyze all the pitchers on the slate in a compact, yet detailed manner. Below are the three pitchers that jumped out to me at first glance, good or bad.
- Max Fried
- Shane McClanahan
- Mackenzie Gore
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Los Angeles Dodgers (-210) @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Pitchers:
Dodgers – Tyler Anderson
D’Backs – Zach Davies
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 9.5. Anderson looked great his last time out but there were some questions about possible forearm issues. I want to believe he is good to go but I have this fear of him leaving after 3-4 innings. We know the Dodgers are dangerous even if they only put up 3 on Saturday.
LAD 5-star plays: Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman
4-star plays: Justin Turner, Trea Turner
GPP Note: Team ISO of .240 over the last week.
ARI 5-star plays: Ketel Marte
4-star plays: Christian Walker
GPP Note: Team ISO of .167 over the last week.
Milwaukee Brewers (-135) @ St Louis Cardinals
Pitchers:
Brewers – Corbin Burnes
Cardinals – Miles Mikolas
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 7. Burnes is certainly better than Mikolas is. The issue is that the MIL lineup isn’t exactly destroying the baseball while STL has the uber-hot Goldschmidt. Both SPs are going to make my pool for the slate with Mikolas being one I expect to be under the radar.
MIL 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Rowdy Tellez, Christian Yelich
GPP Note: Team ISO of .116 over the last week.
STL 5-star plays: Paul Goldschmidt
4-star plays: Tommy Edman
GPP Note: Team ISO of .171 over the last week.
Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins (-190)
Pitchers:
Royals – Zack Greinke
Twins – Sonny Gray
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 8.5. The Twins have been disappointing in this series but this one feels like a spot for them to wake up and get a W. Gray has impressed me quite a bit with the Twins. We just need the Twins offense to find a way to wake up, especially Buxton at the top.
KC 5-star plays: Andrew Benintendi
4-star plays: Bobby Witt Jr
GPP Note: Team ISO of .165 over the last week.
MIN 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Max Kepler, Jorge Polanco
GPP Note: Team ISO of .116 over the last week.
Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals (-120)
Pitchers:
Rockies – Kyle Freeland
Nationals – Josiah Gray
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 9. I prefer the Washington side of this game. Gray has flashed stud-like ability in his young career while the Nats have a few bats that I think could get to Freeland. Cruz is a bat that appears to be heating up and it’s only a matter of time before his HRs begin to show up.
COL 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Brendan Rodgers, Ryan McMahon
GPP Note: Team ISO of .090 over the last week.
WSH 5-star plays: Nelson Cruz
4-star plays: Juan Soto
GPP Note: Team ISO of .080 over the last week.
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Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves (-215)
Pitchers:
Marlins – Elieser Hernandez
Braves – Max Fried
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 8. Hernandez has given up 4 HRs in 9.2 innings against ATL in 2022. That doesn’t seem like a good thing to me, so the Braves should be near the top of our stack list. I know that Fried has had his struggles against MIA but I really love the spot for him at home, as the Marlins aren’t firing on all cylinders.
MIA 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Brian Anderson, Jesus Sanchez
GPP Note: Team ISO of .113 over the last week.
ATL 5-star plays: Matt Olson
4-star plays: Ronald Acuna Jr., Marcel Ozuna
GPP Note: Team ISO of .163 over the last week.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Los Angeles Angels (-120)
Pitchers:
Blue Jays – Jose Berrios
Angels – Patrick Sandoval
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 8.5. Berrios has disappointed me so far while Sandoval has really impressed me. It’s tough to get a handle on this game. Both SPs are certainly capable of putting up GPP-winning performances while both offenses are capable of putting up 7+ runs in any game. Right now, I think I want to keep my exposure to mini-stacks.
TOR 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Vlad Guerrero Jr, Bo Bichette
GPP Note: Team ISO of .184 over the last week.
LAA 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Shohei Ohtani, Mike Trout
GPP Note: Team ISO of .141 over the last week.
Texas Rangers (-120) @ Oakland Athletics
Pitchers:
Rangers – Dane Dunning
Athletics – James Kaprielian
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 7.5. Dunning has flashed some strong upside and that should carry ownership against this weak Oakland squad. Kaprielian hasn’t been as solid in 2022 and that could lead to some positive spots for the Rangers bats. I always prefer playing bats in Oakland when it’s a day game.
TEX 5-star plays: Adolis Garcia
4-star plays: Nathan Lowe, Kole Calhoun
GPP Note: Team ISO of .134 over the last week.
OAK 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Ramon Laureano
GPP Note: Team ISO of .152 over the last week.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres (-210)
Pitchers:
Pirates – Roansy Contreras
Padres – Mackenzie Gore
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 7. I really love this pitching match-up as we get a couple of the MLB’s top pitching prospects coming into the season. Gore has really bounced back from a rough minor league stretch in which he dropped in the prospect rankings (he was once the top MLB pitching prospect). Hard to not consider playing Machado with how great he has been.
PIT 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Michael Chavis
GPP Note: Team ISO of .173 over the last week.
SD 5-star plays: Manny Machado
4-star plays: Eric Hosmer
GPP Note: Team ISO of .091 over the last week.
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New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays (-145)
Pitchers:
Yankees – Luis Severino
Rays – Shane McLanahan
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 6.5. We get a pretty damn good pitching match-up in this one. McClanahan is in such a great spot with how depleted the Yankees lineup is plus they just aren’t producing much at the moment. Severino has flashed his stuff quite a bit this season but he is going to struggle with consistency since it’s been so long since he was on the mound every 5 days.
NYY 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Gleyber Torres, DJ LeMahieu
GPP Note: Team ISO of .132 over the last week.
TB 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Ji-Man Choi
GPP Note: Team ISO of .146 over the last week.
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets (-115)
Pitchers:
Phillies – Zack Wheeler
Mets – Chris Bassitt
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 7.5. I like this pitching match-up quite a bit but Bassitt has shown some struggles recently but I think he bounces back. Wheeler’s K’s have bounced back so he offers plenty of upside with a solid floor. I don’t think I want to stack either side outside of a mini-stack.
PHI 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Nick Castellanos, Kyle Schwarber
GPP Note: Team ISO of .119 over the last week.
NYM 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Pete Alonso, JD Davis
GPP Note: Team ISO of .200 over the last week.
Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox (-185)
Pitchers:
Orioles – Bruce Zimmermann
Red Sox – Nick Pivetta
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 9.5. Can we see some runs in this match-up? I want to see the Red Sox wake up against Zimmermann while we know that Pivetta can give up a few HRs. Boston will find themselves at the top of my notes as my top stack on the slate, no doubt in my mind.
BAL 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Cedric Mullins, Ryan Mountcastle
GPP Note: Team ISO of .135 over the last week.
BOS 5-star plays: JD Martinez
4-star plays: Rafael Devers
GPP Note: Team ISO of .220 over the last week.
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San Francisco Giants (-150) @ Cincinnati Reds
Pitchers:
Giants – Alex Cobb
Reds – Tyler Mahle
Rundown:
This game has opened up with a total of 9. Mahle has had his struggles at home so I am going to go right back to the Giants as a stack after they let me down yesterday. I could see the Reds bats continuing their recent surge of power. They aren’t a very good team but when you are hot, you are hot.
SF 5-star plays: Mike Yastrzemski
4-star plays: Brandon Crawford, Tommy La Stella
GPP Note: Team ISO of just .205 over the last week.
CIN 5-star plays: Mike Moustakas
4-star plays: Kyle Farmer, Tyler Naquin
GPP Note: Team ISO of .179 over the last week.
Cleveland Guardians (-160) @ Detroit Tigers
Pitchers:
Guardians – Triston McKenzie
Tigers – Elvin Rodriguez
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 8. I am all about the Guardians’ side in this spot, especially the two guys listed below. McKenzie offers us a ton of upside against a weak opponent. There isn’t a whole lot to like on the Detroit side right now. I could see a one-off HR from an RHB but I hate relying on the Tigers as one-off options.
CLE 5-star plays: Jose Ramirez
4-star plays: Josh Naylor
GPP Note: Team ISO of .119 over the last week.
DET 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Harold Castro
GPP Note: Team ISO of .117 over the last week.
Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox (-155)
Pitchers:
Cubs – Marcus Stroman
White Sox – Dylan Cease
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 7.5. I think Cease bounces back after a horrendous performance his last time out. The Cubs have flashed power over the last week but they aren’t that powerful of a squad. I expect the White Sox to explode at some point so I am going to trust my guy and end up overweight on them against Stroman.
CHC 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Frank Schwindel
GPP Note: Team ISO of .193 over the last week.
CWS 5-star plays: Jose Abreu
4-star plays: Andrew Vaughn
GPP Note: Team ISO of .142 over the last week.
Houston Astros (-150) @ Seattle Mariners
Pitchers:
Astros – Luis Garcia
Mariners – Marco Gonzales
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 8. The Mariners’ bats are rolling pretty well against the Houston pitchers this weekend. We really could see an offensive ball game here as I am always looking to stack against Marco Gonzales. France and Julio Rodriguez are an EXCELLENT mini-stack.
HOU 5-star plays: Jose Altuve
4-star plays: Yordan Alvarez, Michael Brantley
GPP Note: Team ISO of .101 over the last week.
SEA 5-star plays: Ty France
4-star plays: Julio Rodriguez, JP Crawford
GPP Note: Team ISO of .202 over the last week.
Stacks of the Day: Main Slate
- Boston Red Sox
- Atlanta Braves
- Chicago White Sox
MLB Dinger of the Day – Matt Olson, Atlanta
As always I appreciate everyone who gave the article a read! Feel free to mix it up with me in our coaching forums as news breaks and lock approaches.
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