Today’s May 19th MLB slate is a biggun!…12 games. Corbin Burnes is a clear leader in the DFS Army KScore category . However, his 594 isn’t the highest we’ve seen…just the highest for the slate. Next in line is Max Scherzer at 569, then several others close behind like a Charlie Morton, Shohei Ohtani (seriously…what a freak!), John Means, Trevor Rogers and even Zach Eflin. So, you can see we don’t build pitchers solely off KScore….it’s merely a very helpful metric.
We can, though, build stacks off the bottom priced guys. Algorithms have things figured out and there is strong correlation to cheap guys with increased chances of getting shelled. Several pitchers fall under the $6500 Fanduel salary mark tonight: Kelly (ARI), Yarborough (TB), Skubal (DET), Gilbert (SEA), Yang (TEX), and Cahill (PIT). Targeting these guys isn’t the dumbest thing you could do.
Easy DFS MLB Links…
The DFS Army crew has you covered today with tools and content all day long. Starting with our Full Count slate breakdown, grabbing an overview of the slate has never been faster.
Our Leverage Stacks and Ownership Report rank the best offenses to stack.
And, the detailed notes in our MLB Cheatsheets show you exactly where to gain leverage over the field in your big money tournaments.
May 4, 2021; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Detroit Tigers left fielder Robbie Grossman (8) steals second base and takes third when Boston Red Sox shortstop Xander Bogaerts (2) misses the ball during the sixth inning at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports
MLB DFS Tournament Winning Power Picks
Baseball is a streaky, volatile sport. Choosing those hot hitters often comes down to matchups and short sample statistics pointing out batters currently on a tear. Below is a list of players hitting for high wOBAs and ISOs over a 14-day stretch. Look into these hitters tonight when constructing your lineups. Some are obviously chalk, while others will be flying well under public radars…
Braves – William Contreras, Austin Riley
Red Sox – Xander Bogaerts, Bobby Dalbec
Cubs – Ian Happ (note Kris Bryant fell of the list….he was on it for weeks.)
Indians – Jose Ramirez
Rockies – Garret Hampson
Tigers – Jeimer Candelario
Astros – Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez, Kyle Tucker (when you see three or more, consider a huge stack!)
Royals – Carlos Santana
Dodgers – Chris Taylor, Max Muncy, Will Smith, Gavin Lux
Marlins – Jazz Chisholm
Yankees – Aaron Judge
Athletics – Matt Olson, Ramon Laureano
Phillies – Nick Maton (Bryce Harper also lived on this list for weeks, but he gone)
Pirates – Jacob Stallings (has given me two low-owned homers in the past couple weeks…thank you #TheList)
Cardinals – Nolan Arenado
Rays – Austin Meadows, Ji-Man Choi, Yandy Diaz, Willy Adames
Blue Jays – Bo Bichette, Teoscar Hernandez, Vladimir Guerrero Jr (Bichette returns….and so will Bryce and Kris Bryant at some point)
Nationals – Trea Turner, Kyle Schwarber, Josh Bell
These above names are hitting over .400 wOBAs and over .200 ISOs over the last two weeks. I want more of these players in my lineups, and as a result, I will boost/adore every name above in our Domination Station Optimizer as part of my daily process. If this list is too small for your tastes, expand by loosening the woba criteria from “above .400” to “above .375” or such and watch your list grow.
Team Offenses with MLB Tournament Winning Upside Tonight!
Correlation is king in MLB DFS, especially when it comes to winning a big tournament. Stacking up multiple hot hitters from the same team is by far the most common technique to leverage fantasy points. Which formations work best on tonight’s slate? We back-tested over two years worth of slates and put together a hyper-simple graphic showing the optimal MLB stacking formations.
Phillies – 710
Red Sox – 704
Dodgers – 674
Mariners – 673
Astros – 670
Above are the top 5 WScores combining a pitcher’s tendency to give up production and an opposing offense’s ability to create production. These teams are in position to potentially unload tonight.
Top Chalk Offenses to Consider Fading
MLB DFS is the ultimate contrarian sport. The goal to winning a life-changing tournament is NOT to build the optimal lineup like so many sites try to teach you. The goal to win life-changing money is to score the most points! That sounds the same, but it is quite different. In baseball, we often build sub-optimal lineups that have similar chances to scoring the most points in a given night to dodge the popular “chalk.” The chalk fails in MLB DFS more than any other sport, which leaves us tremendous opportunity in taking a road slightly less traveled for the nights we are right and the sinking Titanic drags large chunks of the population to the bottom of the ocean with it as it sinks.
Nationals – 100
Red Sox – 99
Braves – 76
But, don’t forget the huge slates really disperse ownerships. It’s not hard to get “unique” on large slates, and you can even get away with hardly worrying about it at all.
Unlock our complete MLB Leverage Stacks Tool and see which teams will generate the most leverage for your lineups tonight!
Put the power of time-saving tools and research on your side. Ask our coaches questions to learn even more winning techniques. And, exploit your edge faster by letting us do your heavy lifting! See our VIP Membership Pricing and gain access to every sport, every tool, and every coach before tonight’s games lock!!
See More of Today’s Great Content!
NBA First Look – Playoffs
NFL Season Long Best Ball Strategy
NASCAR Cup Series Research
This Week in PGA
and more!
