Full Slate Breakdown for MLB DFS 4/29:
Get your MLB DFS research started with DFS Army’s Full Count! Pitching advice, stack strategy, home run calls, and everything you need.
Happy MLB Season and welcome to another year of the DFS Army MLB Full Count! You have to start your research somewhere, and oftentimes going game by game and breaking down every matchup and its key players is the first step in our process. My name is Eric, @Razzle11Grinds on Twitter, make sure to give me a follow as I’ll occasionally make updates to the advice in the article out on Twitter as well as inside our coaching forums. With that said, let’s get it started!
My Take on a Consistent MLB DFS Process – Looking at Pitchers
I always start an MLB slate by looking at pitching, not only do you get a grasp on who the pitchers are that you want to target, but gives you a holistic look at the slate as well. Breaking down pitching also gives you an idea of what offenses are in good spots against bad/vulnerable pitchers. I start my research by going straight to the MLB Carnage Report this is where we can analyze all the pitchers on the slate in a compact, yet detailed manner. Below are the three pitchers that jumped out to me at first glance, good or bad.
- Trevor Bauer
- Carlos Rodon
- Aaron Nola
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New York Yankees (-180) @ Baltimore Orioles
Pitchers:
Yankees – Jordan Montgomery
Orioles – Jorge Lopez
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 9.5. I think the Yankee bats are waking up a bit and they get a pitcher who has given up plenty of HRs at the MLB level. Montgomery is an arm that I love using but I wish he offered a bit more consistency. He gets a great match-up overall and he’s a strong road favorite in this game.
NYY 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Aaron Judge, Brett Gardner
GPP Note: The Yankees love hitting HRs against the Orioles.
BAL 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Cedric Mullins, Austin Hays
GPP Note: Looking at one-offs and mini-stacks at this point.
Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox (-145) – Game 1
Pitchers:
Tigers – Casey Mize
White Sox – Carlos Rodon
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 8.5. Rodon is in a GREAT spot to rack up Ks, as long as he has some control tonight. He has a walking issue and wasn’t very sharp in his first start after the no-hitter. Mize is the former number 1 overall pick and has flashed the talent but this match-up isn’t for him as the White Sox are swinging the bat really well of late.
DET 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Miguel Cabrera, Jonathan Schoop
GPP Note: Detroit is striking out 35% of the time against RHPs.
CWS 5-star plays: Yoan Moncada
4-star plays: Tim Anderson, Yermin Mercedes
GPP Note: Team average of .319 over the last week.
Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox – Game 2
Pitchers:
Tigers – Matthew Boyd
White Sox – Dylan Cease
Rundown:
Waiting on Vegas information.
DET 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Miguel Cabrera, Jonathan Schoop
GPP Note: Detroit is striking out 35% of the time against RHPs.
CWS 5-star plays: Yoan Moncada
4-star plays: Tim Anderson, Yermin Mercedes
GPP Note: Team average of .319 over the last week.
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Boston Red Sox (-121) @ Texas Rangers
Pitchers:
Red Sox – Martin Perez
Rangers – Kyle Gibson
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 8.5.
BOS 5-star plays: Xander Bogaerts
4-star plays: Rafael Devers, JD Martinez
GPP Note: Team OPS of just .628 over the last week.
TEX 5-star plays: Nick Solak
4-star plays: Joey Gallo, Charlie Culberson
GPP Note: Solak is 10 for 23 over the last week.
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Oakland Athletics (-111) @ Tampa Bay Rays
Pitchers:
Athletics – Chris Bassitt
Rays – Shane McClanahan
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 8.
OAK 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Ramon Laureano, Jed Lowrie
GPP Note: Team ISO of just .109 over the last week.
TB 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Randy Arozarena, Mike Zunino
GPP Note: Team ISO of just .129 over the last week.
Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves
Pitchers:
Cubs – Adbert Alzolay
Braves – Bryse Wilson
Rundown:
Waiting on the Vegas information.
CHC 5-star plays: Anthony Rizzo
4-star plays: Kris Bryant, Javy Baez
GPP Note: The Cubs are striking out at a 30.4% rate over the last week.
ATL 5-star plays: Ronald Acuna Jr
4-star plays: Freddie Freeman, Ozzie Albies
GPP Note: Team ISO of .245 over the last week.
Philadelphia Phillies (-121) @ St Louis Cardinals
Pitchers:
Phillies – Aaron Nola
Cardinals – Kwang Hyun Kim
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 7.
PHI 5-star plays: Rhys Hoskins
4-star plays: JT Realmuto, Nick Maton
GPP Note: Team ISO of .171 over the last week.
STL 5-star plays: Tyler O’Neill
4-star plays: Tommy Edman, Dylan Carlson
GPP Note: Team ISO of .126 over the last week.
Los Angeles Dodgers (-153) @ Milwaukee Brewers
Pitchers:
Marlins – Trevor Bauer
Brewers – Eric Lauer
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 7.5.
LAD 5-star plays: Justin Turner
4-star plays: Mookie Betts, Chris Taylor
GPP Note: Team ISO of .152 against LHPs this season.
MIL 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Kolten Wong, Avisail Garcia
GPP Note: Team OBP of just .289 against RHPs this season.
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Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros
Pitchers:
Mariners – Yusei Kikuchi
Astros – Luis Garcia/Kent Emanuel
Rundown:
Waiting on the Vegas information.
SEA 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Kyle Seager, Ty France
GPP Note: Team ISO of .173 over the last week (just a .199 average).
HOU 5-star plays: Alex Bregman
4-star plays: Yuli Gurriel, Jose Altuve
GPP Note: Striking out at just a 19% rate over the last week.
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks (-153)
Pitchers:
Rockies – Antonio Senzatela
Diamondbacks – Luke Weaver
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total of 9.
COL 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Ryan McMahon, Raimel Tapia
GPP Note: Team ISO of just .194 over the last week.
ARI 5-star plays: David Peralta
4-star plays: Nick Ahmed, Daulton Varsho
GPP Note: Team ISO of .235 over the last week.
Stacks of the Day: Main Slate
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Atlanta Braves
- Chicago Cubs
MLB Dinger of the Day – Tim Anderson, Chicago White Sox
As always I appreciate everyone who gave the article a read! Feel free to mix it up with me in our coaching forums as news breaks and lock approaches.
The only thing you are missing at this point is the key to unlock the next level of your game. Come inside and check us out!! We have experts sharing their secrets and experience on a daily basis. Combine that with the actual ability to ask them questions and get quick answers in return gives you a recipe for success that puts our army hats on leaderboards all over the face of DFS.
