Get your MLB DFS research started with DFS Army’s Full Count! Pitching advice, stack strategy, home run calls, and everything you need.
Welcome to another year of the DFS Army MLB Full Count! You have to start your research somewhere, and oftentimes going game by game and breaking down every matchup and its key players is the first step in our process. My name is Eric aka @Razzle11Grinds on Twitter, make sure to give me a follow as I’ll occasionally make updates to the advice in the article out on Twitter as well as inside our coaching forums. With that said, let’s get it started!
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My Take on a Consistent MLB DFS Process – Looking at Pitchers
I always start an MLB slate by looking at pitching, not only do you get a grasp on who the pitchers are that you want to target. But it also gives you an idea of what offenses are in good spots against bad/vulnerable pitchers. I start my research by going straight to the Nilly’s MLB Carnage Report, this is where we can analyze all the pitchers on the slate in a compact, yet detailed manner. Below are the three pitchers that popped out to me at first glance.
- Adrian Houser
- Framber Valdez
- Ian Anderson
Want to see what I have to say about the 3 SPs above? Come join the fun!
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Full Count Breakdown for MLB DFS:
Toronto Blue Jays @ Miami Marlins
Starting Pitchers:
Blue Jays – Undecided
Marlins – Elieser Hernandez
Rundown:
Waiting on Vegas information.
TOR 5-star plays: Randal Grichuk
4-star plays: Vlad Guerrero Jr, Teoscar Hernandez
GPP Note: Team ISO of .194 over the last 6 games.
MIA 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Garrett Cooper
GPP Note: Team ISO of .107 over the last 7 games.
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New York Mets @ Baltimore Orioles
Starting Pitchers:
Mets – Undecided
Orioles – Asher Wojciechowski
Rundown:
Waiting on Vegas information.
NYM 5-star plays: Robinson Cano
4-star plays: Michael Conforto, Dominic Smith
GPP Note: Team ISO of .142 over the last 8 games.
BAL 5-star plays: Ryan Mountcastle
4-star plays: Hanser Albert0, Jose Iglesias
GPP Note: Team ISO of .099 over the last 5 games.
Chicago White Sox (-114) @ Minnesota Twins
Starting Pitchers:
White Sox – Dallas Keuchel
Twins – Michael Pineda
Rundown:
This game has finally opened with a total set at 9. This is an interesting game for me. Pineda is making his return from the suspended list and gets an interesting match-up against a hot White Sox squad (they’ve been hot because they’ve been facing a TON of LHPs). Keuchel isn’t going to blow the Twins away and normally I would be ALL about the Twins against an LHP but they just aren’t hitting right now. Going through a pretty bad slump.
CWS 5-star plays: Tim Anderson
4-star plays: Luis Robert
GPP Note: Team ISO of .222 over the last 5 games.
MIN 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Nelson Cruz, Miguel Sano
GPP Note: Team ISO of .134 over the last 6 games.
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Oakland Athletics @ Seattle Mariners – PPD COVID
Starting Pitchers:
Athletics – NA
Mariners -NA
Rundown:
PPD due to a member of the A’s traveling party testing positive.
OAK 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Marcus Semien, Stephen Piscotty
GPP Note: Team ISO of .144 over the last 5 games.
SEA 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: JP Crawford
GPP Note: Team ISO of .159 over the last 6 games.
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Detroit Tigers @ Milwaukee Brewers
Starting Pitchers:
Tigers – Michael Fulmer/Daniel Norris
Brewers – Josh Lindblom
Rundown:
Waiting on Vegas information.
DET 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Jonathan Schoop, Miguel Cabrera
GPP Note: Team ISO of .160 over the last 6 games.
MIL 5-star plays: Keston Hiura
4-star plays: Omar Narvaez, Christian Yelich
GPP Note: Team ISO of .189 over the last 7 games.
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Cleveland Indians (-) @ Kansas City Royals
Starting Pitchers:
Indians – Zach Plesac
Royals – Matt Harvey
Rundown:
Waiting on Vegas information.
CLE 5-star plays: Francisco Lindor
4-star plays: Tyler Naquin
GPP Note: Team ISO of .172 over the last 6 games.
KC 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Whit Merrifield
GPP Note: Team ISO of .214 over the last 6 games.
St Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds (-156)
Starting Pitchers:
Cardinals – Kwang-Hyun Kim
Reds – Sonny Gray
Rundown:
This game has a total set at 8.5 runs. Kim has allowed just 6 hits and 0 earned runs over his last 12 innings (2 starts). One of those starts came against this CIN squad. He doesn’t flash much for K upside so I think we could get some sneaky Reds bats here even though I think Kim is really solid. Gray is a beast on the mound and has an upside every night he takes the mound. He faced STL just two starts ago and allowed 2 runs in 6 innings. He struggled a bit with control in that game and set a season-high by walking 4 batters.
STL 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Paul DeJong, Tommy Edman
GPP Note: Team ISO of .124 over the last 8 games.
CIN 5-star plays: Eugenio Suarez, Nicholas Castellanos
4-star plays: Aristedes Aquino
GPP Note: Team ISO of .202 over the last 8 games.
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies (-144)
Starting Pitchers:
Nationals – Patrick Corbin
Phillies – Aaron Nola
Rundown:
This game has a total set at 8.5 runs. I am really torn in this spot. Both SPs are very strong and have had success against the opposition. On the other hand, both teams have guys that are pretty hot at the plate right now. I am going to pay attention to some ownership %’s throughout the day to gauge which part of this game I want to be on.
WAS 5-star plays: Trea Turner
4-star plays: Juan Soto
GPP Note: Team ISO of .206 over the last 6 games.
PHI 5-star plays: Rhys Hoskins
4-star plays: Jean Segura
GPP Note: Team ISO of .229 over the last 5 games.
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees
Starting Pitchers:
Rays – Trevor Richards
Yankees – Masahiro Tanaka
Rundown:
Waiting on Vegas information.
TB 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Austin Meadows, Kevin Keirmeier
GPP Note: Team ISO of .222 over the last 6 games.
NYY 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Luke Voit
GPP Note: Team ISO of .148 over the last 7 games.
Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox
Starting Pitchers:
Braves – Ian Anderson
Red Sox – Ryan Weber
Rundown:
Waiting on Vegas information.
ATL 5-star plays: Austin Riley
4-star plays: Freddie Freeman, Marcel Ozuna
GPP Note: Team ISO of .226 over the last 5 games.
BOS 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Alex Verdugo, Rafael Devers
GPP Note: Team ISO of .213 over the last 5 games.
San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies
Starting Pitchers:
Giants – Kevin Gausman
Rockies – Jon Gray
Rundown:
Waiting for Vegas information.
SF 5-star plays: Brandon Belt
4-star plays: Evan Longoria, Brandon Crawford
GPP Note: Team ISO of .169 over the last 6 games.
COL 5-star plays: Nolan Arenado
4-star plays: Charlie Blackmon, Raimel Tapia
GPP Note: Team ISO of .134 over the last 6 games.
Chicago Cubs (-160) @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Starting Pitchers:
Cubs – Jon Lester
Pirates – Chad Kuhl
Rundown:
This game has a total set at 9.5 runs.
CHC 5-star plays: Anthony Rizzo, Kyle Schwarber
4-star plays: Jason Heyward, Ian Happ
GPP Note: Team ISO of .289 over the last 7 games.
PIT 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Erik Gonzalez, Jacob Stallings
GPP Note: Team ISO of .088 over the last 7 games.
Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros (-280)
Starting Pitchers:
Rangers – Luis Garcia/Jordan Lyles
Astros – Framber Valdez
Rundown:
The game has a total set at 8.5 runs. To me, this one is all about Valdez and the safety and upside that he offers our lineups. Has gone for 20+ DK points in 5 straight games and is being allowed to throw a ton of pitches. The Rangers offense just doesn’t scare me at all at this point. The Astros bats have had a few days off but we have seen teams take those few days as rest days and come out strongly.
TEX 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Nick Solak
GPP Note: Team ISO of .111 over the last 6 games.
HOU 5-star plays: Kyle Tucker
4-star plays: Yuli Gurriel
GPP Note: Team ISO of .234 over the last 5 games.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (-260)
Starting Pitchers:
Diamondbacks – Alex Young
Dodgers – Julio Urias
Rundown:
This game has opened with a total set at 9 runs. Young has given up 4 HRs over his last 13.1 innings and that’s a dangerous thing to be allowing when facing the Dodgers (who just set the MLB record for HRs in a month). Urias allowed 2 runs in 6 innings with 5 Ks the first time he faced ARI this season. I wonder when he is going to flash his K upside at this point. Do we just assume he’s just going to settle in at 4-6 K’s per game?
ARI 5-star plays: NONE
4-star plays: Christian Walker
GPP Note: Team ISO of .164 over the last 6 games.
LAD5-star plays: Mookie Betts
4-star plays: Corey Seager, Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy
GPP Note: Team ISO of .198 over the last 6 games.
Stacks of the Day: Main Slate
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- Atlanta Braves
- Cleveland Indians
- Chicago Cubs
MLB Dinger of the Day – Anthony Rizzo
As always I appreciate everyone who gave the article a read! Feel free to mix it up with me in our coaching forums as news breaks and lock approaches.
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