Hey, hey, hey…..it’s your DFS MLB buddy @Choppodong!! I am a coach and contributor inside DFS Army, where our entire goal is teaching you the fundamentals that will make you a better, more competitive player as quickly as possible.
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Remember, this article is designed to get you pointed in the right direction. It’s not a slate write-up and it’s not a player picks piece. I would rather get you started, then have you interact with us in our VIP slack forums as we banter picks and strategies back and forth. Learning MLB the right way is the fastest way to grow your skill level.
DFS Army is about teaching first. This is a video breakdown covering the important parts of today’s slates….you might even get some tips as I walk through my process. Even I don’t know what I’m going to say… (June 1)
Back to Basics
It’s always a good idea to know which teams are scoring runs and which are giving them up. I will simply sort by the last 30 days and rank the teams. Here are your top 10 in terms of runs scored and your top 10 highest team ERAs (worst pitching).
This week, we try to focus on playing the top 10 offenses where it makes sense and attacking the highest 10 team ERAs. If any of them should directly matchup, we look to exploit it pretty hard. For example, on Monday, we get Yankees/Tigers. That’s pretty sweet right out of the gate.
MLB DFS Pitching
We are always looking for the best combination of price, Vegas, strikeout upside, and matchup (ballparks, weather, etc). We will normally be looking to the top tier on Fanduel and will likely come off that a little so we can afford a decent SP2 on Draftkings. Generic rules like that always have exceptions. Be flexible. KScore is the pitcher’s strikeout potential with the opposing team’s vulnerability to striking out. The DFSA Grade is proprietary to our VIPs but will give you guys something to track in terms of a catch-all safety rating.
Main Slate Pitching Roundup
Only four games today…. short and sweet.
So, interesting slate. Godley might take the lead here on strikeout upside alone. We don’t mind attacking SFG and he does have a huge DFSA Grade. I don’t like that he’s a dog, though. The other pitchers have bigger warts though, so he might be our guy due to lack of options more than pure excitement.
Tropeano makes the list for his -180 and steadier hand than the others. Probably a cash game only pitcher if you even use him. I include him because he’s cheaper than Godley and feels safer than German or Teheran.
German might be popular so people can jump into NYY and LAA bats. But, he carries risk, especially since he hasn’t been announced as the starter for the 2nd doubleheader game. The Vegas odds are nice, and the strikeout upside is there. DET isn’t a juggernaut we need to fear.
Teheran is one odd duck. He has upside to shut people down. But, he carries a high ERA and SIERA this year, too. Not safe at all, but we don’t mind attacking Padres. The Padres, however, are another contarian-ish stack that makes sense tonight being that they carry a high implied total for the slate and Teheran struggles with opposing batting averages on both sides of the plate. Again, a great way to attack this slate is with a lot of cheap lineups spread out through gpps rather than one deep cash lineup carrying all of your daily budget.
Want more pitching breakdowns? See MDell’s article our members are raving about – Painting the Black
MLB Pitching to Exploit
I’m not going into much detail here. Just rest assured if our DFSA Grades like the aces with high marks, they are going to hate the scrubs with low marks. For one, Alex Cobb is currently sporting a 13.33ish ERA. Now, it won’t stay that way for long, but get on these guys while they are struggling. That’s what DFS is all about. In parentheses are the bats you should be stacking, especially when it’s also a high-powered offense….
MAIN
Holland (ARI)
Fiers (NYY)
Richard (ATL)
How about some more winning?! I change these screenshots like I change mistresses. Seriously, why are you just taking the free content? Why aren’t you in here receiving the tools, optimizer, and coaching? These guys are, and these guys are dominating the competition.
DFS MLB Bats and Stack Considerations
I focus on attacking the pitchers above, and I love it when I see Vegas supporting the cause or a high powered offense matching up with these attackable pitchers. I will then focus on the better bats within the offense and key in on our batters grading out over 75 in our Research Station. Bear in mind, I’m listing day-to-day and 10day DL guys, too. Your job is to follow the news, or plug into our Slack Channels and get the details as our slates lock for the day.
Main Offenses to Stack
NYY – Judge, Gardner, Andujar, Bird, Torres, Romine
LAA – Trout, Valbuena, Kinsler, Simmons
SFG – Crawford, Sandoval, Longoria, McCutcheon, Hernandez
SDP – Hosmer, Villar, Pirela, Reyes, Margot
Today is odd in that we can both use some of the pitchers and stack against them because either scenario is more than possible.
For more on DFS Stacking, see CeeGee’s article – MLB DFS Top Stacks
#DongCall Time!
This section takes on a change. I will simply leave it at my #200on200 guys for the foreseeable future. Posting pictures on the web is becoming more trouble than it’s worth, and it’s not like many people comment out on Twitter anyway. That’s a shame because it was fun.
#200on200 – #DongCall worthy
MAIN – Goldschmidt, Judge, Torres, Sanchez, Stanton, Andujar
Note ^ the frequent teams and other potential stacks….ummmm Yankees.
Pay attention to the other DFS Army articles like Dong Detector for deeper dives into which bats are in the best spots. Hopefully, your research is started for today. If it feels like it’s pointing in a funky direction, no worries…….I feel just like you right now. Let’s keep our eyes peeled for directions the industry is pointing and re-evaluate as the day goes on. We can zig when they zag or hide in the herd. The choice is ours, and we will be discussing it in our Slack Forums all day long. Join us!
Final MLB DFS Thoughts
For MLB cash games, keep the stacking to a minimum. You can’t afford to grab stack Rockies in Coors and have them fall flat, which they occasionally do. ISO is a great stat to look at with wOBA for hitter-friendly parks. Remember to head over to DFSARMY.com, your one-stop-shop for stats, player recommendations, coaching, winning lineups discussion, and everything DFS related. Use code CHOP to trigger a 10% discount every month as long as you remain a member regardless of any future price increases. You are grandfathered in at your rate permanently!!
Your greatest compliment is helping me spread the word. Retweets and shoutouts are my favorite. Feel free to use #DongCall when you hit yours, too!
