Searching For the Free Square
In the game of Bingo, every card gets an empty spot in the middle called the “Free Square”. Since it’s the middle square, the free square is essentially the ideal spot from which to build lines around. In DFS we define the Free Square as the player to build your lineups around. Generally, this player represents the closest we can find to a sure thing for the slate. This column is all about trying to identify the free square for a particular slate. We are going to be searching most often for one SP, one OF, and one IF. The type of player we are looking for that allows us to load up the rest of our lineup with high salary studs. Occasionally it will be a high priced stud in a great spot, The goal of this column is to use quantitative data to identify the free square for the days Daily Fantasy Baseball slate. Each slate we will take a deep look at three or four players which represent outsized value on the day’s slate of games and choose the one which best represents the top value and floor play to earn the title of the slates Free Square of the night
Recap
Let’s take a look at how our free squares did last night. Our pitcher free square of the day was Dylan Bundy who ended up with right around 26.15 DKFP which was good enough for right around 3.8 value. Our infielder free square of the day was Mike Moustakas who ended up with right around 14 DKFP which would be good enough for right around 3.7x value. Our outfielder free square was Kole Calhoun who ended up with right around 27 DKFP which would be good enough for right around 7.5x value.
Today
Let’s takes a look at the MLB slate for tonight. The teams with the highest implied run total are the Houston Astros (5.15), Chicago Cubs (4.96), and the New York Yankees (4.63) The highest priced pitchers on the slate are the Max Scherzer, Dallas Keuchel, and Alex Wood. The highest priced hitters on the slate are Kris Bryant, Giancarlo Stanton, and Mike Trout.
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Free Squares
- Robbie Ray P ARI ($8,700)
- Robbie Ray and the Arizona Diamondback will take on the Colorado Rockies tonight at home. The Rockies have an implied total sitting at right around 3.67 runs and the Diamondbacks are currently -142 favorites. Chase Field was the 2nd best hitters park last season. Robbie Ray had the following stats on the season last year: .268 wOBA given up to lefties, .285 wOBA given up to righties, 32.8 K%, 10.7 BB%, 3.49 xFIP, 3.53 SIERA, and a 40.4% Hard%. He will be going up against the Colorado Rockies tonight who had the following numbers against lefties on the season last year: 23rd in BB%, 9th in K%, 2nd in OPS, 3rd in ISO, 3rd in wOBA, and 14th in wRC+. Taking a look at our Domination Station we can see that we have a DFS Army Grade of 74.055. Ray has a solid matchup tonight with legit strikeout upside. The Rockies have a small implied run total and I love the price for Ray tonight.
- Didi Gregorius SS NYY ($3,900)
- Didi Gregorius and the New York Yankees will take on the Toronto Blue Jays and pitcher Aaron Sanchez on the road tonight. The Yankees have an implied total sitting at right around 4.63 runs and they are currently -145 favorites. The Rogers Centre was the 22nd best hitters park last season. Didi is likely going to be batting 5th in the order. Didi had the following numbers vs. righties last season: 4.6 BB%, 11.3 K%, .848 OPS, .228 ISO, .285 BABIP, .354 wOBA, and a 120 wRC+. Aaron Sanchez had the following numbers vs. lefties last season: .299 wOBA, 25.0 K%, 16.2 BB%, 3.76 xFIP, and a 32.5 Hard%.Taking a look at our Domination Station we can see that we have a DFS Army Grade of 74.039. The Yankees have one of the highest totals on the board and Didi is going to be hitting 5th in the order tonight. He has good numbers vs. right-handed pitching and I like his price tonight on Draftkings.
- Josh Reddick OF HOU ($3,500)
- Josh Reddick and the Houston Astros will take on the Texas Rangers and pitcher Doug Fister tonight on the road tonight. The Astros have an implied run total sitting at right around 5.15 runs and they are currently -180 favorites. Globe Life Park in Arlington was the 2nd best hitters stadium last season. Reddick is likely going to be batting 5th in the order tonight. Reddick had the following stats on the season last year vs. righties last season: 8.2 BB%, 12.1 K%, 867 OPS, .190 ISO, .329 BABIP, .363 wOBA, and a 131 wRC+. Doug Fister had the following stats against lefties last season: .365 wOBA, 20.1 K%, 11.6 BB%, 4.82 xFIP, and a 39.6 Hard%. Taking a look at our Domination Station we can see that we have a DFS Army Grade of 88.607. Reddick was one of my favorite players to roster vs. right handed pitching last season. With his price tonight it a no-brainer to roster him in the outfield tonight on Draftkings.
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Free Square of the Night
We have a large slate tonight with some solid tournaments across the industry. I hope I have narrowed down some guys that we can look to target. We have tons of tools and content available at the DFS Army this year for MLB so don’t miss out on all of those opportunities to make some money. Click the link “DFS Army VIP Membership” and sign up and join the Army today! With my ultimate free square pick, I am going to go with Mike Moustakas tonight! Good luck Army!
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