Searching For
the Free Square
In the game of Bingo, every card gets an empty spot in the middle called the “Free Square”. Since it’s the middle square, the free square is essentially the ideal spot from which to build lines around. In DFS we define the Free Square as the player to build your line-ups around. Generally, this player represents the closest we can find to a sure thing for the slate. This column is all about trying to identify the free square for a particular slate. We are going to be searching most often for one SP, one OF, and one IF. The type of player we are looking for that allows us to load up the rest of our lineup with high salary studs. Occasionally it will be a high priced stud in a great spot, The goal of this column is to use quantitative data to identify the free square for the days Daily Fantasy Baseball slate. Each slate we will take a deep look at three or four players which represent outsized value on the day’s slate of games and choose the one which best represents the top value and floor play to earn the title of the slates Free Square of the night.
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Tonight
I hope everyone had a good holiday weekend as we are getting near the final stretch of the MLB DFS season. We have a huge 15 game slate ahead of us for this Tuesday night. On the pitching side of things, we are led by Jacob Degrom, Stephen Strasburg, and Justin Verlander. On the hitting side of things, the teams with the highest implied run totals are as follows: Colorado Rockies, Cleveland Indians, and the Boston Red Sox. Let’s dive into the slate:
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Free Squares
- Michael Wacha SP STL ($6,900)
- Michael Wacha and the St. Louis Cardinals will take on the San Diego Padres tonight at Petco Park tonight. The Cardinals are currently -153 favorites and the San Diego Padres have an implied run total sitting at right around 3.80 runs. Wacha has had a decent season so far and he draws a great matchup tonight against the lowly Padres. He has the following advanced numbers on the season: .315 wOBA given up to left handed batters, .330 wOBA given up to righties, 22.0 K%, 7.8 BB%, .329 BABIP, 27.7 Hard%. 4.18 SIERA, and a 3.90 xFIP. He will take on the San Diego Padres who have the following numbers against right handed pitchers on the season: 23rd in BB%, 2nd in K%, 29th in OPS, 20th in ISO, 29th in wOBA, and 28th in wRC+. Wacha is cheap tonight and he draws a great match-up against the lowly Padres. He makes a great SP2 tonight and allows you to have a lot of roster flexibility.
- Michael Wacha and the St. Louis Cardinals will take on the San Diego Padres tonight at Petco Park tonight. The Cardinals are currently -153 favorites and the San Diego Padres have an implied run total sitting at right around 3.80 runs. Wacha has had a decent season so far and he draws a great matchup tonight against
- Salvador Perez C KCR ($3,200)
- Salvador Perez and the Kansas City Royals will take on the Detroit Tigers and pitcher Anibal Sanchez tonight at Comerica Park. The Royals have an implied run total sitting at right around 5.24 runs. Salvador has been one of the better hitting catchers this season and he draws a great match-up against Sanchez tonight. He has the following numbers vs. right handed pitchers on the season: 3.0 BB%, 20.7 K%, .783 OPS, .219 ISO, .296 BABIP, .328 wOBA, and a 101 wRC+. He will take on Anibal Sanchez tonight who has the following numbers vs. right handed batters: 21.6 K%, 3.05 HR/9, 21.6 K%, 6.1 BB%, .362 BABIP, and a 4.41 xFIP. This is a great match-up for the entire Royals team tonight and I love the price and upside against Anibal tonight.
- Salvador Perez and the Kansas City Royals will take on the Detroit Tigers and pitcher Anibal Sanchez tonight at Comerica Park. The Royals have an implied run total sitting at right around 5.24 runs. Salvador has been one of the better hitting catchers this season and he draws a great match-up against
- Denard Span SFG OF ($3,900)
- Denard Span and the San Francisco Giants will take on the Colorado Rockies and pitcher Tyler Chatwood tonight at Coors Field. The Giants have an implied run total sitting at right around 5.22 runs. Span has had an okay year this year and gets the added benefit of playing in Coors Field tonight. He has the following numbers vs. right handed pitching this season: 7.1 BB%, 12.0 K%, .795 OPS, .180 ISO, .340 wOBA, and a 111 wRC+. He will face Tyler Chatwood and he has the following numbers against left handed batters: .356 wOBA, 1.49 HR/9, 18.1 K%, 11.4 BB%, 4.31 xFIP, and a 28.0 Hard%. I always love taking road players at Coors Field and Span fits the bill for me tonight. I also do not mind a Giants stack as well tonight.
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We have a really solid slate tonight and a ton of ways we can go in tournaments. In saying that I hope we narrowed down a few places or players we can target tonight. We have tons of tools and content available at the DFS Army this year for MLB so don’t miss out on all of those opportunities to make some money. Click the link “DFS Army VIP Membership” and sign up and join the Army today! With my free square pick, I am going to go with Royals catcher Salvardor Perez tonight! Good luck Army!
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