Top VALUE Picks | NFL DFS Winning Strategies for Week 10 Draftkings and Fanduel Success

NFL DFS success is predicated by value. Grab the top value picks for Week 10 as indicated by the Domination Station Optimizer.

Top VALUE Picks | NFL DFS Winning Strategies for Week 10 Draftkings and Fanduel Success

Kickstart your excitement for Week 10 of the NFL DFS main slate as we delve deep into the best value plays across every position, all thanks to our trusty NFL Optimizer, aka The Domination Station. I’m Mike, better known as @MadnessDFSbets on Twitter (X). Don’t forget to follow me for real-time updates and insights, and keep an eye out for my comprehensive DFS content throughout the NFL season, extending seamlessly into the NBA season as well, exclusively here at DFS Army.

Let’s dive right in and set the stage for an exhilarating week ahead!

Nov 3, 2024; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (7) runs after catching a pass against the Dallas Cowboys during the second half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

Top Value Quarterbacks:

Justin Herbert ($5.2k vs. Tennessee Titans)

Herbert has looked much better from the eye test over the last three weeks and gets a decent enough matchup in this one. The Titans have been tough against the rush over the last few seasons, but they’ve been better in the secondary this season. That said, this price tag is still too cheap and it’s come down over the last four weeks. The ceiling is still there with him, he’s top 10 in yards per attempt and has a great offensive line in front of him. He’s got some sneaky good stacking pieces as well with McConkey, Palmer, Johnson, and Dissly. The Domination Station has him projected for 16 DraftKings points giving him 3.08x his current price tag.

Brock Purdy ($6.5k at. Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

This is a dream spot for Purdy and this passing game, the Bucs have been atrocious against the pass as of late. They rank dead last in DvP against opposing QBs on the season and he’s got great stacking pieces even with all the injuries they’ve had. Getting Christian McCaffery back in this one will help the floor and guys like Deebo, Kittle, Jennings, and Pearsall all make sense in their respective ranges as well. We have him projected for 19.24 DraftKings points giving him a value multiplier of 2.96x his current salary.

Caleb Williams ($5.6k vs. New England Patriots)

He’s had back-to-back stinkers in terms of fantasy production with 10 and nine DraftKings points, both coming against pretty bad secondaries in the Cardinals and Commanders. The Patriots have a sneaky good secondary but they’re bad enough everywhere else where it just kind of works out for opposing QBs. He’s got nice stacking options but good luck predicting which one will have the big game between DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Keenan Allen, and Cole Kmet. Our lineup optimizer has Herbert projected for 16.29 DraftKings points giving him 2.91x his price tag.

Click here for full Quarterback projections: Domination Station Optimizer

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Running Backs:

Saquon Barkley ($8.3k at Dallas Cowboys)

If you haven’t already seen the viral Barkley clip from last week, go look on X (and follow me while you’re at it), but the guy is unreal. At least 29 DraftKings points in two of his last three games and gets an elite matchup in this one against a Cowboys team that is in a complete nose dive. Barkley should get a run-heavy script in this one as 7-point favorites and this Cowboys rush defense is abysmal. They rank 29th in DvP against opposing RBs on the season, so the floor/ceiling combination on Saquon is great. The Domination Station has him projected for 22.07 DraftKings points giving him 2.66x his price tag.

Aaron Jones ($6.7k vs. Jacksonville Jaguars)

Jones wasn’t able to get it going in a great matchup last time out averaging just three yards per carry on 21 attempts, but the floor stays high due to how involved he is in the passing game. He gets a great matchup in this one against tha Jags who rank 30th in DvP against opposing RBs. At home, in what should be a run-heavy game script, Jones looks great here. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 17.03 DraftKings points giving him 2.54x his price tag.

Bijan Robinson ($7.7k at New Orleans Saints)

This is the spot… THIS IS IT! I think we could finally see the slate-breaker week from Bijan in this one, we’ve seen signs of it with at least 21 DraftKings points in four straight games and the passing game where has been elite with seven receptions in back-to-back games. Not to mention, he gets a dream matchup against a paper-thin Saints run defense that ranks 23rd in run defense which has some outlier tendencies to it due to their blowouts in the first two weeks. Here’s what opposing RBs have done against the Saints as of late:

Week 9: Chuba Hubbard 21.2 DraftKings points

Week 8: J.K. Dobbins 16.8 DraftKings points

Week 7: Javonte Williams 26.1 DraftKings points

Week 6: Bucky Irving 18.5 DraftKings points/Sean Tucker 37.2 DraftKings points

Week 5: Kareem Hunt 21.7 DraftKings points

I’m planting my flag here… GIVE ME ALL THE BIJAN ROBINSON! The lineup optimizer has him projected for 19.03 DraftKings points giving him 2.47x his price tag.

Click here for full Runningback projections: Domination Station Optimizer

Value Priced Wide Receivers:

DeAndre Hopkins ($5.3k vs. Denver Broncos)

I think there could be a case to be made that maybe Hopkins comes in over-owned after the world saw him on primetime on Monday night, but the price tag is hard to ignore at $5.3k. This is a tough matchup against Surtain and this Broncos secondary. In his second week with Patrick Mahomes at QB, he looked great, with eight catches on nine targets and two touchdowns. I think he jumps and runs with the Rashee Rice role that was absolutely cooking for fantasy early this season. The Domination Station has him projected for 12.54 DraftKings points giving him 2.37x his current price tag.

Garrett Wilson ($7.2k at Arizona Cardinals)

Wilson had a massive game last week on Thursday Night Football where he made that wild one-handed catch for a touchdown and went home with 30 DraftKings points. He has at least nine targets in four of his last five games and I think Davante Adams being there actually helps his DFS numbers by taking attention away from him on the defense. This is a great matchup against the Cardinals’ secondary as well.We have him projected for 16.63 DraftKings points giving him 2.31x his price tag.

Justin Jefferson ($8.8k at Jacksonville Jaguars)

It’ll be hard not to like Jefferson this week, the Jaguars have been atrocious against opposing pass games on the season and we know Jefferson will exploit any mistakes. He has at least 20 DraftKings points in four of his last five games. The Jags rank 29th in DvP against opposing WRs on the season, and it’s always a good think when the highest-priced WR on the slate also grades out as a nice value piece. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 14.35 DraftKings points giving him 2.56x his price tag.

Click here for full Wide Receiver projections: Domination Station Optimizer 

Tight Ends:

George Kittle ($5.8k at Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

I touched on his QB in the QB section, so we can get a nice little value stack here, but man the Bucs stink against opposing TE’s. In fact, Travis Kelce set a career-high with 14 receptions against them last week. Kittle has been one of the best TEs in the league this season and has at least 20 DraftKings points in three of his last four games. Without Aiyuk in there, he’ll continue to get targets and even with McCaffery back, it’s hard to ignore him at this price tag. We have him projected for 16.2 DraftKings points giving him 2.79x his current price tag.

Cade Otton ($5.5k vs. San Francisco 49ers)

Cade has turned into a legit weapon for the Bucs ever since Godwin and Evans went down with injuries. He has at least 10 targets in three straight games with at least 21 DraftKings points in each game. His price has come up, but for good reason, don’t let the scare you off of him here. Baker is going to continue to look his way consistently. The Domination Station has him projected for 13.75 DraftKings points giving him a value of 2.5x his price tag.

Hunter Henry ($3.9k at Chicago Bears)

I have no problem going back to Hunter Henry in this one if you need to save some salary. Drake Maye is certainly look his way with at least eight targets in two of his last three games. He hasn’t gotten into the endzone yet with Maye, but it’s coming, and if he scores in this one you’re going to feel really good at this price tag. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 9.5 DraftKings points giving him 2.44x his current price tag.

Click here for full Tight End projections: Domination Station Optimizer

Value Defense/Special Teams:

Chicago Bears $3.0k – Averaging 9.5 DraftKings points per game against a rookie QB at home, fine price tag, great option here.

Kansas City Chiefs $3.6k – I tend not to spend up at DST, so I’m not sure how I feel about this one. Similar story as the Bears, rookie QB at home in Arrowhead and the Chiefs are one of the better defenses in the league.

Denver Broncos $2.4k – If it’s me, I’m saving the $1.2k and going down to the Broncos rather than playing the Chiefs DST. I get it, it’s a matchup with Mahomes, but he hasn’t exactly been exempt from turnovers this season.

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