Kickstart your excitement for Week 9 of the NFL DFS main slate as we delve deep into the best value plays across every position, all thanks to our trusty NFL Optimizer, aka The Domination Station. I’m Mike, better known as @MadnessDFSbets on Twitter (X). Don’t forget to follow me for real-time updates and insights, and keep an eye out for my comprehensive DFS content throughout the NFL season, extending seamlessly into the NBA season as well, exclusively here at DFS Army.
Let’s dive right in and set the stage for an exhilarating week ahead!
Oct 27, 2024; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Ladd McConkey (15) celebrates his touchdown scored against the New Orleans Saints with wide receiver Ladd McConkey (15) during the second half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images
Top Value Quarterbacks:
Daniel Jones ($5.2k vs. Washington Commanders)
Alright… hear me out, his last two weeks haven’t been good but the price tag here is free. He’s priced below a handful of backups at this tag, guys like Mitchell Trubisky, Sam Howell, Michael Penix, and so on. The matchup sets up well against this Commanders team that ranks 21st in passing EPA. He has some good stacking options with Malik Nabers, Darius Slayton, and Wan’Dale Robinson and hey, they may have found themselves a running game with Tyrone Tracy. Sneaky rushing ability for Danny Dimes as well to give him a ceiling. The Domination Station has him projected for 19.4 DraftKings points giving him 3.73x his current price tag.
Geno Smith ($5.8k vs. Los Angeles Rams)
It was a tough week for Geno in week eight against the Bill, but does get a nice bounce-back spot in this one. The Rams rank 27th in passing EPA on the season and showed signs last week of the ability to move the ball downfield which will help to score on both sides of this game. Geno has elite stacking pieces with D.K. Metcalf, Jaxson Smith-Njigba, and Tyler Lockett… I don’t even hate Kenneth Walker out of the backfield with the number of balls he’s catching. Geno has a 30-point ceiling and isn’t priced as such. We have him projected for 19.31 DraftKings points giving him a value multiplier of 3.33x his current salary.
Will Levis ($4.6k vs. New England Patriots)
Obviously, Will Levis will need to be cleared and announced as the starter before we can go to him, but he’s even cheaper than the guy we called free to start the write-up. It’s his cheapest price tag of the season and although he hasn’t been great, the rushing upside is there and we saw signs of life from Calvin Ridley last week. The Patriots rank 29th in passing EPA on the season, so the opportunity will be there although this game does have the lowest implied total on the slate. Our lineup optimizer has Herbert projected for 15.08 DraftKings points giving him 3.28x his price tag.
Click here for full Quarterback projections: Domination Station Optimizer
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Running Backs:
Alvin Kamara ($7.8k at Carolina Panthers)
Kamara dropped 22 DraftKings points on the Panthers to start the season and feels primed to do it again in this one. The good thing for Kamara is Derek Carr is expected back which opens up this offense and Carr certainly isn’t afraid to check it down and load up Kamara with those cheap dump-off targets. It’s an elite matchup against the Panthers who rank 30th in DvP against RBs on the season. The Domination Station has him projected for 22.11 DraftKings points giving him 2.83x his price tag.
Chuba Hubbard ($6.5k vs. New Orleans Saints)
Chuba has been as consistent as they come this season even on a bad offense. He’s averaged 15.4 DraftKings points per game on the season although that production has trended the wrong direction over the last five weeks. That said, the Saints have been shredded on the ground lately and rank 25th in DvP against opposing RBs. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 17.08 DraftKings points giving him 2.63x his price tag.
J.K. Dobbins ($7.0k at Cleveland Browns)
I’ll say I don’t love the matchup here against Cleveland, but at least 18 DraftKings points in two of his last three games and he’s established himself as the workhorse in this backfield with Gus Edwards sidelined. He’s seeing a good amount of targets in the passing game as well which helps his floor/ceiling combo without sacrificing the run game. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 18.11 DraftKings points giving him 2.59x his price tag.
Click here for full Runningback projections: Domination Station Optimizer
Value Priced Wide Receivers:
Malik Nabers ($7.5k vs. Washington Commanders)
We touched on Danny Dimes in the quarterback section, so we get a very nice point-per-dollar stack with him and Nabers against this Commanders’ defense. Nabers got back on the horse in primetime last week seeing 13 targets which gives him at least 12 targets in four of his last five games. The volume will certainly be there, I don’t love the touchdown equity because of who he has throwing him the ball, but the matchup should help that. The Domination Station has him projected for 19.64 DraftKings points giving him 2.62x his current price tag.
Drake London ($6.7k vs. Dallas Cowboys)
London had a floor game in a dream matchup last week but I think he bounces back nicely in this one against the Cowboys. He has a top 15 target share on the season at 26.2% and a massive red zone target share of 44.4%, so the touchdown equity is huge. This Cowboys defense doesn’t scare me and they should be able to speed this game up with their inability to run the ball. He has a perfect rating in the Domination Station as well. We have him projected for 17.33 DraftKings points giving him 2.59x his price tag.
Ladd McConkey ($5.6k at Cleveland Browns)
The rookie has officially arrived for the Chargers with a massive 32.1 DraftKings outing last week. He has at least six targets in five straight games and is looking like the top option for Justin Herbert to throw to. Similar to J.K. Dobbins, I don’t love the matchup, but he’s probably $1k too cheap at the trajectory he’s heading. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 14.35 DraftKings points giving him 2.56x his price tag.
Click here for full Wide Receiver projections: Domination Station Optimizer
Tight Ends:
Will Dissly ($3.1k at Cleveland Browns)
Considering the price tag on Dissly, he’s been great with at least seven targets in back to back games. He’s yet to score a touchdown yet this season, but I think that changes this week and if he falls into the end zone he probably gets you there at this price tag. We have him projected for 8.46 DraftKings points giving him 2.73x his current price tag.
Brock Bowers ($6.0k at Cincinnati Bengals)
Bowers is becoming a staple of this article and for good reason, he’s the main option in this offense. I absolutely love the matchup in this one as well, the Bengals have been torched by tight ends to start the season and he has a perfect 100 rating. He leads all tight ends with 65 targets on the season to go along with receptions, receiving yards, yards after catch… you name it. He’s the top tight end for fantasy right now for both floor and ceiling. The Domination Station has him projected for 16.34 DraftKings points giving him a value of 2.72x his price tag.
Evan Engram ($5.3k at Philadelphia Eagles)
The Jaguars may have no choice but to force-feed Evan Engram in this one. They lost Christian Kirk for the season last week along with Brian Thomas getting banged up and coming into this game as questionable. Last year when Christian Kirk went down, we saw his volume of targets really increase as well which makes since given Kirk is the slot guy. At least 13 DraftKings points in two of his last three games as well. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 14.41 DraftKings points giving him 2.72x his current price tag.
Click here for full Tight End projections: Domination Station Optimizer
Value Defense/Special Teams:
Los Angeles Chargers $3.3k – The Chargers defense has been extremely consistent this season averaging 8.6 DraftKings points per game and although Jameis Winston helps the Browns offense move the ball, he’s prone to making mistakes.
Seattle Seahawks $2.6k – Love the value we get on them in this one, they have double-digit fantasy points in two of their last four games. Dirt cheap, you can do much worse in this price range.
Atlanta Falcons $2.9k – This Dallas Cowboys offense isn’t what people think it is when they see them on paper, not what it was last season, and not what it was two seasons ago. They have virtually zero run game and 1.5 legit weapons for Dak to throw to. Dak also has some visible home/road splits in his career, so at home, I like the Falcons DST again.
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