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DFS NFL Week 3 Milly Maker Review

The Milly Maker is a Large Field GPP Contest on DraftKings that pays out $1,000,000 to First. Learn the winning trends that we’ve found by reviewing years of Milly Maker Winners!

Sep 22, 2024; Inglewood, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Jauan Jennings (15) is pushed out of bounds by Los Angeles Rams safety Quentin Lake (37) during the second half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

Regardless of the Quarterback, the Kevin O’Connell Offense continues to produce and this offense produced plenty for the Week 3 Milly Maker Winner. This week, they put 34 points on a team that most people would view as Contenders in the AFC. The rare QB + RB + WR Stack took down the Milly Maker and we saw more of the kind of scoring across the League that we’ve been accustomed to from years’ past. Let’s  take a look at the NFL DFS Week 3 Milly Maker Winner.

Week 3 Points
S Darnold 23.24
K Williams 31.6
Z Charbonnet 25.7
J Jefferson 20.1
D Johnson 29.2
J Jennings 49.5
D Goedert 30
A Jones 28.8
Tampa DST 2
Total 240.14

 

Stacking

Primary Stack

Sam Darnold 23.24 FPTS + Justin Jefferson 20.1 FPTS + A Jones 28.8 FPTS

Secondary Stack

Kyren Williams 31.6 FPTS + Juaun Jennings 49.5 FPTS

Total Stacking Points: 153.24

Total Stacking Ownership: 35%

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DFS Football Tips

$1,000,000 Milly Maker Ownership

Week 3 Ownership
S Darnold 6.4
K Williams 2.8
Z Charbonnet 21.9
J Jefferson 8.5
D Johnson 7.3
J Jennings 14.3
D Goedert 5.9
A Jones 3
Tampa DST 15.8
Total 85.9

 

The Contrarian bros were happy today to see all the chalk fail. We had contrarian stacks, low owned one offs, and much of the chalk failed – with the exception of Charbonnet at Running Back, and Jennings the value Wide Receiver. Speaking of Jennings, DFS Army VIP’s were all over him because he kept coming up in optimals when running the Domination Station

Top Leverage Plays

Kyren Williams at 2%

Kyren was direct leverage off of a lot of the chalk in the San Fran game – Mason and Aiyuk specifically.

Goedert at 5%

Goedert was the top scoring Tight End on the slate and direct leverage off of 17% owned Devonta Smith.

Diontae Johnson at 7%

Under 5K and he scored 29 at 7% ownership. Diontae was leverage on most wide receiver lineups without him.

Pricing and Value from the Milly Maker Contest

Week 3 Pricing FPTS per Dollar
S Darnold $5,500 4.22X
K Williams $7,100 4.51X
Z Charbonnet $6,000 4.28X
J Jefferson $8,600 2.33X
D Johnson $4,900 5.95X
J Jennings $4,100 12.07X
D Goedert $4,600 6.52X
A Jones $5,900 4.41X
Tampa DST $3,000 .66X
Total $49,700 4.83X

 

In a few years of doing Milly Maker Reviews, Jennings might be the highest value I’ve seen at 12X his salary. This is the kind of value that hits that will make up for 8600 Jefferson being in the lineup and only hitting 2x his salary. Normally that’s a winning value killer but not this week with Jennings more than making up for it. This lineup had 7 players hit 4X or more to finish with 4.83X the $49,700 salary.

Ceiling

After a very low scoring week 1, and a low scoring week 2, the Ceiling returned to a higher level than what we had seen to start the year. 240 points is in line with the Seasonal average in 2023 and we’ll generally see more QB + 2 in those weeks as we did in this one. Top to bottom, this lineup had a lot of firepower, and that’s something you want to build for when building GPP lineups – knowing that if it breaks the right way, you have a great shot at taking down the tournament.

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