Correlated Snipe #1 – Sidney Crosby – Jake Guentzel – Bryan Rust
The Penguins are at home against the Ducks, a great spot to be in. The Ducks are hot right now winning their last 3 games, meanwhile the Penguins have been struggling. Let me just start by saying that the Ducks are fake good and I am not buying them yet. The Ducks goaltending already has saved a whopping 8 goals above expected, which I deem unattainable for them. Vice versa the Penguins should have scored 9 more goals than they have scored based on the goals above expected model. What this data tells me is that these teams are due to even out sometime soon. The Penguins are ready to score,.and the Ducks are ready to come back to reality. The Crosby line is back with Rust, even on the PP1, and they showed good chemisty early on. These guys will be chalky, so be weary of that.
Oct 28, 2023; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Penguins defenseman Ryan Graves (27) and right wing Bryan Rust (17) and left wing Jake Guentzel (59) celebrates a goal by center Sidney Crosby (right center) against the Ottawa Senators during the second period at PPG Paints Arena. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Correlated Snipe #2 – Barrett Hayton – Clayton Keller – Nick Schmaltz
The Yotes are at home at Mullet Arena against Connor Bedard and the Blackhawks. The Blackhawks stink and they should be worse as they have saved 5 goals more than expected. The Coyotes should have scored 4 more goals based on their average expected goals. This shows another meeting in the middle where the Yotes are ready to score, and the Blackhawks are ready to miss saves. I love how the Yotes correlate on the PP1 as well. Sean Durzi is always viable in these stacks as well.
Grinder #1 – Philipp Kurashev – I have always liked this kid’s game, and now he is healthy and skating on the top line and powerplay unit with Connor Bedard.
Grinder #2 – Nick Foligno – Big bruising veteran that is on Connor Bedard’s top line, as well as top powerplay unit.
Grinder #3 – Leo Carlsson – If he plays, Carlsson has been a big boost for the Ducks. He has 3 points in 4 games, and is not affraid to shoot. The Penguins are good at getting scored on as well.
Bankroll Grinder – I am getting the Ducks/Penguins over 6.5, Coyotes/Blackhawks over 6, and the Jets moneyline, as a 3 game parlay at +627
