Kickstart your excitement for Week 9 of the NFL DFS main slate as we delve deep into the best value plays across every position, all thanks to our trusty NFL Optimizer, aka The Domination Station. I’m Mike, better known as @MadnessDFS on Twitter (X). Don’t forget to follow me for real-time updates and insights, and keep an eye out for my comprehensive DFS content throughout the NFL season, extending seamlessly into the NBA season as well, exclusively here at DFS Army.
Let’s dive right in and set the stage for an exhilarating week ahead!
Oct 29, 2023; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; Carolina Panthers quarterback Bryce Young (9) takes the field during the first quarter against the Houston Texans at Bank of America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports
Quarterbacks:
Mac Jones ($4.9k vs. Washington Commanders)
Big Mac comes in as our top point-per-dollar quarterback option on the week against the Commanders at home. He’s not a sexy option by any means but has looked better over the last couple of weeks with at least 13 DraftKings points. He now gets a matchup against a Commanders team that sold their two best defensive pieces at the trade deadline. Washington comes in ranked 30th in DVOA against the pass on the season, so the matchup is certainly there. Jones also lost his best pass catcher in Kendrick Bourne for the season last week as well, so you’ll have to look to stack him with guys like Pop Douglas, JuJu, Hunter Henry, or Mike Gesicki… which isn’t exactly pretty, but it makes for a damn cheap stack. The Domination Station has him projected for 14.71 DraftKings points giving him 3x his price tag.
Gardner Minshew ($5.2k at Carolina Panthers)
Minshew has been fairly solid as of late with at least 15 DraftKings points in three straight weeks including a ceiling game against the Browns of all teams. He gets a great matchup against Carolina who ranks 29th in overall DVOA on the season. The Colts also rank 1st in pace of play this season as well which bodes well for fantasy expectations. He has some really nice stacking pieces in Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, and even Jonathan Taylor out of the backfield. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 15.34 DraftKings points giving him 2.95x his current price tag.
Bryce Young ($5.1k vs. Indianapolis Colts)
On the other side of that Colts offense is Bryce Young who is going to look good again in this one. We’ve yet to see the upside that I think he has yet this season and gets a nice matchup in this one. The Colts rank 21st in DVOA against the pass on the season, I just wish we would see more of his rushing upside that we know he has. The Panthers have the most pass plays run on the season per game, mostly due to the negative game scripts they put themselves in, but it’s good for fantasy at the very least. We have him projected for 14.89 DraftKings points giving him 2.92x his DraftKings price tag.
Click here for full Quarterback projections: Domination Station Optimizer
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Running Backs:
Bijan Robinson ($6.1k vs. Minnesota Vikings)
I absolutely love the price tag on Bijan in a great matchup against a Vikings team where they should have a positive game script as Minnesota will roll out their backup quarterback. He only had 11 touches last week but did receive five targets as well, so it does seem like his week 7 illness issue was legit. He’s 3rd in targets and 1st in routes run at the running back position this season which gives him huge value in PPR formats like DraftKings. We have him projected for 14.54 DraftKings points giving him 2.38x his price tag, and we know the ceiling is there as well.
Alvin Kamara ($8.1k vs. Chicago Bears)
Speaking of PPR upside… Kamara has been elite in the passing game since returning from suspension. He has at least 27 DraftKings points in back-to-back games and ranks 1st among all running backs in targets in just five games this season. He’s the highest-priced running back on the slate and it’s always good when high-priced guys also grade out as top point-per-dollar options. The Domination Station has him projected for 18.83 DraftKings points giving him 2.32x his price tag.
Rachaad White ($5.6k at Houston Texans)
White has been sneaky good over the last couple of weeks with at least 15 DraftKings points in back-to-back games. Opportunity and volume is king when it comes to running backs and he’s played at least 70% of snaps in every game this season. The matchup is solid against the Texans and he ranks 3rd among all running backs in receiving yards, so he has multiple ways of getting there either on the ground or in the air. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 12.76 DraftKings points giving him 2.28x his price tag.
Click here for full Runningback projections: Domination Station Optimizer
Wide Receivers:
Michael Thomas ($4.7k vs. Chicago Bears)
Thomas has been fairly consistent as of late with at least 7 targets in four straight games. The Bears rank 31st in DVOA against the pass on the season so the matchup is elite as well at a mid-range price tag. He ranks 8th among all wide receivers in red-zone targets, so the touchdown equity is certainly there. We have him projected for 11.98 DraftKings points giving him 2.55x his current price tag.
JuJu Smith-Schuster ($3.1k vs. Washington Commanders)
We touched on JuJu’s quarterback in the first section, so we have a cheap stack on our hands with a near minimum-priced JuJu. The Pats are hurting at wide receiver with Kendrick Bourne now on the shelf, JuJu will have to step up and become a guy who gains targets for the Pats. His snap count should shoot up and gets a nice matchup in this one. It’s not the sexiest stack by any means, but the price tag certainly lets you pay up elsewhere. The Domination Station has him projected for 7.76 DraftKings points giving him 2.5x his current price tag.
Rondale Moore ($3.2k at Cleveland Browns)
Rondale makes sense as a pivot in JuJu’s range as a gadget guy in this Arizona offense. I do worry about the quarterback a bit as they move to Clayton Tune as the starter, so we’ll have to see if he can get the ball to Moore. That said, the Cardinals have always been creative in getting the ball in his hands in open field. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 7.96 DraftKings points giving him 2.49x his price tag.
Click here for full Wide Receiver projections: Domination Station Optimizer
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Tight Ends:
Juwan Johnson ($2.9k vs. Chicago Bears)
Johnson returned last week to play 61% of snaps after being out since week 3. I don’t love the ceiling on Johnson but the snaps will be there and he was fairly consistent to start the season. The matchup is extremely favorable as well, he doesn’t need to do a ton at this price tag to pay it off and if he can find his way into the end-zone we’re golden. We have him projected for 7.21 DraftKings points giving him 2.49x his current price tag.
Trey McBride ($3.7k at Cleveland Browns)
McBride had a massive game last week without Zach Ertz and is going to look great again this week. He saw 14 targets and caught ten of them on his way to 25 DraftKings points. He’s probably too cheap yet again, but there are a few question marks. One being the quarterback change to Clayton Tune and the other being the matchup with a very tough Browns defense. That said, a first-time starting quarterback will tend to look at tight ends as a safety blanket. The Domination Station has him projected for 8.91 DraftKings points giving him 2.41x his current price tag.
Michael Mayer ($2.8k vs. New York Giants)
Mayer hasn’t been great but his quarterback hasn’t exactly helped him as the whole world saw on Monday Night against the Lions. He’s dirt cheap which keeps him in play here and we know the talent is there as a top pick in the draft. The matchup is great as well against the Giants who rank 19th in overall DVOA. We have him projected for 6.74 DraftKings points giving him 2.41x his price tag.
Click here for full Tight End projections: Domination Station Optimizer
Defense/Special Teams:
New York Giants $2.3k – The Giants are going to look solid here against a Raiders offense that has completely fallen apart. The price tag is cheap as well, they’re not the best defense in the league, but we don’t need them to be at this price tag.
New England Patriots $2.9k – The Commanders can put up some points but the Patriots will slow the pace down on offense which is part of their intrigue on defense here. I have no issue going back to them in the mid-range at DST.
Green Bay Packers $2.8k – I don’t expect Matt Stafford to play in this one which makes this Packers defense look solid. They certainly have some playmakers that can be dangerous along with Nixon at returner who always as a return touchdown in the cards.
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