Kickstart your excitement for Week 8 of the NFL DFS main slate as we delve deep into the best value plays across every position, all thanks to our trusty NFL Optimizer, aka The Domination Station. I’m Mike, better known as @MadnessDFS on Twitter (X). Don’t forget to follow me for real-time updates and insights, and keep an eye out for my comprehensive DFS content throughout the NFL season, extending seamlessly into the NBA season as well, exclusively here at DFS Army.
Let’s dive right in and set the stage for an exhilarating week ahead!
Oct 8, 2023; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (7) runs for a touchdown after catching a pass against the Houston Texans during the second half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Quarterbacks:
Patrick Mahomes ($8.4k at Denver Broncos)
Mahomes comes in as our top point-per-dollar quarterback option on the week against the Broncos on the road. He’s coming off of his best week of the season last time out against the Chargers and gets an elite matchup against the Broncos who rank dead last in DVOA against the pass on the season. He scored 21 DraftKings points in this matchup a couple of weeks ago which feels like a potential floor in this one. The main stacking piece for him is Travis Kelce while Rashee Rice has been a big piece of the pass game as of late. Guys like Kadarius Toney and Marquez Valdes-Scantling are fine punts. It’s always good when the highest-priced guy has the highest point per dollar projection as well, we have him projected for 27.07 DraftKings points giving him 3.22x his price tag.
Sam Howell ($5.2k vs. Philadelphia Eagles)
Next up we have Sam Howell, who I don’t necessarily think is a great quarterback yet, but he’s been good from a fantasy perspective. He’s going to have to throw to keep up with the Eagles’ offense as well. Teams simply can’t run on the Eagles either as they rank 1st in run DVOA on the season, so the pass funnel will be there. He has at least 18 DraftKings points in three of his last four and is stackable with guys like Terry McLaurin, Samuel, Thomas, and even Antonio Gibson. The Domination Station has him projected for 15.39 DraftKings points giving him 2.96x his price tag.
Kenny Pickett ($4.9k vs. Jacksonville Jaguars)
Pickett has been trending up the past couple of weeks but hasn’t been all that impressive on the season, that said, it’s baked into his extremely cheap price tag. It’s not a great matchup against Jacksonville who ranks 6th in DVOA against the pass on the season, but again, he lets you pay up elsewhere… that said, I might just find the extra salary to get to Howell in this range. You can stack Pickett up with George Pickens, Diontae Johnson, and potentially either of the running backs due to their pass game upside, but Pickens and Johnson are the main pieces. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 14.29 DraftKings points giving him 2.92x his price tag.
Click here for full Quarterback projections: Domination Station Optimizer
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Running Backs:
Breece Hall ($5.9k at New York Giants)
Hall is going to look awesome here and has at least 20 DraftKings points in back-to-back games since his snap count was lifted. The Giants rank 30th in DVOA against the run on the season, so he should do whatever he wants in this one. He ranks 2nd in the league among running backs in yards per touch at 6.8, he’s damn explosive. The Domination Station has him projected for 14.88 DraftKings points giving him 2.52x his current price tag.
Bijan Robinson ($6.0k at Tennessee Titans)
Well… last week was certainly a treat for those who rostered Bijan, he played 17% of snaps and got one touch. From the sounds of it, he was sick, and hopefully that’s the case and we can just move on to his normal role here. The issue is the matchup against the Titans who have been unreal against the run, they rank 4th in DVOA against the rush. That said, Bijan feels matchup-proof due to his receiving and playmaking upside. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 14.51 DraftKings points giving him 2.42x his current salary.
Isiah Pacheco ($6.1k at Denver Broncos)
We touched on his quarterback in the section above and it’s just as good of a matchup for Pacheco here against Denver. The Broncos rank 31st in DVOA against the run, so Pacheco should be able to do whatever he wants here. He’s been extremely consistent with at least 15 DraftKings points in four of his last five games. He’s 3rd in the league in yards created at the position, we have him projected for 14.69 DraftKings points giving him 2.41x his current salary.
Click here for full Runningback projections: Domination Station Optimizer
Wide Receivers:
Michael Gallup ($3.4k vs. Los Angeles Rams)
Gallup had a disappointing game last time out but he saw 10 targets which is more than intriguing, especially at this price tag. If the targets are going to continue to be there, which they have, the breakout game is just around the corner. The Rams rank 20th in DVOA against the pass, so the matchup is solid as well, he makes for a great value option with big upside. The Domination Station has him projected for 8.9 DraftKings points giving him 2.62x his current price.
Tyreek Hill ($9.5k vs. New England Patriots)
As I mentioned with Mahomes, it’s always good to see high-priced guys as a high-point-per-dollar option. Hill has been unreal with at least 25 DraftKings points in four of his last five games. The Pats were able to blanket him somewhat in week two, but are now without their best secondary piece in Christian Gonzalez. He ranks first in the league at the position in target rate, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, yards after the catch, and fantasy points per game… safe to say he’s fairly good. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 24.72 DraftKings points giving him 2.6x his current price tag.
Zay Flowers ($5.6k at Arizona Cardinals)
Flowers has been fairly consistent with at least 11 DraftKings points in four of his last five games including a good amount of targets in there as well. The matchup is elite against a terrible Cardinals secondary that ranks 31st in DVOA against the pass this season. He’s been someone that Jackson has looked toward a ton considering he’s a rookie. We have him projected for 14.22 DraftKings points giving him 2.54x his DraftKings price tag.
Click here for full Wide Receiver projections: Domination Station Optimizer
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Tight Ends:
Kyle Pitts ($3.8k at Tennessee Titans)
Pitts remains in the sub-$4k range despite showing signs of life as of late. He has at least 14 DraftKings points in two of his last three games and gets a nice matchup in this one. I talked about how good Tennessee is against the rush, but they’re the complete opposite against the pass ranking 26th in DVOA. He is dominating the position in air yards ranking 1st in air yards, ADOT, and deep targets… the big breakout is right around the corner and he’s too cheap for his upside. We have him projected for 9.48 DraftKings points giving him 2.49x his current price tag.
Trey McBride ($2.8k vs. Baltimore Ravens)
Talk about dirt cheap, McBride makes for an excellent punt option. He has at least five targets in back-to-back games and now Zach Ertz heads to IR opening up targets and the snap share at the position for the Cardinals. He may end up being chalky due to that price tag, but if it stays fairly low, and even if not, I think McBride looks great. The Domination Station has him projected for 6.91 DraftKings points giving him 2.47x his current price tag.
Jake Ferguson ($3.6k vs. Los Angeles Rams)
Ferguson had his worst game of the season last time out but has been a target machine in an offense that loves to target their tight ends. He’s 1st among all tight-ends in red-zone targets on the season with 11 which is huge for production, obviously. The Rams rank 24th in DvP against tight-ends on the season as well. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 8.68 DraftKings points giving him 2.41x his current price tag.
Click here for full Tight End projections: Domination Station Optimizer
Defense/Special Teams:
Atlanta Falcons $2.9k – This Falcons’ defense is sneaky good and they get an elite matchup against Tennesse who is going to throw out quarterbacks like Malik Willis and Will Levis, this spot looks great at a nice price tag.
Jacksonville Jaguars $2.8k – We touched on Kenny Pickett in the quarterback section and I don’t think he’s all that great, this Jaguars’ defense is very good at a cheap price. They have at least 9 DraftKings points in three of their last four games.
Green Bay Packers $2.7k – The Packers have some playmakers on this defense but for whatever reason can’t put it all together. The matchup doesn’t scare me against a Justin Jefferson-less Vikings team, we know Kirk can throw an interception or two.
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