Kickstart your excitement for Week 7 of the NFL DFS main slate as we delve deep into the best value plays across every position, all thanks to our trusty NFL Optimizer, aka The Domination Station. I’m Mike, better known as @MadnessDFS on Twitter (X). Don’t forget to follow me for real-time updates and insights, and keep an eye out for my comprehensive DFS content throughout the NFL season, extending seamlessly into the NBA season as well, exclusively here at DFS Army.
Let’s dive right in and set the stage for an exhilarating week ahead!
Oct 1, 2023; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco (10) on his way to scoring a 1st half touchdown against te Jets at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
Quarterbacks:
Jimmy Garoppolo ($5.2k at Chicago Bears)
Jimmy G comes in as our top point-per-dollar quarterback option on the week against the Bears on the road. He hasn’t been great over the last few weeks from a fantasy perspective, but this Bears defense has a good way of changing that. Chicago comes into the week ranked 30th in DVOA against the pass. The issue with Garoppolo is we may have already seen his ceiling on the season at 23 DraftKings points against the Steelers. That said, the price tag makes plenty of sense and he has some strong stacking options in great matchups with Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers. We have Jimmy projected for 15.9 DraftKings points giving him 3.06x his salary.
Russell Wilson ($5.4k vs. Green Bay Packers)
Next up we have Russell Wilson at home against the Packers who are coming off of their bye week. Wilson easily had his worst game of the season last time out, but that Chiefs defense is no joke, so I’m willing to look past it. Prior to that game he had at least 18 DraftKings points in each week of the season and gets a solid matchup here. It’s not a great matchup, but it’s also not bad, Green Bay has been a middle-of-the-road defensive passing unit. My favorite stacking option would be Courtland Sutton, but Jerry Jeudy makes sense as well if you think Jaire Alexander will shadow Sutton. The Domination Station has him projected for 16.45 DraftKings points giving him 3.05x his salary.
Jordan Love ($5.8k at Denver Broncos)
On the other side of Wilson is Jordan Love and the Packers who get a great bounce-back spot right out of the bye week against a bad Denver team. Love had a tough go of it against the Raiders last time out but he’s been extremely solid for fantasy with at least 19 DraftKings points in each game prior to that Monday Night game. Love actually ranks first in the league among all quarterbacks in air yards per attempt which shows where his ceiling could get you. He has stacking options in all price ranges as well with Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, Luke Musgrave, and even Aaron Jones. The optimizer has him projected for 17.59 DraftKings points giving him 3.03x his current salary.
Click here for full Quarterback projections: Domination Station Optimizer
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Running Backs:
D’Onta Foreman ($4.8k vs. Las Vegas Raiders)
Foreman was solid last week against the Vikings with 65 rushing yards which, I know, not worth writing home about, but he was dirt cheap. He gets a great matchup against the Raiders in this one, they currently rank 25th in DVOA against the rush on the season. The issue for Foreman… we don’t quite know what his workload will be. I would expect Roschon Johnson returns this week from his concussion and could easily slide in and be the main back. That said, Foreman could still take on the Herbert role if they like where Johnson is in the offense. If Johnson is out, I don’t think you need to think twice about Foreman but does add a bit more risk if Johnson is active. We have him projected for 12.1 DraftKings points giving him 2.52x his price tag.
Isiah Pacheco ($6.1k vs. Los Angeles Chargers)
Pacheco has certainly passed the eye test as of late and gets a great matchup here against the Chargers. He has at least 15 DraftKings points in three of his last four games and is starting to see more work in the pass game as well which has only helped his production. He’s top 10 among running backs in both red zone touches and overall receiving yards on the season. The Chargers rank 28th in DVOA against the run, so there’s a whole lot to like for Pacheco at this price tag. The Domination Station has him projected for 15.07 DraftKings points giving him 2.47x his price tag.
Rachaad White ($5.1k vs. Atlanta Falcons)
White hasn’t been in the best or most consistent form this season, but there’s no question it’s his backfield, which is more than you can say for a lot of running backs. He’s had at least a 70% snap count in all games on the season but does get a tougher matchup with the Falcons’ run D in this one. White does have some nice pass game upside which could outweigh the matchup at a cheap price tag. The optimizer has him projected for 12.49 DraftKings points giving him 2.45x his DraftKings price tag.
Click here for full Runningback projections: Domination Station Optimizer
Wide Receivers:
DeVante Parker ($3.4k vs. Buffalo Bills)
I can’t say Parker is my favorite play… simply because I think Mac Jones stinks, but he doesn’t need to do a ton to pay this price tag off and if Jones can just make a throw Parker can make a play or two. I would expect the Pats to have to throw a ton as well in a positive game script as they come in as 8.5-point dogs. If you need a complete punt, you could do worse than Parker here. We have him projected for 9.03 DraftKings points giving him 2.66x his current price tag.
Marquise Brown ($5.3k at Seattle Seahawks)
Hollywood has quickly become the go-to target for Josh Dobbs in Arizona. He has at least 10 targets in four of their five games on the season and easily leads the team with a 32.5% target share. He has at least 16 DraftKings points in four of their five games to go along with all those targets. The matchup is great as well against the 24th-ranked DVOA against the pass on the season, neither of these teams can defend the pass, so this could easily turn into a little shootout. The Domination Station has him projected for 13.71 DraftKings points giving him 2.59x his price tag.
Jayden Reed ($3.7k at Denver Broncos)
We touched on Reed’s quarterback at the beginning of this article, so we could make a nice little value stack with Reed and Love here in a great matchup with the Broncos. Reed is second on the team behind Doubs with an 18% target share on the season which is more than reasonable at this price tag. He also leads the team with 9 (!) red zone targets on the season, which is 3rd among all receivers in the league. The optimizer has him projected for 9.48 DraftKings points giving him 2.56x his price tag.
Click here for full Wide Receiver projections: Domination Station Optimizer
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Tight Ends:
Zach Ertz ($3.2 at Seattle Seahawks)
Ertz comes in as the top point per dollar tight end option for the second straight week, this time in Seattle against the Seahawks. He had a down week last time out but is still 6th among all tight ends in targets on the season. I touched on it with Hollywood Brown, but this is a great matchup as well. Tight end has been a wasteland all season, so punting it has made plenty of sense, especially with a guy that the quarterback is looking to. We have him projected for 9.03 DraftKings points giving him 2.82x his current salary.
Dawson Knox ($2.9k at New England Patriots)
We’ll have to keep an eye on the status of Dalton Kincaid coming into this one as he missed last week due to a concussion. Regardless, Knox has been the tight end seeing the most snaps for the Bills and has a dirt cheap salary. He has back-to-back games with 6 targets and certainly has some touchdown equity in a great offense as well. The Domination Station has him projected for 7.41 DraftKings points giving him 2.56x his DraftKings price tag.
Logan Thomas ($3.5k at New York Giants)
Thomas came crashing down to Earth last time out after a huge game against the Bears in week 5. He gets a nice bounce-back matchup against this Giants defense that ranks 26th in DVOA against the pass. We’ve seen the ceiling and I think he has a solid floor outside of last weeks game, expect Howell to look his way in this one. The optimizer has him projected for 8.61 DraftKings points giving him 2.46x his DraftKings price tag.
Click here for full Tight End projections: Domination Station Optimizer
Defense/Special Teams:
Kansas City Chiefs $2.4k – The matchup stinks against a good Chargers offense, but this Chiefs defense is one of the best defenses in the league, and they’re not priced like it. They have at least 10 DraftKings points in three of their five games.
Baltimore Ravens $2.5k – The Ravens are in a similar situation as the Chiefs, they have a great defense but have a tough matchup against the Lions who could be shorthanded, especially in the backfield. The Ravens have at least 3 sacks in three straight games.
Atlanta Falcons $2.8k – I think I would rather just go cheaper and get to one of the above defenses, but the Falcons are fine against the Baker Mayfield-lead Bucs. They don’t have a flashy defense and haven’t really popped as a unit yet this season.
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