Main Slate Breakdown for NBA DFS 11/7:
Nov 6, 2022; Los Angeles, California, USA; Cleveland Cavaliers forward Kevin Love (0) celebrates after hitting a 3 point basket in the first half against the Los Angeles Lakers at Crypto.com Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
Welcome to another year of the DFS Army NBA Full Court Press! Members had a ton of success using the Full Court Press along with various articles and tools that DFS Army provides last season, so we are glad to be back with another year of the all-inclusive article. You have to start your research somewhere, and oftentimes going game by game and breaking down every matchup and its key players is the first step in our process. My name is Mike aka @MadnessDFS on Twitter, make sure to give me a follow as I’ll occasionally make updates to the advice in the article. But, you’ll mostly find me in our VIP coaching forums where I provide detailed lineup maneuvers and answer all lineup questions. With that said, let’s get it started!
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Washington Wizards @ Charlotte Hornets
Vegas Total: 219.0
Vegas Spread: Cha -2.0
We’ll kick off this massive slate with the Wizards, Bradley Beal entered health and safety protocols yesterday, so I’m going to operate under the assumption that he’s out for this one again. We saw Corey Kispert get the start in Beal’s place, but I’d rather go to the bench with a guy like Will Barton. Barton played 24 minutes and dropped 25 DraftKings points, he would be my preferred option even at an elevated price tag. Kristaps Porzingis had a 32.1% usage rate and 1.49 fantasy points per minute with Beal off of the court last season and will look like an elite play again in this one even after a rough game last night. Kyle Kuzma saw a nice bump with him out as well with a +3.1% usage increase and +0.08 fantasy points per minute, he’ll look good as well. Then guys like Monte Morris and Rui Hachimura make sense at their respective price tags to round out my interest in the Wizards… but I’m not forcing these guys on a full slate of games. The Hornets got Terry Rozier back last time out but will still be without LaMelo Ball and Gordon Hayward. Rozier wasn’t limited at all as he played 36 minutes and looked pretty solid in his return. He had a 26.4% usage rate and 1.05 fantasy points per minute with these other guys off of the court last season and looks good again here. Kelly Oubre Jr. will continue to play big minutes but is probably priced right about where he should be and is more of a secondary/tournament option. PJ Washington is coming off of a nice game and now has at least 36 FanDuel points in three of his last five games. Then guys like Mason Plumlee and Jalen McDaniels would be more MME-type plays on this big slate.
5-star play: Kristaps Porzingis, Will Barton, Terry Rozier
4-star play: Kyle Kuzma, Kelly Oubre Jr., PJ Washington
Deeper Value: Will Barton, Corey Kispert
GPP Sleeper: Corey Kispert, Monte Morris, Rui Hachimura, Mason Plumlee, Jalen McDaniels
Quick shoutout to VIP member “Cenzamatic” on a massive $20k win last season! Sometimes paying up for double studs works, and Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kevin Durant brought it home for him with the help of some Stanley Johnson and Pistons value. Good work and congrats man!
Houston Rockets @ Orlando Magic
Vegas Total: 227.5
Vegas Spread: Orl -4.5
Starting with the Rockets, they should get Jabari Smith Jr. back in this one after missing their previous game. He’s been more volatile than I’d like to see as of late, but I still think he’s playable in tournaments at the very least in a great matchup. Kevin Porter Jr. had a rough game last time out but just shot the ball poorly, I wouldn’t have an issue going back to him in this one. Jalen Green hasn’t been quite as productive as I thought he would be this season, he’s more of a tournament guy here as well. I do think we can go right back to Alperen Sengun though, he has at least 30 DraftKings points in five straight games and is a great per-minute option. Then guys like Eric Gordon and Tari Eason are dart throw plays, Eason has looked good as of late but will likely take a hit with Smith Jr. back. From the Magic, Paolo Banchero is coming off of his best game as a pro with 33 points and 16 rebounds against the Kings, he’s a strong play in a good matchup again here. Wendell Carter Jr. is always a guy that lands in my player pool, he has a nice floor and ceiling, but the price tag has definitely come up. Franz Wagner had a big night last time out as well and makes sense as a mid-range option but probably not a priority for me. Bol Bol continues to crush with at least 35 DraftKings points in three of his last four and is an elite per-minute guy. Then we can round this team out with Jalen Suggs who’s playing huge minutes right now and is a guy I don’t mind getting back to in a good matchup with this Rockets defense as well.
5-star play: Alperen Sengun
4-star play: Kevin Porter Jr., Paolo Banchero, Franz Wagner, Bol Bol, Jalen Suggs, Wendell Carter Jr.
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Jabari Smith Jr., Jalen Green, Eric Gordon, Tari Eason
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Detroit Pistons
Vegas Total: 223.0
Vegas Spread: Det -1.0
Starting with the Thunder, they’ll be without Aleksej Pokusevski in this one which somewhat clears up their frontcourt situation… SOMEWHAT. I would expect to see guys like Darius Bazley and Jalen Williams see a boost in minutes making them both solid GPP options. Williams should continue to start for Poku here but just isn’t doing enough to warrant paying this price tag. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a rough go of it against the Bucks last time out but this is a much better matchup. That being said, he still does lose about 2.7% in usage and 0.22 points per minute with Giddey on the court. I like his price tag on DraftKings much more than his FanDuel price where he’s $1k more expensive. Speaking of Giddey, he hasn’t exactly been great since returning from injury, but I do like the price tag if you want to go back to him in a fast-paced matchup. Then Lu Dort and Jeremiah Robinson-Earl make sense as secondary pieces in all formats at their respective price tags. From the Pistons, the price tag on Cade Cunningham has come down after a couple of down performances, I like going right back to him in this one, we’ve seen him throw up some big ceiling games recently. Jaden Ivey has at least 30 DraftKings points in two of his last three and is a guy I would have some interest in for tournaments. Bojan Bogdanovic is more of a GPP guy as well due to his scoring dependency, but he does have the ability to get hot from behind the arch and looks fine here. Isaiah Stewart struggled with fouls last time out and then the game got out of hand which is why his minutes came down, this game should be competitive, so he looks good again. Then Saddiq Bey has at least 31 DraftKings points in three of his last four but is one of the more volatile guys in the league making him another tournament-only guy.
5-star play: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (DraftKings), Cade Cunningham
4-star play: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (FanDuel), Josh Giddey, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart, Saddiq Bey
Deeper Value: Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
GPP Sleeper: Darius Bazley, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Jalen Williams, Lu Dort, Bojan Bogdanovic, Jaden Ivey, Saddiq Bey
New Orleans Pelicans @ Indiana Pacers
Vegas Total: 235.0
Vegas Spread: Nop -5.5
Starting with the Pelicans, Brandon Ingram has returned for them and isn’t being restricted one bit and will continue moving forward. That said, I touched on it late last week, but with these main three guys all healthy, I don’t think we need to force guys who are appropriately priced like Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, and Brandon Ingram… I do think we can make a case for Jonas Valanciunas in GPPs simply due to his ceiling, but that’s about it from this team for me on a massive slate. It is a nice matchup with this Pacers’ defense, however. Speaking of the Pacers, Tyrese Haliburton bounced back in a big way last time out and now has at least 51 FanDuel points in two of his last three games and has looked great this season. Buddy Hield continues to cook as well, he has at least 36 DraftKings points in five straight games. I do like him slightly more on DraftKings where you get the three-point bonus, but I wouldn’t have an issue with him on either site. Bennedict Mathurin is a fine GPP option but has shown some volatility as of late which is expected with these rookies. Then Myles Turner bounced back nicely last time out as well and is a solid GPP option at the least, outside of these main guys there isn’t a whole lot I’m interested in from a tanking Pacers team.
5-star play: Tyrese Haliburton
4-star play: Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, Brandon Ingram, Jonas Valanciunas, Buddy Hield, Myles Turner
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, Brandon Ingram, Jonas Valanciunas, Bennedict Mathurin
Phoenix Suns @ Philadelphia 76ers
Vegas Total: 216.5
Vegas Spread: Pho -2.5
Starting with the Suns, they’ll be without Cam Johnson for the foreseeable future meaning we should expect guys like Torrey Craig and Dario Saric to fill in those minutes. I don’t really have any sort of interest in either of them on a big slate… maybe if the slate was smaller though. Deandre Ayton only played 16 minutes in a blowout against the Blazers, I would expect those minutes to come right back in this one as they’ll need his size to deal with Embiid down low. He has a nice price tag as well. I just don’t get a ton from this team when their healthy, but Devin Booker has looked great this season and would be a guy I wouldn’t talk you off in all formats. Chris Paul came down to Earth over his last two and the price has come up as well, I’ll consider him more of a secondary option. Then Mikal Bridges will always be a guy I don’t have an issue with if you fall on him as a roster filler. From the Sixers, they’ll continue to be without James Harden while Joel Embiid comes in as questionable. I’ll operate under the assumption that Embiid is good to go, but below is how this team operated last season with Harden and Seth Curry (traded mid-season) off of the court:
- Joel Embiid – 41.4% usage rate; 1.71 fpm
- Tyrese Maxey – 24.1% usage rate; 0.96 fpm
- Tobias Harris – 25.2% usage rate; 1.08 fpm
I would expect those rates for Maxey to come up a bit as he’s turned into more of a leader in this offense than he was last season, at least until later in the season. De’Anthony Melton should continue to start for Harden as well and looks like a good option as a fantasy point-per-minute guy.
5-star play: Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey
4-star play: Deandre Ayton, Devin Booker, Chris Paul, Mikal Bridges, De’Anthony Melton, Tobias Harris
Deeper Value: Torrey Craig, Dario Saric
GPP Sleeper: Deandre Ayton, Chris Paul
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Milwaukee Bucks @ Atlanta Hawks
Vegas Total: 226.5
Vegas Spread: Mil -3.0
Starting with the Bucks, I would expect Giannis Antetokounmpo returns in this one after missing their last game and will look like a great option again in this one. He has at least 63 DraftKings points in four of his last five and has a 37.3% usage rate and 1.84 fantasy points per minute on the season. Jrue Holiday came down to Earth last time out which is odd considering Giannis was out, but the price tag has gotten to a point where I’ll likely be underweight despite the production. The price tag on Bobby Portis has come up as well coming off of that big game last time out, but with Giannis back in I don’t think we can justify that tag on this slate. Then Brook Lopez and Grayson Allen are fine secondary/filler-type guys if you land on them, but not priorities by any means. From the Hawks, Trae Young comes in as questionable which is massive news for the slate as a whole so keep an eye on the Breaking News Feed for updates surrounding him. I’ll operate under the assumption that he plays, but if he does get ruled out, we’ll have it broken down for you in that Breaking News Feed. Dejounte Murray has looked great regardless with at least 57 FanDuel points in back-to-back games. John Collins showed his volatility last time out and would be a GPP-only guy for me due to that volatility we know he has. I touched on Clint Capela’s ceiling last time he was on the slate, and he proved it by dropping a 50 burger on the Pelicans. I have no issue going back to him in tournaments. Then we can round the team out with De’Andre Hunter as a secondary option to fill a roster out.
5-star play: Giannis Antetokounmpo
4-star play: Jrue Holiday, Dejounte Murray, Trae Young, Clint Capela
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Bobby Portis, Brook Lopez, Grayson Allen, John Collins, De’Andre Hunter
Portland Trailblazers @ Miami Heat
Vegas Total: 218.5
Vegas Spread: Mia -7.0
Starting with the Blazers, Damian Lillard comes in as questionable, while Anfernee Simons is doubtful, and Josh Hart and Justise Winslow come in as probable. It does sound like Lillard is close to returning so I’m going to assume he does here… if not, keep an eye on the Breaking News Feed for updates and who will benefit. I would think he’s not limited but I’m not sure how much of this team I want to get to anyway against a good defending, slow-paced, Miami Heat team. If Lillard were to miss I would actually have more interest due to the value it would open up. For now, most of this team is strictly GPP options for me in a tough matchup. From the Heat, Tyler Herro comes in as questionable which is news we’ll want to watch for as well, for the sake of this article I’ll operate under the assumption that he’s a go. Jimmy Butler hasn’t been crazy good this season, but he’s producing nicely and I do like the matchup a good amount, he’ll look good in this one. I have no problem going back to Bam Adebayo as well, he has at least 40 DraftKings points in four of his last five games. Assuming Herro plays, he’ll look good as well, but man the price tag is tough to stomach. The price tag on fat ole Kyle Lowry has come up as well, but he’s been pretty consistent this season and is a solid secondary option.
5-star play: Jimmy Butler
4-star play: Josh Hart, Jerami Grant, Jusuf Nurkic, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry
Deeper Value: Duncan Robinson, Keon Johnson
GPP Sleeper: Shaedon Sharpe, Jusuf Nurkic, Duncan Robinson
Toronto Raptors @ Chicago Bulls
Vegas Total: 221.5
Vegas Spread: Chi -4.0
Starting with the Raptors, they’ll be without Pascal Siakam I would anticipate Christian Koloko continues to start and he actually looked great last time out, but I wouldn’t expect six blocks from him again… he’s a fine value, but I don’t think I’m going to chase that game. I’d rather get a guy like Chris Boucher or Precious Achiuwa off of the bench simply because we’ve seen them do it before. Below is how this team operated with Siakam off of the court last season:
- OG Anunoby – 23.2% usage rate; 0.94 fpm
- Scottie Barnes – 19.7% usage rate; 0.94 fpm
- Gary Trent Jr – 23.4% usage rate; 0.92 fpm
- Fred VanVleet – 26.5% usage rate; 1.16 fpm
These are my favorite options which may seem obvious but sprinkle Boucher and Achiuwa in there as well. VanVleet returned last time out and chucked up 22 field goal attempts, he looks good again here in that same matchup. From the Bulls, I would anticipate Zach LaVine returns in this one after missing the front end of the back-to-back yesterday. Assuming he does play, this team becomes strictly secondary/tournament options for me. Anytime those three main guys of LaVine, DeMar DeRozan, and Nikola Vucevic are all healthy and active, it makes it really hard to prioritize any of them, especially on a massive slate.
5-star play: Fred VanVleet
4-star play: OG Anunoby, Gary Trent Jr., Scottie Barnes
Deeper Value: Christian Koloko
GPP Sleeper: Chris Boucher, Precious Achiuwa, Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic
Boston Celtics @ Memphis Grizzlies
Vegas Total: 230.0
Vegas Spread: Bos -3.5
Starting with the Celtics, Jayson Tatum continues to be a great option in all formats, he has at least 58 FanDuel points in two of his last three. Jaylen Brown will continue to be a tournament option for me due to the scoring dependency he has, we saw him bounce back last time out against the Knicks. Marcus Smart and Al Horford are fine secondary options, although both have shown signs of disappointment early on this season. Derrick White has been held under 21 DraftKings points in six straight and Malcolm Brogdon has been the better producer with at least 32 DraftKings points in three of his last four, I have no issue with him at this price tag. From the Grizzlies, Ja Morant has seen his production come down since Dillon Brooks returned to the rotation. We know the ceiling is there for him but he’s not producing consistently enough to want to get to him at this price tag on a big slate. Desmond Bane, on the other hand, has looked awesome and isn’t really impacted by Brooks being on the court and gets a revenge game against his old squad here! Steven Adams returned to normalcy last night after having two dominant games back to back, I don’t see myself getting to him on this slate. Dillon Brooks is more of a GPP option, we know he loves to shoot while he’s in there but with Morant and Bane demanding shots as well, it may be hard for him to get as many as he may want. Santi Aldama and Brandon Clarke are fine cheap options as well to round out the team.
5-star play: Jayson Tatum
4-star play: Jaylen Brown, Marcus Smart, Malcolm Brogdon, Al Horford, Ja Morant, Desmond Bane
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Dillon Brooks, Steven Adams, Santi Aldama, Brandon Clarke
New York Knicks @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Vegas Total: 233
Vegas Spread: Min -4.5
Starting with the Knicks, Julius Randle is a fine option, but I do like that we’re starting to see his minutes trend closer to 40 than we had seen more recently. I don’t see myself getting to a whole lot of Jalen Brunson this season, both sites have done really well at pricing him appropriately and it really hasn’t moved a bunch since the start of the season, but he’s a fine secondary option coming off of a nice couple of games. RJ Barrett has at least 34 DraftKings points in three straight and is slowly starting to shoot better. Mitchell Robinson missed their last game and seems like he’s going to miss again in this one meaning Isaiah Hartenstein should go right back into the starting lineup. He played 38 minutes and looked great, he’s a great option in all formats as a great per-minute producer in his career. From the Wolves, Rudy Gobert will be out again in this one, below is how this team operates with him off of the court this season:
- Karl-Anthony Towns – 31.2% usage rate; 1.62 fpm
- Anthony Edwards – 27.9% usage rate; 1.13 fpm
- D’Angelo Russell – 20.0% usage rate; 1.08 fpm
These would be the main pieces I want from the Wolves for obvious reasons, but I would expect we see Kyle Anderson slide into the starting lineup again as we saw last time out. He looked great in his start and is a solid value option in this one. Although, don’t watch the game if you play him… he’s not exactly an exhilarating watch.
5-star play: Karl-Anthony Towns, Isaiah Hartenstein
4-star play: Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson, RJ Barrett, Anthony Edwards, D’Angelo Russell, Kyle Anderson
Deeper Value: Kyle Anderson, Naz Reid
GPP Sleeper: Jaden McDaniels, Taurean Prince
Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
Vegas Total: 234.5
Vegas Spread: Den -8.0
We saw this matchup last time these two took the court, so we have a little sample size to go off of here. We’ll start with the Nuggets, Nikola Jokic will look great here and is right up there with Giannis and these other spend-ups as the top raw option on the slate. He averaged 67.5 FanDuel points per game in four games against the Spurs last season, so I’m not paying too much attention to his “down” game last time out. Michael Porter Jr. has been a bit more volatile than I’d like to see as of late, but he has huge double-double upside and the ability to get hot from three-point range at the drop of a hat. Jamal Murray saw his minutes come down last time out but that was mostly due to the blowout, I like going right back to him here, as we continue to target guards against the Spurs. Then guys like Aaron Gordon, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, and Bruce Brown all make sense as mid-range GPP options if you land on them as a filler option. From the Spurs, Keldon Johnson is going to continue to run this offense and play big minutes, I have no issue going right back to him in this one. Jakob Poeltl has struggled over his last couple of games and gets a tough matchup with Jokic down low in this one. He’d be more of a secondary option for me here. Devin Vassell has at least 35 DraftKings points in five straight games and looks like a nice option again in this one. As expected, Josh Richardson fell out of the rotation with these guys back and isn’t an option while these guys are in there. Then we can round the team out with Tre Jones who feels appropriately priced right now, but wouldn’t hate him as a filler option
5-star play: Nikola Jokic
4-star play: Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Jakob Poeltl, Tre Jones
Brooklyn Nets @ Dallas Mavericks
Vegas Total: 217.0
Vegas Spread: Dal -6.5
Starting with the Nets, who are still going to be without Kyrie Irving while Ben Simmons comes in as questionable. I don’t think Simmons availability does much in terms of impacting usage on the team but will take minutes away from a guy like Edmond Sumner who has been starting in Kyrie’s place. Kevin Durant is a guy I’ll go right back to even after a down game last time out. He had a 36.7% usage rate and 1.56 fantasy points per minute with Kyrie and Harden off of the court last season. Nic Claxton is a pretty easy breakdown for me, if Simmons plays, fade him. If Simmons is out, we can go right back to the well as he soaks up that closing five spot. Joe Harris finally got over 30 minutes last time out but he just can’t find his shot right now, he’s a fine MME flyer in case he gets hot at this price tag. The same can be said for Seth Curry who is expected to play, I just don’t think the minutes will be there for him even if he plays. Then Royce O’Neale will play all the minutes he can handle and is a solid filler piece. From the Mavs, Luka Doncic continues to roll with at least 56 FanDuel in seven straight games and is right up there with Jokic, Giannis, and the rest of these guys as a top raw option on the slate. The rest of this team is really hard for me to get to due to the usage that Luka demands. Guys like Spencer Dinwiddie and Tim Hardaway Jr. are fine tournament options, but they’re very volatile. Christian Wood’s price tag is beginning to finally fall, it’s still a bit high for me due to the minutes he sees, but we’re getting there.
5-star play: Kevin Durant, Luka Doncic
4-star play: Ben Simmons, Royce O’Neale
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Joe Harris, Spencer Dinwiddie, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Wood
Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors
Vegas Total: 235.0
Vegas Spread: Gsw -8.0
Starting with the Kings, De’Aaron Fox bounced back nicely last time out and has looked great to start the season. I like the matchup against a struggling Warriors team as well. Domantas Sabonis has at least 52 DraftKings points in back-to-back games and looks great here against this Warriors frontcourt. Keegan Murray has hit a bit of a slump but the price tag is still pretty nice and the minutes will be there for him, I have no issue getting right back to him in this price range. Kevin Huerter finally cooled off last time out, but he’s shown us the ceiling he’s capable of getting to, there are worse plays in this price range but he’s not a priority by any means. Then a guy like Harrison Barnes is more of a GPP guy for me in a revenge game against the Warriors. Speaking of the Warriors, Steph Curry will return in this one and has looked great to start the season with at least 51 FanDuel points in four of his last five games and gets an elite matchup in this one. I’ll probably be off of Jordan Poole as he’ll move back to the bench in this one, and he’s really struggled to be productive as the sixth man this season. I’m sure he’ll figure it out, but I don’t want to pay this price tag for him right now. Andrew Wiggins is kind of blah at this price tag, he’s been fairly consistent this season but on a 15-game slate, I’m not sure we need to force him. I think we can say the same for Draymond Green as well. Klay Thompson has at least 30 minutes in three straight games and has a nice price tag here, I have no issue going back to him again. Then we can round this team out with Kevon Looney as a value option, but I’m sure we’ll get better value as the day goes on.
5-star play: Steph Curry
4-star play: De’Aaron Fox, Domantas Sabonis, Keegan Murray, Klay Thompson
Deeper Value: Kevon Looney
GPP Sleeper: Kevin Huerter, Harrison Barnes, Andrew Wiggins, Draymond Green
Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz
Vegas Total: 229.5
Vegas Spread: Uta -4.5
Starting with the Lakers, Anthony Davis… isn’t questionable for once! He’s had down games over his last couple, but I can’t help but think he’s still too cheap on DraftKings at $9.1k. He’s $10.3k on FanDuel which I think we can pretty easily fade, but I will definitely have exposure on DraftKings against this Jazz frontcourt. LeBron James has been held under 50 FanDuel points in four straight games, I think there are better spend-up options on this slate with Davis and Westbrook both healthy. Speaking of Russell Westbrook, he’s putting up good fantasy numbers right now and I think he makes sense as a tournament option at the very least at this price tag. Outside of the big three, I don’t think we need to get too much else from this team. From the Jazz, Lauri Markkanen owns a 24.7% usage rate to go along with 1.37 fantasy points per minute, with Jarred Vanderbilt off of the court this season. I’m operating under the assumption that Vanderbilt is out again in this one which shoots Markkanen’s rates up a good amount. Jordan Clarkson has looked great as of late as well, it’s nice to finally see him get consistent minutes for once. Collin Sexton has been a guy I’ve been getting more of as of late, he’s beginning to get more minutes and has been floating around that 30-minute mark in four of his last five games. His price has come up, but I do like the matchup and would think they continue to look to him for additional minutes as we get deeper into the season. Kelly Olynyk has been pretty volatile to start the season, he would be more of a GPP option for me. Mike Conley will always be a secondary type of guy for me and is someone I’ll have no issue with if you land on him, but not a priority by any means.
5-star play: Anthony Davis (DraftKings)
4-star play: LeBron James, Russell Westbrook, Lauri Markkanen, Jordan Clarkson, Collin Sexton
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Russell Westbrook, Kelly Olynyk, Mike Conley
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Los Angeles Clippers
Vegas Total: 213.0
Vegas Spread: Cle -4.0
We’ll round out the slate starting with the Cavs, Donovan Mitchell continues to produce good numbers with at least 45 DraftKings points in four straight games and looks like a solid option again in this one. Darius Garland followed up his massive game against the Celtics with a fine game against the lake show last time out. I love going right back to him on DraftKings at this price tag… not so much on FanDuel where he’s $8k. I think we can safely fade Caris LeVert at this price tag as this team comes in healthy as well. Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley are fine GPP options, but I don’t think we need to force it on this slate, if you land on them as a filler piece, I have no issue with them. Kevin Love came down to Earth last time out but is absolutely dominating on a per-minute basis, the issue… he’ll be lucky to get to 25 minutes keeping him as a firm GPP play. From the Clippers, Paul George looked good yesterday and will be in play yet again here, but the matchup is a tough one against this Cavs defense. Reggie Jackson isn’t good, but with John Wall already ruled out his minutes become extremely secure which puts him in play as a GPP option at the very least. The same can be said for Norman Powell who apparently also stinks, I’m not forcing him on this slate, I need to see some consistency from him before going back. Ivica Zubac is volatile but has at least 33 DraftKings points in three of his last four, he’ll look good for tournaments again here. Then we can round out the team with Marcus Morris who has seen big minutes as of late with Robert Covington out. Covington returned last night and he still saw 38 minutes, so he’s pretty locked into the rotation right now and looks like a solid option in the mid-range.
5-star play: Darius Garland (DraftKings), Paul George
4-star play: Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen, Reggie Jackson, Ivica Zubac, Marcus Morris
Deeper Value: None
GPP Sleeper: Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley, Kevin Love, Ivica Zubac, Reggie Jackson
NBA Lock of the Day: Isaiah Hartenstein (DK – $5.2k; FD – $5.2k)
I’m going right back to the well with Hartenstein as Mitchell Robinson is out again for the Knicks. We saw Hartenstein start and play 38 minutes last time out… which is awesome for a guy who is as good per minute as he is. Not to mention an elite match against the Rudy Gobert-less Wolves frontcourt. When Towns was in there last season they were one of the worst teams in the league against opposing big men. At this point in the day, I would think he makes my core, but check out our VIP Cheat Sheets as we get closer to lock for staff picks on Core plays, 8x locks of the day, and tiers notes as well!
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