Hi there! I’m Aaron/AFriedman15 (@AFriedman15DFS)  and this is Friedman’s Fighting Five, where I will include 5 of my favorite plays from the new Prop site and DFS Army Partner Monkey Knife Fight, using information from the DFS Army NBA Research Station (RS),  NBA WOWY, and other sources. I will also offer slate commentary based on DraftKings and DK pricing.   Some days, when there is a smaller slate, there will be fewer picks.  I will generally list them in order of personal preference. My research is focused around DK and the DK Research station, so keep that in mind. Players may be viable to varying degrees at the other sites as well. I will generally try to write Mondays, Wednesdays, Fridays, and Weekends, but I may have some spare time on other days as well.

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In my articles, I will use a few terms which may or may not be familiar:

DKFPPG = DraftKings Fantasy Points Per Game

DKFPPM =DraftKings Fantasy Points Per Minute

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LA Clippers at Denver: 

This is easily my preferred game over the two-game main slate on this Sunday slate. The Clippers head into Denver as 8.5 point underdogs with a 235 O/U. Jokic is my preferred DFS play of the day, so I like him in a few props as well. My favorite prop I saw was this one with Lou Williams and Paul Millsap. I like Lou Williams to have a decent game here and Paul Millsap, I could see contending for double-digit rebounds against the Clippers. Millsap is averging 8 rebounds per game in February, and 12.5/game in two games against the Clippers.

• Lou Williams over 20.5 points to a MAX of over 22.5 points
• Paul Millsap over 6.5 rebounds to a MAX of over 8.5 rebounds

As mentioned, I do like Jokic a lot here today, but I’d probably go under at 25 points, so just be careful. As mentioned in GameBreak, Danillo Gallinari draws a matchup where the Suns are 28th in defense against small forwards  so I do like Gallo to go over his 3-point made prop. Normally, I like Montrezl Harrell, but I am a little concerned with his minutes and production of late. Harrell was under 30 minutes in his last two games and has had no more than 2 combined blocks and steals in his last four games. Shamet is a good shooter, but three three-pointers feels like a big ask. Same with Plumlee to get 8 rebounds…

• Nikola Jokic under 23.5 points to MIN 21.5 points
• Landry Shamet under 2.5 3PM to 1.5 3PM
• Montrezl Harrell under 2.5 STL+BLK to 1.5 STL+BLK
• Mason Plumlee under 7.5 REB to 5.5 REB
• Lou Williams  over 5.5 AST to 7.5 AST

A must read for all NBA DFS Players  — Madness DFS’s GameBreak

San Antonio at New York: 

Our nightcap sits at an O/U of 224 with the Spurs a 9 point favorite over the hapless Knicks. Madness DFS mentioned Aldridge’s drastic home/road splits, so I like him to go under this prop and his season average (20.7 PPG). Hezonja is a turd so I like his under prop better on the 4/5 slate where you aren’t killed if he hits a trey. Rudy Gay is probably my favorite point per dollar play on the slate,so I do like his over prop. Meanwhile, Vonleh may be a nice DFS play, but that rebound prop is massive, considering he hasn’t gone for double-digit rebounds since February 1st.  According to GameBreak, the Knicks rank 21st in defense against opposing shooting guards on the year and DeRozan is averaging around 35 minutes per game at about 1.14 fantasy points per minute, so there is plenty of time to rack up 7 or 8 assists here. Bertans has 4 3PMs in the past two days so I like the under, regressing back towards his mean of 2.1 3PM/

• LaMarcus Aldridge under 21.5 points to MIN 18.5 points
• Mario Hezonja under 0.5 3PM
• Rudy Gay over 1.5 STL + BLK to 2.5 STL+BLK
• Noah Vonleh under  8.5 REB to MIN 6.5 REB
• DeMar  DeRoZan over 6.5 AST to MAX 7.5 AST
• Luke Kornet under 2.5 AST to MIN 1.5 AST
• Davis Bertans under 2.5 3PM (probably my min)

 

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Those are your Fighting Five Props! Some are going to be commonplace, and some won’t.  These are players my research led me to and some will contain risk.  Your research may indicate you agree or disagree, and that’s ok….we discuss these things in our coaching channels nightly.  Good luck tonight!  Check the coaches picks for even more confidence in your plays.  And always consult all of the unlocked tools (including the Research Station) before lock!  And, if you are catching me on a #FreebieFriday, you are going to want to unlock those coaching channels by admitting……

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