Welcome to the DFS Army NBA 1st look article. In this article, I’ll try to give you a quick glance at the NBA slate each morning.
I’ll go over some of the Vegas info and some of the Injury situations we’re monitoring throughout the league.
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NBA 1st Look January 7th
San Antonio Spurs 108.8 at Detroit Pistons 105.3
Vegas SA 3.5 Total 214
Brooklyn Nets 104.3 at Boston Celtics 114.3
Vegas BOS -10.0 Total 218.5
Denver Nuggets 107 at Houston Rockets 108
Vegas HOU -1.0 Total 215
Utah Jazz 108.5 at Milwaukee Bucks 114
Vegas MIL -5.5 Total 222.5
Memphis Grizzlies 104 at New Orleans Pelicans 109.5
Vegas NO -5.5 Total 213.5
Los Angeles Lakers at Dallas Mavericks
Vegas TBD Total TBD
New York Knicks 104.8 at Portland Trail Blazers 115.8
Vegas POR -11.0 Total 220.5
Orlando Magic 109.5 at Sacramento Kings 114.5
Vegas SAC -5.0 Total 224
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💥 Top 5 Pace up matchups
Pace Up team in BOLD
Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans + 7.8
Orlando Magic vs Sacramento Kings + 6.6
Dallas Mavericks vs L.A. Lakers + 3
Utah Jazz vs Milwaukee Bucks + 2.9
San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons + 1.8
💥 Worst Defenses to attack on tonight’s slate
Ranked by Team Defensive Efficiency – Bad defensive team in BOLD
Portland Trail Blazers vs New York Knicks – 29th
Orlando Magic vs Sacramento Kings – 27th
Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans – 25th
Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets – 19th
Dallas Mavericks vs L.A. Lakers – 18th
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💥 Who’s Out? Who’s Questionable? What it means…
HOU Eric Gordon and Chris Paul OUT
James Harden in his last 5 games he’s averaging 40 minutes and 65.5 fantasy points per game. Sure, he’s expensive but the odds of him failing with CP3 and Gordon off the floor are very small. His last 5 games look like this (FD scoring) 53.5 – 80.5 – 71.5 – 68.8 – 53.4. He is currently priced at $12,900 on Fanduel and honestly, that’s still too cheap for the numbers he’s putting up. With CP3 and Gordon off the floor Harden has a 50% usage rate and averages 2.0 fantasy points per minute. Don’t get cute here in cash, just lock him in and move on. When he reaches $14,000 salary then we can talk about fade strategies.
NOP Nikola Mirotic OUT and E’Twaun Moore – Questionable
(copy and paste from earlier this week)
Mirotic has been out for a while so we should know how to handle this by now. #1 is Anthony Davis, who is pretty much matchup-proof in any matchup. He has a legit floor of 45-50 fantasy points every single night and barring injury is one of the safest players to roster. Next up for me is Julius Randle who has averaged 37 minutes and 41.1 fantasy points in his last 5 games. 3rd is Jrue Holiday who has averaged 38 minutes and 39.7 fantasy points in his last 5 games. I’m a little concerned with Holiday now that Payton is back and running the point.
SAC Iman Shumpert OUT and Marvin Bagley Questionable
De’Aaron Fox gets a +2.6% usage increase up to 28.7% with Shumpert and Bagley off the floor and he averages 1.11 fp/min. Buddy Heild gets a 1.3% usage increase up to 28.5% and averages 1.06 fp/min. Buddy Heild has the better matchup of the two tonight vs the Magic who allow 2% more FP to SG than the league average, and they allow 6% fewer FP to PG than the league average.
NYK Frank Ntilikina and Mitchell Robinson OUT
With Frank Ntilikina out we should see some extra run for the guards on the Knicks. Although I’m really only interested in Emmanuel Mudiay and Tim Hardaway Jr. Trey Burke and Courtney Lee should be used in deep GPP only. With Robinson Out we’ve seen Luke Kornet get more minutes and produce well. Over his last 5 games he has averaged 25 minutes and 25.7 fantasy points per game. Noah Vonleh leads the team over their last 5 games averaging 33.8 fantasy points in 29 minutes per game.
More analysis you will see in our VIP ONLY Members area today…
BOS Kyrie Irving – Probable
LAL Kyle Kuzma – Questionable
BKN Rondae Hollis Jefferson – Questionable
UTA Dante Exum – OUT
UTA Thabo Sefolosha – OUT
Here is an example of the type of breakdown our VIP Members when NBA news starts to drop.
We let you know exactly who is out and exactly who to benefit when news hits
