Welcome everyone, to this weeks edition of Draw Plays!! I’m your host DabbingPuggle, bringing you this weeks insights on the best WR/CB match-ups for your GPP’s. A quick note before we dive in. I like to have fun and make money; I plan on doing both things every Sunday for the next few months. If you like fun, jump in my room #puggle-nfl on Sunday morning 10-1. If you like making money, be sure to read all the articles our NFL staff has for you each week. If you don’t like either, take a hike. Get it? Hut Hut Hike… let’s do this Army!!

Tier 1 Draw Plays

OBJ Vs. Jalen Mills

Odell Beckham Jr. continues to perform after claiming the Giants could win eight straight. Well, a win on Sunday would go a long way toward their faint playoff hopes. Last week he only saw four targets but that was a team high as Saquon Barkley just ripped apart Tampa Bay. This week he sees an extremely exploitable Philly secondary and will be matched up with Jalen Mills. The Green Goblin has been a liability this season allowing multiple big plays and has offenses targeting him 23% of the time while conceding a 72% catch rate.

Willie Snead Vs. Nick Nelson

Lamar Jackson seems to like Snead as he was his most targeted receiver last week. He’s great value on both sites and is stepping into a very plus match up. Nick Nelson is a baby with limited snaps in this league. Leon Hall was another DNP and is on track to miss this game. So Nelson slots in… get it? Slots (cause he’s going to be in the slot) I’m funny, give me some credit. The 4th round pick out of Maryland has only dropped into coverage 24 times and has seen a 20% target rate. The sample size is really small, but what I do know is that when you add up the price, target rate, and inexperienced rookie opponent, Snead becomes a receiver I want exposure to.

Keenan Allen Vs. Bene’ Benwikere

A few weeks ago I told you all to start buying on Keenan Allen… How ya like me now! He has been on some tear. 31 targets over the last 3 weeks have led to a couple touchdowns and he is back to being the main man in the middle for the surprisingly good Chargers. This week, they get to face the unsurprisingly awful Cardinals and we like it when good teams play bad teams. Seems legit… now you add in that BB has been on 5 teams in 5 years and has not done anything to make us think he’s sticking in Arizona. The knock on this guy is that he has difficulty with man coverage and can’t release off the line… This is a really bad spot for Benwikere to be in against a guy like Allen.

Julian Edelman Vs. Buster Skrine

At a poker game this past week, I had a conversation with a gentleman who I’ve known for a long time. Huge Jets fan who was trying to convince me that Buster Skrine isn’t as bad as I was saying he was. 22% target rate and 69% opposing catch rate…. that’s bad. Numbers, they don’t lie. They may lie for an instance or a game, but over time they show the reality of efficiency, productiveness, and a lack thereof. Julian Edelman is a personal favorite of mine being a Kent State alum. He’s also a personal favorite of Gisele’s husband drawing 10+ targets in three straight with two hundred yard games.

Tier 2 Draw Plays

DJ Moore Vs. Shaquil Griffin

D.J. Moore stopped being a secret for us here at the Army a few weeks into the season. We saw the talent and knew it was only a matter of time before he had that game that really had everyone talking. Well, that was last week and he’s officially not a secret to even the casual DFS player. You won’t get the ownership edge this week, but he’s still underpriced industry wide and provides great value in a plus match-up.

Griffin is giving up a lot of catches this season and has still had a lot of issues improving on one of his biggest faults coming out of the draft last season, he loses leverage and allows the receiver to cut to the inside giving quarterbacks clear passing lanes. It’s also something Moore is absolutely excellent at, he runs routes better than a lot of veteran receivers. Is he going to 7 for 157 and TD again? Probably not, but 5-7 catches with some upside is extremely realistic and I’ll sign up for that all day.

Mike Evans Vs. Richard Sherman

Despite some of the great match-ups so far, this is a difficult WR week. So we need to take a shot against some tough Richard Sherman defense and when we do that, I want to at least tilt the scales in my favor. Evans is the type of guy I’m okay with against him for a couple of reasons.

The first of these is that Evans workload is safe every week, it may not be massive but it’s safe to expect a minimum of 6 targets even against one of the least targeted corners in the league. Secondly, Sherman doesn’t often give up height to receivers and is a big part of his success in this league. At 6’3 we don’t ever see him significantly undersized against his opponent but at 6’5 Evans gets the nod. It may not seem like a large disparity, but anyone who’s ever seen Any Given Sunday knows that “The inches we need are everywhere around us. They are in every break of the game”….To win a GPP you need every single inch.

Golden Tate Vs. Grant Haley

Grant Haley saw almost 68% of defensive snaps last week and looks to get the start again this week. He has had some growing pains in coverage the last three weeks allowing opposing receivers to a 90% catch rate. You read that correctly and I’ll reiterate that it is on a very small sample size. But 9/10 is something we should take notice of.

You all know I love Tate and he wasn’t great last week where I really loved the spot for him. So we go after it again because I wasn’t completely wrong and he saw 8 targets. Doug Pederson is one of the smartest coaches in football and I’m sure if I can figure out that they need to try to exploit this rookie, so has he. How productive Tate can be is up for debate, but it’s always fun to be that guy at your water cooler on Monday saying “Told you so.”

Sunday Night Special

Davante Adams Vs. Xavier Rhodes

This game has massive playoff implications for both teams. It’s pretty much a must win situation for the Packers here if they want any shot at the wildcard. Adams is seeing a 23% target rate this season as he has needed to be the guy for this team and will continue to have to fill that role. Rhodes has been good, but not great and should be really busy in primetime. Teams will always rely on their go-to’s when their back is against the wall and this will once again be the case for Adams here. A good pivot in this game would be Marques Valdez Scantling as he disappointed in the slot last week, but Mackenzie Alexander has been atrocious this season.

Value Town

I am quantifying value on each site by price where on FanDuel I am looking for players priced below 6K and DraftKings priced below 5k. These are the guys in GPP’s that are those targeted punts that we need to beat large fields and walk away with the trophy.

Think about this for a moment, you look at the teams at the top and say to yourself, “How in the world did this guy think rostering player X was a good idea?” Well, these are the guys who allow you to get all the heavy hitters in the same lineup. You want a swag bag, you want the big bucks, these are the guys in week 12 I think could help you get there.

FanDuel DraftKings

1. Marquise Goodwin 5K 1 . Larry Fitzgerald 5K

2. Sterling Shepard 6K 2. Courtland Sutton 4.4K

3. Christian Kirk 5.6K 3. Kenny Stills 3.9K

4. Adam Humphries 5.6K 4. Davante Parker (Q) 4.2K

5. Kendrick Bourne 4.9K 5. DeSean Jackson 4.9K

Curtsies vs Waist-Benders

Ok, well those are the same thing. I just wanted to say thanks. Guys, I’m excited to be a part of DFS Army, and I’m thankful you guys have both welcomed me and read my piece. As stated, I’ll be in my room (#puggle-nfl) from 10-1 Sunday. I look forward to chatting with all of you as we approach lock in what promises to be both an entertaining and fruitful NFL season. If you haven’t yet, head back into the content areas and read the next VIP article….I bet it’s there now. See the NFL Pages for even more content!