We’ve had nine different winners of $50,000 – $250,000 over the past several months, including another $50,000 winner this on FanDuel!. Life is good for our members and we’ve seen a 100% growth in the company and upped our staff to 25 strong, handsome, and brilliant members (massive embellishment there). It’s been quite a ride and the beautiful thing is that we have another three months of the NBA season to consistently grow our bankroll until MLB is here. Slow and steady wins the race as far as bankroll goes and that will be important for today’s slate of games.
PG
Lillard – 28.4% usage / 1.14 fpm , +6 implied total / pace up
IT2 – 30.3% usage / .92 fpm without Love/Rose . bigger bump if Wade OUT
Kyrie – 29.4% usasge / 1.17 fpm, great matchup vs Knicks
Kemba – 27.1% usage / 1.07 fpm, elite GPP matchup with Hawks (stack with Howard for Pick and Roll boost in GPPs)
Collison – still too cheap on FD/DK, great cash/gpp option at first glance (ownership low in GPPs due to perceived difficult matchup / stack with Myles Turner who is 2k underpriced on FD in GPPs)
Dennis Smith – 30% usage if Barae OUT, quality small field GPP option + ladders. great pivot off of Goran Dragic against the Heat who look miserable (prefer Tyler Johnson to leverage against Dragic ownership – TJ started at SG last game and should destroy J.R. Smith who looks lazier than ever)
Farrell – So cheap on FD, love him for GPPs
Payton – 21.4% usage is low / 1.06 fpm is solid and pace up/matchup boost… plays better with Gordon though so only in play with AG active
SG
McCollum – incredible matchup against LaVine/Holiday, 24% usage / .93 fpm
J.R. Smith – heavy minutes and cheap price make him GPP viable IF Wade is OUT on b2b (no Love adds to his opportunity)….heat allowing 59.2 ppg in L10 to SG (2nd worst)
Evan Fournier – GPP option with a 20.8% usage rate and fast paced game
Wes Matthews – always underowned option playing heavy minutes in massive pace up / matchup boost with Pheonix. cash/gpp/ladders viable…Suns allowing 57.5 ppg in L10 to SG***(third worst)
Dipo – ownership will go to Tyreke Evans in cash, Dipo the premier GPP option at SG tonight with nearly a 30% usage over the past month and possibly no Lance Stephenson. Memphis bottom 10 in league against SG and allowing 30.1 real points to opposing SGs in L10 (last 10-games)
KCP/Clarkson – cash kcp/clarkson gpp..Magic allowing 55 ppg to SG (5th worst in L10) and highest FG% allowed 51% ********* Clarkson ELITE and game log watchers won’t touch him
Bazemore – Hornets allowing third worst FG% BUT are bottom 5 matchup for SG in L10, Baze purely GPP ONLY and Batum clearly is healthy and his long body causing issues for opposing guards…feels trappy
SF
Josh Richardson – the premier play tonight against the Cavs and perceived tough LeBron defense…they are dead last against opposing SF in L10. Jrich stud cash game play
Harrison Barnes – elite cash/gpp/ladder option in great paceup / implied boost against pheonix
Ingram – lowest owned out of the top 3 listed here but has a great matchup against Orlando in the likely fastest paced game of the night
leBron – easy cash game option. clearly the top player on the slate and priced accordingly. Have no problem fading him for 2 of the options above in GPPs hoping the Cavs just implode tonight….they’re fading fast into the break
Hezonja – going back to the well if AG OUT again*** 1.01 fpm and upper 26% usage rate without him
T.J. Warren – another excellent option, i’ll be targeting everyone BUT LeBron in GPPs tonight. had a 23% usage rate or higher in 5 of L6…likely more of a cash game play as his ceiling seems lower because of the super slow matchup with the Mavs
Denzel Valentine – IF Mirotic/Markannen OUT, the Bulls will play small and fast leading Denzel to 30+ (as he already has been the last week or so) strong GPP play as this game will be close and competitve even without those two
PF
Bobby Portis – IF Miro/Mark both miss, Portis 100% in GPPs/Cash….DO NOT GET CUTE….IF Mirotic is active, still likely a LOCK for me unless superior news cycle hits during the afternoon / pre-lock (scored 35+ twice with Markannen out last month and 26+ in all 3 games)
Mirotic – IF active, I think this is the game they showcase him in for trade, 40-mins and 25 shots possible. ELITE GPP option
Jae Crowder/Jeff Green – I think the Cavs could mess with their starters tonight but Jae and Jeff both played well in the games K Love has missed this year. I like them BOTH for GPP and prefer Crowder in CASH…both underpriced by 1k for tonight’s game.
I won’t pay up past Mirotic tonight and likely will decide between Crowder/Green to go with Portis NO MATTER what…similar to SF last night, I see no reason to pay up at a position where superb value is evident
C
Biyumbo – Will play solid minutes against the Lakers in a great matchup/pace…looks good when playig against bigs and bad when playing small teams. without AG he has averaged over 30 PPG so he’s cash/gpp viable if AG OUT***
Turner – easy cash play tonight even in a tough matchup. should get 30-mins and is a great talent to use at 30mins of playing time. 105.5 implied is right there with season-long average. not worried
Howard – hates the hawks, crushed them a couple games ago, extra rest day, should go HAM again. cash/gpp option (although lean towards CASH because we have extra money tonight)
Embiid – GPP option, Kanter just went for 53 on FD against the Nets…Embiid could go 80 (not joking) his 1.43 fpm is second to ONLY LBJ (1.45) and he’s $1,400 cheaper than LeBron and his team isn’t imploding
Whiteside – MY TOP GPP OPTION ON THE ENTIRE SLATE – ALL POSITIONS
played 18mins against the Cavs in Novemebr and scored 35.80 fpts. Drummond just went HAM against the Cavs, they suck and they’re lazy. Whiteside 1.38 FPM is THIRD on the entire slate. minutes up, pace up, implied up, matchup boost, he should EAT. if he plays 30mins he can score 50 ftps
I’ll update my NOTES later in SLACK based on news cycle and do my “cash game” list again with an asterisk next to my cash game core to build around.
Best of luck,
You can find me on Twitter @DFSnDONUTS
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