Flynnie's Forecheck NHL DFS Advice for Fanduel and Draftkings

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I’ve found that DFS hockey is the most similar to baseball. You need correlation in both cash and GPP, pay up for the most reliable production (Goalie, Pitcher) when you can, and everyone’s floor is zero. Sidney Crosby can get you a goose egg, and Mike Trout can go 0-4 with three strike outs and kill your roster. It can happen, and it will happen. Just ride it out with me and you’ll have success.

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I play more classic on FanDuel, and still play Pick ‘Em on DK, so when I talk stacks I will focus more on FD. The scoring is similar as far as points being weighted. For cash, you can mix and match pieces from my stacks to create your lineup. For cash I generally only do two forwards and maybe a defenseman for a 3-man stack, but that’s it. In cash, you want pieces of a lot of good scoring options. In GPP you live or die by your line stacks.

You hear a lot of people say “don’t play that guy, he’ll be too high owned.” Forget that nonsense, it is very overrated. Yes, you need some lower owned guy to go off. But if you build a solid team, you’ll have success. It’s highly unlikely that someone will have the exact same team as you. That’s true in all sports!

Without any further ado. Let’s break down tonight’s 11-game slate. The Bruins – Panthers game has been postponed.

 

Forwards

For forwards, I focus on higher projected games, generally the top-2 lines on those teams – there will be times when line 3 will be in play it’s rare. Then I look at Corsi numbers, both for and against for that line and the line they will be matched up with for most of the game.

COL 1: Rantanen, MacKinnon, Landeskog: These three are becoming one of my favorite lines to play. They are scoring a ton and consistently atop the Corsi leader boards. MacKinnon is one of the hottest players in the league right now and he plays better at home – YES PLEASE.

PHI 1: Konecny, Couturier, Giroux: Giroux and Couturier are still among the league leaders in scoring. They are playing the Islanders, who cannot get out of their own way lately. The top 2 NYI lines can still score, but they can’t stop anyone from scoring either. The Islanders are the WORST CA/60 team over the last three weeks.

DAL 1: Seguin, Benn, Radulov: These three are back together! Hitchcock likes to move them around but when they are together they can put up incredible numbers. New Jersey has been putting up very good defensive numbers lately, however their weak link is the top line. Dallas will use the second change to exploit that match up as much as they can.

Honorable Mentions: MIN 2, ANA 1, CBJ 1, VGK 1-2, TB 1-2, CAR 1

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Defense

For defense, I look for floor. The main scoring is going to come from the forwards. By floor, I mean: shots on goal, blocks, points (those are harder to predict) and I want a defense man that gets a lot of ice time on the PP too. Just like in any other sport, you can’t score points if you’re on the bench.

Burns: He is scorching hot right now and TOR hates playing defense – win win. He is expensive but it is possible to get him in a cash lineup tonight. There’s always merit to fading him in GPP’s, always but lock him in cash.

Hedman: Another hot player going against a team that doesn’t play much defense. He comes at a savings compared to Burns, so he is your pivot. Not to mention he is the QB on the #2 PP unit in the league.

There are plenty of defensemen in excellent spots tonight. I’ll use the honorable mentions section for my value plays. I can’t write up everyone, so check out our DFS Army Slack chat for updated plays throughout the day as well as our other tools.

Honorable Mentions: McNabb, Scandella, Manson, Werenski, Seidenberg, Eric Johnson, Spurgeon, Vlasic, Petry

Goalies

Goalies are not the easiest to predict, because just like a pitcher in baseball they can come out flat and once they get off to a rough start some don’t recover. I lean heavily on Vegas when choosing a goalie. Look at the money line and implied team total (ITT). Generally, it is a pay up spot. (This article is coming out before all goalies are confirmed. ALWAYS confirm starters before locking one in)

Goalies have been a royal pain in the balls this season. It seems like the ones with the highest money lines are the ones getting rocked.

“Variance is a fickle bitch”

Vasilevskiy: As far as I’m concerned he’s the top play on the board. He is expensive though. No one has been able to score on him recently. Add that to the fact that MTL will shoot a lot, and you have a recipe for a win a boat load of saves – high floor, high ceiling – DFS GOLD.

Murray: Decent Vegas favorite at -149, Carolina will shoot quite a bit to exploit PIT 1’s terrible defense. As a team they are one of the best defensively over the last three weeks, however. I don’t trust him in cash but he’s certainly viable in GPP’s.

Dubnyk: He is the largest Vegas favorite at -191. Buffalo is struggling offensively, which lowers Dubnyk’s ceiling but he still should get the win. I think he is cash safe, if you can’t afford Vasilevskiy.

Honorable Mentions: Rinne, Bishop, Fleury

Slack is where the magic happens.

Hope this helps you. Remember join the DFS Army www.Dfsarmy.com/ref/32 and follow me on Twitter @rflynndfs. Let’s make some money tonight!