Here is your weekly sharp line analysis for week 12.
TEN @ IND
Let’s start with one of the favorite games of the week. Tennessee opened the week as 4.5 point favorites. The line is currently TEN -3. This movement came as a result of a couple large pushes on the colts. Sharp bettors have turned on that notion and are back on the Titans as of this morning.
DFS Takeaway: We like the offenses here as the bettors expect the Colts to be in this to the end and the total went up a half point so the points are even headed in the right direction. Full steam ahead.
BUF @ KC
KC started as 9.5 point favorites but the line dropped a point to 8.5. Further to this, the total has risen 1.5 points. While the public believes in the Chiefs, the sharps are jumping ship. The moneyline this week opened at KC -450, rose to KC -509, and then plummeted to KC -361.
DFS Takeaway: The sharps have had a tough season so far but you won’t see that deter them. This week they are on Buffalo. If you want to join the bettors you can jump on the Buf offense and fade a public spot. If you don’t believe it, you can still fade the KC defense. This is a spot we will continue to monitor up until lock.
CLE @ CIN
Money is coming in on Cleveland. Sharps are in on cleveland despite their inability to close games out, win them, or even cover them. The spread has come down from CIN -8 to CIN -7.5. The total is up a half a point.
DFS Takeaway: Eventually Cleveland has to get it right. They don’t seem as bad as their record. Still this is a low total, division rivalry. There are better spots, y’all.
MIA @ NE
New England comes in with the highest point spread of the season. 17 points. That’s insane, by itself, but it’s about to get weirder. The total has risen by 1.5 points.
DFS Takeaway: Fire up all the Patriots.
JAX @ ARI
Jacksonville just got some great news that Jalen Ramsey will be playing and the bettors have responded in kind. Their moneyline has risen 28 points in the last 3 hours.
DFS Takeaway: This is a low total game but jacksonville defense is in play.
NO @ LAR
We will finish this off with the game of the week. This one has the highest total and the sharps love the Rams. The saints are missing their best cover corner, in addition to being further banged up on defense.
DFS Takeaway: This is a great spot for the Rams to be in and you can lean on their offense, if not game stack.
Sharps like Atlanta, Steelers, and they also like SF (slightly) to cover. Not too much there but
Good luck in week 12, Army!
