For those of you reading this from other sources around the web, I want you to see a few things. First, our dedication to education. This isn’t just another stat site or LU selling service. We have solid, experienced members dedicated to TEACHING you how to build your own LUs and competitively select the best contests for your game time. We teach how to manage your bankroll. We teach when to take risk and when to pull back. Second, we had another 7 or 8 members go over the #300Club last night. So many it’s actually hard to post them all in here for you to see. You are just going to have to take my word for it that we are growing our #300Club every slate we play. Nothing too huge last night, but I did see a player invest around $25 and return over $150! That’s a nice little ROI. If I remember correctly, this is the same player that has won the HappyHour tourney at least once, placed 2nd in it another time, and routinely gets on a heater and does damage. He is very active in our slack channels helping others out, too. Third, I want you to see a small testimonial…..
“Appreciatte it. Dont know if you remember but i asked the same question about football and basketball to you. I think its really cool that you guys are still around I the rooms, actively involved, and you guys really want us to succeed.4I dont want to go on a rant but the help is very much appreciatted.”
We see messages like this from time to time, as well. If you are not a current member of the DFS Army and would like to get involved, cruise the website. If you would like to try NBA for the final month of the season, you are starting to run out of time. See below for details into the VIP Insiders program that brings more content and more specific teaching and more access to not only our DFS pros like Keith Hall, but also our regular #300Club crushers that are constantly giving advice that lifts up other members to the point you see our army logo in the money very frequently when we enter our tourneys. For those of you that already all that……
Fall in, soldiers!! This process isn’t intended to take long. It’s a skim, if you will. You are starting your research by quickly glancing over the day’s slate and gathering your early intel. Our goal is to give you a head start on today’s action. Keith and I will be back later with picks and analysis for the slate for our VIP Insiders, as well as provide answers to questions as much as possible in the VIP Slack channels.
Daily Fantasy Players are priced by many factors. Some of the key factors are the teams’ seasonal averages in points scored and the pace at which they play. We can assume if a team is expected to score more points than they usually do, players from that team are in a better than usual spot to succeed. We can also assume if a team is expected to play at a faster pace than usual, their players are in a better than usual spot to succeed.
VEGAS LINES – It honestly all starts here. 200 is the standard for a game in which we can expect fantasy goodness to appear. But, a lot more factors come into play, too. We don’t try to predict blowouts, but red spreads indicate the possibility. I will also add the NBA is changing. Last season, there may have been one game total over 230. This season, we have already seen more than ever. 190 totals are becoming more uncommon than common. We may revisit the magical 200 someday and call it 215. Either way, I am targeting the highest few games on any slate, regardless of the totals. I use this graphic as a guide.
| Road Team | Home Team | Favorite | Spread | Total | Tip-Off | |
| Indiana Pacers (38-33) | at | Brooklyn Nets (20-51) | TBD | TBD | TBD | 6:00 PM |
| Toronto Raptors (48-22) | at | New Orleans Pelicans (26-45) | TOR | -9 | 203 | 7:00 PM |
| Chicago Bulls (36-35) | at | Orlando Magic (29-42) | TBD | TBD | TBD | 7:00 PM |
| Atlanta Hawks (42-30) | at | Detroit Pistons (38-34) | DET | -1 | 203.5 | 7:30 PM |
| Cleveland Cavaliers (51-21) | at | New York Knicks (30-43) | CLE | -8 | 203.5 | 7:30 PM |
| San Antonio Spurs (60-11) | at | Oklahoma City Thunder (50-22) | TBD | TBD | TBD | 8:00 PM |
| Utah Jazz (35-37) | at | Minnesota Timberwolves (23-48) | UTA | -6.5 | 196.5 | 8:00 PM |
| Charlotte Hornets (41-30) | at | Milwaukee Bucks (30-42) | CHA | -3 | 204.5 | 8:30 PM |
| Philadelphia 76ers (9-63) | at | Portland Trail Blazers (37-36) | POR | -13 | 207 | 10:00 PM |
| Boston Celtics (42-30) | at | Phoenix Suns (20-51) | BOS | -8.5 | 216 | 10:00 PM |
POINTED UP! – The teams with green numbers for +/- PPG (Points Per Game) are expected to outperform their seasonal scoring averages per Vegas. Teams with red are expected to under-perform.
| Team Offense | Opponent | Team Total | PPG | Team +/- |
| Indiana Pacers | BKN | TBD | 101.6 | TBD |
| Chicago Bulls | ORL | TBD | 101.7 | TBD |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | SA | TBD | 110.2 | TBD |
| Brooklyn Nets | IND | TBD | 98.4 | TBD |
| San Antonio Spurs | OKC | TBD | 104.4 | TBD |
| Orlando Magic | CHI | TBD | 100.8 | TBD |
| Boston Celtics | PHO | 112.3 | 105.8 | 6.5 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | PHI | 110 | 104.5 | 5.5 |
| Utah Jazz | MIN | 101.5 | 97.6 | 3.9 |
| Toronto Raptors | NO | 106 | 102.7 | 3.3 |
| Phoenix Suns | BOS | 103.8 | 100.5 | 3.3 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | NY | 105.8 | 103.9 | 1.8 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | CHA | 100.8 | 99.1 | 1.7 |
| Charlotte Hornets | MIL | 103.8 | 103 | 0.8 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | POR | 97 | 96.9 | 0.1 |
| Detroit Pistons | ATL | 102.3 | 102.3 | 0 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | UTA | 95 | 101.9 | -6.9 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | TOR | 97 | 102.9 | -5.9 |
| Atlanta Hawks | DET | 101.3 | 102.8 | -1.6 |
| New York Knicks | CLE | 97.8 | 98.8 | -1.1 |
PACED UP! – Similar to being pointed up, the teams in green should be playing faster than normal while the teams in red should be playing slower. More possessions might mean more opportunity to score points.
| Team Offense | Opponent | Pace | Proj. Pace | Pace +/- |
| Phoenix Suns | BOS | 100.4 | 103.4 | 3 |
| Boston Celtics | PHO | 101.1 | 103.4 | 2.3 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | PHI | 98 | 100.2 | 2.2 |
| San Antonio Spurs | OKC | 96.2 | 97.6 | 1.4 |
| Toronto Raptors | NO | 95.4 | 96.5 | 1.1 |
| Detroit Pistons | ATL | 97.6 | 98.6 | 1 |
| Brooklyn Nets | IND | 96.9 | 97.8 | 0.9 |
| Orlando Magic | CHI | 97.9 | 98.4 | 0.5 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | POR | 100.3 | 100.2 | -0.1 |
| Chicago Bulls | ORL | 98.6 | 98.4 | -0.2 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | CHA | 96.4 | 96.2 | -0.2 |
| Utah Jazz | MIN | 93.4 | 92.9 | -0.5 |
| Atlanta Hawks | DET | 99.1 | 98.6 | -0.5 |
| Indiana Pacers | BKN | 99 | 97.8 | -1.2 |
| Charlotte Hornets | MIL | 97.9 | 96.2 | -1.7 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | SA | 99.5 | 97.6 | -1.9 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | NY | 95.3 | 93 | -2.3 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | TOR | 99.2 | 96.5 | -2.7 |
| New York Knicks | CLE | 95.8 | 93 | -2.8 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | UTA | 97.6 | 92.9 | -4.7 |
TOTAL FANTASY POINTS ALLOWED & DvP RANKINGS – This graphic provides a quick glance at how strong or weak a defensive team plays overall, as well as against a specific position. We are looking for green numbers and trying to avoid red numbers, and we are looking to roster a player from the OPPONENT’s team in the 2nd column. Example, the DEN PG is, theoretically, in great spot.
| Team Defense | Opponent | TotalFPA | vs. PG | vs. SG | vs. SF | vs. PF | vs. C |
| Philadelphia 76ers | Portland | 28 | 28 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 30 |
| Phoenix Suns | Boston | 26 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 16 | 11 |
| Chicago Bulls | Orlando | 25 | 27 | 15 | 26 | 25 | 23 |
| Brooklyn Nets | Indiana | 24 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 24 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | Toronto | 22 | 19 | 26 | 15 | 18 | 29 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | Charlotte | 21 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 21 |
| Orlando Magic | Chicago | 20 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 19 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | Utah | 18 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 11 | 7 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | Philadelphia | 17 | 24 | 20 | 3 | 23 | 26 |
| Charlotte Hornets | Milwaukee | 15 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 22 | 13 |
| Atlanta Hawks | Detroit | 13 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 24 |
| Boston Celtics | Phoenix | 12 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 27 |
| New York Knicks | Cleveland | 11 | 20 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio | 10 | 21 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 5 |
| Detroit Pistons | Atlanta | 8 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 10 |
| Indiana Pacers | Brooklyn | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 12 |
| Toronto Raptors | New Orleans | 4 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | New York | 3 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Utah Jazz | Minnesota | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
BACK 2 BACKS! – Graphics containing teams we should watch for limited minutes and/or rest days. Maybe hard to see the colors, but yellow is caution, orange is a little more caution, and red is just crazy.
| Team | B2B | 2of3 | 3of4 | 4of5 |
| Atlanta | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Boston | ||||
| Brooklyn | Yes | |||
| Charlotte | Yes | |||
| Chicago | Yes | Yes | ||
| Cleveland | Yes | Yes | ||
| Dallas | ||||
| Denver | ||||
| Detroit | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Golden State | ||||
| Houston | ||||
| Indiana | Yes | |||
| L.A. Clippers | ||||
| L.A. Lakers | ||||
| Memphis | ||||
| Miami | ||||
| Milwaukee | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Minnesota | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| New Orleans | Yes | |||
| New York | Yes | Yes | ||
| Oklahoma City | Yes | |||
| Orlando | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Philadelphia | ||||
| Phoenix | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Portland | Yes | Yes | ||
| Sacramento | ||||
| San Antonio | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Toronto | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Utah | Yes | Yes | ||
| Washington |
If you made it this far and appreciate the tips and snippits of advice you are getting, you might want to see/learn more. For information on joining the VIP Insiders, click HERE! You will gain access to:
- Private Slack channel exclusively for VIP Insiders, where you find DFS NBA pro Keith Hall actively answering questions and offering strategy advice.
- Daily player picks on slates with 5 or more games, only excluding Sundays.
- Daily cheatsheets for both FanDuel and DraftKings to help build your lineups.
- Early access to any and all semi-private freerolls on FanDuel or DraftKings offered to the DFS Army.
Bankroll Challenge rolling results since Feb 22, 2016…..
I didn’t play yesterday due to driving across the state to visit family for Easter in Kansas City. All this I-70 corridor running is doing is serving to fire me up for some baseball! I don’t know if you do any cross sport dfs, but I will be picking this challenge up in MLB season for sure. I hope you join me as we ride the lightning together once again. We are less than 2 weeks out and it might be tough to juggle the wrap of the NBA season with the erection the new MLB season brings.
I will try and get an article up tomorrow morning, too, but can’t make any guarantees as I may be too busy searching for Easter eggs. We need DFS for that! I’d kick some serious ass there.
This Morning Briefing article, again, is not the end-all be-all when it comes to analyzing a slate. This is a first glance to identify targets we may want to dive deeper into. You may, in fact, choose a player in a poor DvP matchup due to other indicators, especially on a short slate night. Don’t overthink this stuff. The concept is to put your players in the best spots to be successful and roll them out. Keith and I will be back later to provide the VIP Insiders with more in-depth player analysis and specific picks for tonight. And, of course, the cheatsheets…… (Remembering, of course, cheatsheets come out on slates 5 games and larger.)
