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NFL DFS Week 18 DraftKings Milly Maker Review

The Milly Maker is a Large Field GPP Contest on DraftKings that pays out $1,000,000 to First. Learn the winning trends that we’ve found by reviewing years of Milly Maker Winners!

Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) looks at the scoreboard as his team held a four point lead with just over 10 minutes to play in the fourth quarter. The Jacksonville Jaguars hosted the Las Vegas Raiders at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, FL Sunday November 6, 2022. The Jaguars trailed 20 to 10 at the end of the first half but came back to win the game with a final score of 27 to 20. [Bob Self/Florida Times-Union]
Jki 110622 Bs Jaguars Vs R 1

The Week 18 slate is always a tricky one, but probably the best slate of the year to go off the board and get silly for the Milly. Apart from the Ray Davis play, I thought this lineup was pretty close to what we could expect on a normal slate of just playing the best plays, looking for some overlooked plays in a great spots, plenty of correlation, and some good chalk mixed in with some low owned players.

Week 18 Points
T Lawrence 23.3
T Tracy 31.9
R Davis 28.4
Amon-Ra. St. Brown 27.9
M Wilson 20.9
P Washington 19.7
C Loveland 25.1
R Stevenson 38.3
New England DST 12
Total 227.5

Primary Stack:

Trevor Lawrence 23.3 FPTS + Parker Washington 19.7 FPTS

Secondary Stack:

Rhamondre Stevenson 38.3 FPTS + New England DST 12 FPTS

Amon-Ra St. Brown 27.9 FPTS + Colston Loveland 25.1 FPTS

Total Stacking Points: 146.3 FPTS

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$1,000,000 Milly Maker Ownership

Week 18 Ownership
T Lawrence 20.30%
T Tracy 7.30%
R Davis 1.30%
Amon-Ra. St. Brown 6.10%
M Wilson 30.80%
P Washington 17.20%
C Loveland 14%
R Stevenson 6.30%
New England DST 3.40%
Total 106.70%

 

What was most intriguing about this lineup was it avoided chalk running backs that didn’t deliver tournament winning value – like Mason and Blue – and packed low owned running backs such as Tracy, Davis, and Stevenson. Additionally, Amon-Ra was overlooked because of his injury status in a meaningless week 18 game. There was a good mix of chalk in the lineup as well with Lawrence, Wilson, & Parker Washington. The seasonal average in ownership across 18 weeks was 121% and this lineup was pretty close to that.

Top Leverage Plays

Rhamondre Stevenson at 6%

Stevenson was the RB you needed again in New England with 38 FPTS and again was lower owned than Henderson in the same game. Top scoring player on the slate at low ownership.

Tyrone Tracy at 7%

A week after failing as chalk in a good spot against the Raiders, Tracy delivered as a contrarian play against a bad Dallas team.

Ray Davis at 1%

He got 15 carries in week 18 of 2024 so the field really should’ve’ been higher on him than 1%. Third highest scoring RB on the slate.

Milly Maker Pricing & Value

Week 18 Pricing FPTS per Dollar
T Lawrence $6,400 3.64X
T Tracy $5,500 5.8X
R Davis $4,900 5.79X
Amon-Ra. St. Brown $7,700 3.62X
M Wilson $6,600 3.16X
P Washington $5,100 3.86X
C Loveland $3,900 6.43X
R Stevenson $5,600 6.83X
New England DST $3,900 3.07X

Total

$49,600 4.58X

 

Running Back value of Week 18 created a strong, well balanced lineup. Tracy, Davis, and Stevenson combined for an average salary of $5333 and carried the lineup with 6.14X fantasy points per dollar value between the 3 to the tune of 98.6 FPTS. Loveland also hit 6.43X his salary and thus provided the salary relief of Lawrence, Amon-Ra, & Wilson in the lineup.

Ceiling

This lineup scored 227 points which was below the seasonal average. After 18 weeks of the NFL Season, the average winning Milly Maker score was 236 FPTS – with the lowest being 193.92 in week 1 and the highest being 277 in week 12.

For more of an in-depth breakdown of the Milly Maker contest on Draftkings and a Strategy review of Top DFS Players on the Week 18 slate, be sure to watch the Youtube Video below:

Click HERE to watch on Youtube!

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