DraftKings NFL Blueprint - Week 12

My name is DFS Spreadsheets (@dfs_spreadsheet on Twitter) and I’m a data analyst by trade. I love digging into the intricacies that give our players advantages no one else can deliver.

I’ve put together a matrix for Draftkings scoring for NFL. It’s called the Draftkings NFL Blueprint and it looks at how many Draftkings points each NFL team score and allow per game compared to the NFL average, at each skilled position.

I have each game separated so that it’s easy to see and break down who is in a good spot. The For columns show how many Draftkings points that team scores for each position per game compared to the league average. Green is good in the For columns.

In the Against columns, Red is bad for that team’s defense as it means they allow more Draftkings points than league average to that certain position. So when looking at a particular game, you want to find positions that are Green in the For column and Red in the opponent’s Against column. You’re probably thinking that “I wish there was an easy, quick way to find these good matchups”. Well, there is. I’ve already done that work for you in the Matchup columns. You want to target positions in Green in these columns.

I’ve also created a Game Stack Score metric that incorporates each Matchup in the game to find which games should be prime candidates for stacking for DFS purposes. Beside each Game Stack Score, I show the Game Stack Score Rank which shows where that game ranks for stacking purposes. The lower the Game Stack Score Rank, the better. Green is good for both Game Stack Score and Game Stack Score Rank.

The next column in the blueprint is the QB/WR Stack score. This combines the Matchup scores for QBs and WRs from the same team – again, Green is good for this column.

The final two columns are the QB/TE Stack score and QB/WR/TE  stack scores. Again, this adds up the matchup scores for the included positions, Green is good for these columns as well.

Let’s take a look at the matrix for this week and see what stands out. The entire matrix will only be available to our DFS Army VIPS

Even though this data is specific to DraftKings scoring, it can still be used as a guide for Fanduel, fantasy football, and player props

 

Game Stacks

Here are the top four main slate games to build game stacks around and some of the top plays from each game matchup wise that can be used in stacks:

• Buccaneers vs Giants
  • Buccaneers QB: 2nd best matchup score on the slate
  • Giants QB: 3rd best matchup score on the slate
  • Buccaneers RB: 3rd best matchup score on the slate
  • Giants WR: 2nd best matchup score on the slate
• Lions vs Colts
  • Lions QB: 5th best matchup score on the slate
  • Lions RB: best matchup score on the slate
  • Colts WR: best matchup score on the slate
  • Lions TE: 6th best matchup score on the slate
• Cowboys vs Commanders
  • Commanders QB: best matchup score on the slate
  • Commanders RB: 2nd best matchup score on the slate
  • Cowboys WR: 5th best matchup score on the slate
• Cardinals vs Seahawks
  • Seahawks RB: 6th best matchup score on the slate
  • Cardinals TE: 4th best matchup score on the slate

Quarterbacks

The top 5 teams with the best quarterback matchup scores are:

1. Washington Commanders 6.3
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5.0
3. New York Giants 4.2
4. Denver Broncos 2.5
5. Detroit Lions 1.7

Running Backs

The top 5 teams with the best running back matchup scores are:

1. Detroit Lions 14.1
2. Washington Commanders 8.6
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7.4
4. Kansas City Chiefs 6.3
5. Miami Dolphins 5.5

Wide Receivers

The top 5 teams with the best wide receiver matchup scores are:

1. Indianapolis Colts 9.0
2. New York Giants 7.2
3. Seattle Seahawks 7.1
4. Detroit Lions 6.3
5. Dallas Cowboys 4.6

Tight Ends

The top 5 teams with the best tight end matchup scores are:

1. Kansas City Chiefs 12.1
2. Las Vegas Raiders 5.7
3. San Francisco 49ers 4.1
4. Arizona Cardinals 3.6
5. New England Patriots 2.1

DST

The top 5 teams with the best DST matchup scores are:

1. Minnesota Vikings 5.2
2. Denver Broncos 5.0
3. Houston Texans 3.6
4. Arizona Cardinals 3.6
5. Detroit Lions 2.7

QB/WR Stacks

The top 5 teams with the best QB/WR stack matchup scores are:
Just kidding – I’m not going to give out all of the goodness for free. BECOME A DFS Army VIP for full access

Player Props

If you’re into player props, our VIPS get access to the Proptimizer which can be used for Sleeper, Prizepicks and even the new Draftkings Pick 6 contests if you use the Sharp App Projection