DraftKings NFL Blueprint - Week 8

My name is DFS Spreadsheets (@dfs_spreadsheet on Twitter) and I’m a data analyst by trade. I love digging into the intricacies that give our players advantages no one else can deliver.

I’ve put together a matrix for Draftkings scoring for NFL. It’s called the Draftkings NFL Blueprint and it looks at how many Draftkings points each NFL team score and allow per game compared to the NFL average, at each skilled position.

I have each game separated so that it’s easy to see and break down who is in a good spot. The For columns show how many Draftkings points that team scores for each position per game compared to the league average. Green is good in the For columns.

In the Against columns, Red is bad for that team’s defense as it means they allow more Draftkings points than league average to that certain position. So when looking at a particular game, you want to find positions that are Green in the For column and Red in the opponent’s Against column. You’re probably thinking that “I wish there was an easy, quick way to find these good matchups”. Well, there is. I’ve already done that work for you in the Matchup columns. You want to target positions in Green in these columns.

I’ve also created a Game Stack Score metric that incorporates each Matchup in the game to find which games should be prime candidates for stacking for DFS purposes. Beside each Game Stack Score, I show the Game Stack Score Rank which shows where that game ranks for stacking purposes. The lower the Game Stack Score Rank, the better. Green is good for both Game Stack Score and Game Stack Score Rank.

The final column in the blueprint is the QB/WR Stack score. This combines the Matchup scores for QBs and WRs from the same team – again, Green is good for this column.

Let’s take a look at the matrix for this week and see what stands out. The entire matrix will only be available to our DFS Army VIPS

Even though this data is specific to DraftKings scoring, it can still be used as a guide for Fanduel, fantasy football, and player props

 

Game Stacks

Here are the top four games to build game stacks around and some sample ways to stack:

• Atlanta vs Tampa Bay
  • ATL QB/ATL WR with TB WR or TB TE (since they are now without Godwin and Evans)
• Green Bay vs Jacksonville
  • GB QB/GB WR/JAX TE – You can also include GB TE if you want to do a QB+2 for GB
• Baltimore vs Cleveland
  • BAL QB/BAL TE/CLE WR OR CLE TE . BAL RB can also be included on the BAL side of these stacks
• Buffalo vs Seattle
  • BUF QB/BUF TE/SEA RB

 

Quarterbacks

The top 5 teams with the best quarterback matchup scores are:

1. Green Bay Packers 11.8
2. Baltimore Ravens 8.5
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8.2
4. Philadelphia Eagles 5.8
5. Atlanta Falcons 5.0

Running Backs

The top 5 teams with the best running back matchup scores are:

1. Detroit Lions 11.5
2. Seattle Seahawks 10.2
3. Baltimore Ravens 6.7
4. Denver Broncos 6.4
5. New York Jets 6.3

Wide Receivers

The top 5 teams with the best wide receiver matchup scores are:

1. Green Bay Packers 17.4
2. Los Angeles Rams 16.6
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13.9
4. Atlanta Falcons 13.2
5. Cincinnati Bengals 10.6

The top 5 teams with the best tight end matchup scores are:

1. Las Vegas Raiders 12.9
2. Philadelphia Eagles 5.8
3. Baltimore Ravens 4.9
4. Cleveland Browns 4.9
5. Green Bay Packers 3.7

QB/WR Stacks

The top 5 teams with the best QB/WR stack matchup scores are:
Just kidding – I’m not going to give out all of the goodness for free. BECOME A DFS Army VIP for full access

 

Player Props

If you’re into player props, our VIPS get access to the Proptimizer which can be used for Sleeper, Prizepicks and even the new Draftkings Pick 6 contests if you use the Sharp App Projection