UFC Vegas 61 DraftKings Picks Preview Dern Yan
UFC Vegas 61 DraftKings Picks Preview Dern Yan
The article will focus on DraftKings and provide betting angles and parlays for the UFC player. Finally, UFC Vegas 61 DraftKings Picks Preview Dern Yan contains a video via Youtube with the full card breakdown at the bottom of the page.
Four Favorite Fighters
- Barcelos $9000
- Costa $9200
- Latifi $8700
- Dern $9100
Two Dogs Worth a Second Look
- Santos $7400
- Lins $7700
A parlay of The Week:
UFC Vegas 61 DraftKings Picks Preview Dern Yan
- Jotko -125
- Silva -145
- Santos +165
+705
UFC Vegas 61 DraftKings Picks Preview Dern Yan
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Dern $9100 Vs. Yan $7100
The line to Impact Lean: Dern Submission -110
In the video I created earlier this week, I said I was contemplating NOT going all in, but I have decided that I think regardless, this fight ends up in the optimal. Five rds, the salaries are there, and the under 2.5 is +105, which tells us there is a good chance of a finish in this fight. Additionally, Dern is -110 to get a submission, which makes me like her even more as a favorite because I think she can accumulate some volume/control time and wear Yan down on her way to a submission victory resulting in an excellent DK score.
On the other side of the fight, Yan is +600 KO/TKO/DQ and +330 decision. This tells us that an upset win for her on either side could score well. She does have a 62% strike defense with a decent amount of striking volume and some TD upside, but does she want to go to the ground with Dern?? NAH… If Yan can pull off the upset, it will be by striking and staying at the range or landing a lethal KO shot, and either way, the score will be excellent.
All that said, I am ALL IN on the main event with a significant lean to Dern.
UFC Vegas 61 Pick: Dern $9100
UFC Vegas 61 Betting: Under 2.5 +105
UFC Vegas 61 DraftKings Picks Preview Dern Yan
Barcelos $9000 Vs. Jones $7200
The line to Impact Lean: Under 2.5 +115
I think someone is getting finished in this spot as both fighters have a history of being able to end fights KO/TKO. Jones is the dog, and he is +500 decision but +550 KO/TKO/DQ with it being +1100 to get the KO/TKO/DQ in R1. On the other side, we have the favorite, which I am picking, Barcelos. Barcelos is +300 KO/TKO/DQ with an average of roughly 95 pts in his wins on DK. He can get some TD/Ctrl time as he wears down Jones before finishing. I like this fight a lot, but my lean is Barcelos.
UFC Vegas 61 Pick: Barcelos $9000
UFC Vegas 60 Betting: Fight to end KO/TKO/DQ +165
Davis $8600 Vs. Borshchev $7600
The line to Impact Lean: under 2.5 -130
I love the pricing of the fighters with their odds of finishing the fight early. I think Borshchev is an intriguing dog, but now that I am seeing projections, I see Davis and Latifi are the best value projections on the slate in the 8k range. That said, I will stick with my call of the dog winning, but I think you need to elevate both guys as this fight will more than likely end up in the optimal lineup, in my opinion. Furthermore, I like the dog here as Borschev is +350 KO/TKO/DQ and +650 to do it in R1.
Davis is +250 KO/TKO/DQ and +450 to do it in R1. I love the odds on both sides, which tells us there is a good chance of an early finish bonus for the winner. As both fighters are priced at the value level, I think we will need whoever wins this one to be in the optimal lineup. However, my lean is the DOG!
UFC Vegas 61 Pick: Borshchev $7600
UFC Vegas 61 Betting: Under 2.5 -130
Leverage Play
Stoliarenko $8200 /Chandler $8000
This fight is projected to have low ownership, and I don’t love the fight, but if someone can get a finish or a lot of control time with volume in a decision, this could be a sneaky low owned. I am not putting my mortgage on it, but this will be a fight I see myself using for Leverage.
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UFC Vegas 61 DraftKings Picks Preview Dern Yan
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Reference:
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Oct 12, 2019; Tampa, FL, USA; Mackenzie Dern (red gloves) fights Amanda Ribas (blue glove) during UFC Fight Night at Amalie Arena. Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports
