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Total Pick Record: 0-0
Total Profit: 0 Units
Pick #1
More or Less: Fantasy Points 2/3
Detroit Pistons vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Payout: 1.7u
It’s all about the overs for me in this game. I just think all of these totals are too low and our MKF NBA tool agrees. I’m not willing to go 3/3 because I prefer the safety in spots like this. Ingram / Valanciunas are the spots I feel more comfortable with here and while Grant is close, I’m going with a high scoring game script to also select the over.
Pick #2
More or Less
Brooklyn Nets vs. Atlanta Hawks
Payout: 3.6u
Kevin Durant in a fast pace game? Check. Our MKF NBA Tool loving the Capela rebounding under? Check. I’m not even sure what else I need to put here as the payout on this feels really juicy in a couple of value spots. I’m not all for playing perfect pairs, but when I do, there’s value like this.
Pick #3
Knockout Kings: Over 1.5
UFC 269
Payout: 2.5u
Holy odds value batman. It’s spots like this that you can abuse MFK if you play smart. We are getting better odds than if you were to parlay any 2 of these wins by KO…and we get an extra chance. Bruno Silva is -190 to win by KO, Nunes sits at -165, and Costa at -110. Even if things don’t work out, the value is insane. And between you and me, I’m expecting all of these fights to end via KO, just need them to go our way.
Pick #4
More or Less: 2/2
UFC 269
Payout: 2.5u
Pretty straight forward logic to my double under here. If Poirier hits Oliveira even close to this many times I think he’ll get a knockout before the number is reached, not to mention the grappling potential in the fight. Munhoz is fighting Cruz and Cruz fights are just unbearably slow. There’s a bit of risk here as Munhoz could push the issue but in general Cruz is so elusive that this is a good number to go under on.
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