Welcome back fellow MMA fight fans to a Saturday Night of UFC . This time we have a 11-fight card taking place in Las Vegas, Nevada. There are several very close matches on this card which will make for some interesting choices in your tournament builds. But, that’s not what this article is about. My goal is to help navigate you through this interesting card and find some solid fighters to begin your cash game construction with.
For your 1st time readers, welcome and I hope you enjoy the article. For all you regular readers, you will notice a change. Moving forward I am going to gear this article for cash games. If you want my full thoughts on the entire card, you can find them in our MMA coaches notes Yes, I know everyone wants to win that big tournament win! But a major point we make here at DFS Army is proper bankroll management. A major part of that is, of course, cash games. It may not be the sexiest way to build your bankroll but, over time it can be the most consistent. I would love to hear any feedback on this new format, and I look forward to helping everyone learn the art of creating a solid cash game lineup.
We have been on a huge run in all sports at DFS Army! Plus the 2020 MLB season has started off right where we left off last season. We just had a huge win by a member last Saturday in MMA! You name the sport from NBA to MMA, and we cover it! If you want to join in on the winning use promo code “FORSLUND” to save 20% on your membership.
As always have some fun in tournaments this week. Just remember the Golden Rule! While chasing after the big payout is enticing always remember bankroll management. I am a firm believer in the 80-20 rule. Which is 80% of your allocated bankroll for the night in cash games and 20% in tournaments. Remember to take advantage of our Research Station and Domination Station. Plus check out the podcast, and follow me on Twitter (@MMACashAssassin) for the latest MMA and DFS Army news!
MMA UFC Cash Game Basics for DFS
In cash games, unlike tournaments, we are trying to build a solid floor with our lineups. Many times that may mean using a fighter with great odds to win a match or taking someone who is severely mispriced in a solid spot. Cash games are often times card dependent. For example, if a fighter is expected to be chalky in cash games and I feel they are in a good spot I have no problem eating the chalk and just rostering him. After all, he’s chalky for a solid reason. One major difference between cash and tournament play is getting past your aversion to play the chalk. Often times, the chalk makes a lot of sense. (I’m going to use the word “chalk” a lot, if new, chalk is slang for “popular player.”) If you ever have any questions pertaining to cash games feel free to reach out to me on Twitter, or if you are a VIP shoot me a dm.
DFS MMA UFC On ESPN 15 Cash Core Plays
Mariya Agapova (-1375) 9.3k
Agapova is the most expensive fighter on the slate and also carries the biggest odds to win. Vegas odds tell the story here with them expecting this fight to end ITD -425 and Agapova being the fighter getting her hand raised (-365 to win ITD). Not much to overthink here from a cash game perspective. Agapova is a fantastic cash play and is someone I think you need to lock into your cash game builds.
Mar 2, 2019; Las Vegas, NV, USA; Pedro Munhoz (blue gloves) and Cody Garbrandt (red gloves) during UFC 235 at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports
Pedro Munhoz (-265) 9k
Munhoz is facing an opponent in Edgar that is currently on a 2 fight losing streak and moving down a weight class (Bantamweight) for the 1st time in his UFC career (which spans 13 years). Munhoz is a high output striker (5.29 Significant Strikers per minute) and sports a 81% TD defense which should nullify Edgar’s 2.34 TD’s per fight. Vegas likes this fight to end ITD (-180). That is fine by me since in 4 of his 5 UFC wins via stoppage Munhoz has posted 100+ DraftKings points. All signs point to Munhoz having the advantage in this fight and I think he makes for a strong cash game play with a solid floor.
Matthew Semelsberger (+100) 7.7k
In order to fit the higher-priced favorites on this card you are going to have to punt with an underdog or 2 on this card. Semelsberger is my favorite cash punt on this card. I see no reason he doesn’t score 30-40 DraftKings points in a decision loss and I am picking him to win, which means 80-90 DK points. That’s all we need from him at this salary and using him in your lineups offers you some flexibility to pay for more fighters up top. The safest play in cash games in my opinion is to use him. That way you allow yourself the ability to pay up for several high priced fighters with solid floors.
Sure, these are MY favorite cash game plays, but maybe you play GPPs or like others. That’s fine…..you need tools, though. Our MMA UFC Research Station is locked and loaded with every related statistic in an easy to read, color coded fashion that cuts your research time down. It allows several fighters, like the ones I mentioned, to really pop at you and make DFS life easier. But, to access this beast, you need to become a member at DFSA…
And, if you are already a member, we have podcasts related to this UFC MMA card, as well as premium articles breaking down strategy and advice even further to #RaiseYourEdge over your competition. I’m sure you’ve seen our army helmets all over the leaderboards. We have not one, not two, but THREE of the top-ranked MMA players in the world coaching our members up on a weekly basis and helping them become better MMA DFS players. See Marley’s UFC Breakdown article here.
MMA UFC Fight To Target In Hybrids/Tournaments
Now that we covered some cash plays. Let’s breakdown 1 fight I really think you should get exposure to in your hybrid and tournament lineups.
Mike Rodriguez (-240) 8.9k vs Marcin Prachnio (+200) 7.3k
This fight is expected to end ITD (-300). At both their salaries the winner of this fight should be on the optimal lineup. I will personally have a good amount of exposure to this fight in tournaments because it’s a fight that will score well for DraftKings purposes. My preferred play is Prachnio because he is cheaper and offers a higher ceiling in a win. If you plan on playing multiple lineups in tournaments this is a great fight to target both sides of.
DFS MMA UFC Standing 8-Count
Ok, that was a boxing reference to make sure you are still paying attention. I hope you all enjoyed the new format and I look forward to hearing your feedback. Be sure you check out our VIP Podcast! If you are new to the sport of MMA, let us teach you the fundamentals to go along with this be sure you check out our new tutorial on how to MME for MMA by our CEO Geek. Become a VIP at DFS Army right now!! Our mixture of content, tools, and coaching can take the best NBA player and teach him MMA like a boss in a very short time. We have NFL guys learning Nascar, and we even have people learning how to dominate the silent sport of tennis! That’s right…..major edge in tennis, and I help out there, too.
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Good Luck Army!
