Good morning to you beautiful people out there in DFS land! You have managed to find yourself in a great spot here at DFS Army. I look forward to providing you with analysis and picks throughout this 2018-2019 CBB season! Remember, if I mention a player as a cash game play they most likely are OK for GPP play. Let’s take a look at what games are on the slate for DraftKings and Fanduel. The KenPom score projections are in parenthesis.
West Virginia (63) vs Kansas St (67)
Virginia Tech (72) vs Georgia Tech (64)
Ohio St (67) vs Rutgers (62)
Houston (67) vs Temple (65)
Marquette (77) vs Creighton (80)
Auburn (76) vs Mississippi (74)
Clemson (64) vs Syracuse (68)
Louisville (69) vs Pittsburgh (68)
Florida (68) vs Arkansas (67)
Butler (70) vs Seton Hall (72)
TCU (71) vs Kansas (78)
Iowa (71) vs Northwestern (73)
Miami (69) vs Florida St (79)
Virginia (69) vs Boston College (58)
Arizona St (81) vs California (73)
Arizona (70) vs Stanford (68)
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WEST VIRGINIA vs KANSAS ST
This game provides me with basically zero excitement. I am leaning towards a full-on fade with a projected total of around 130 points. If I am looking at players from this game, I would consider Culver and West for WVU with guys like Bolden, Harris, and Ahmad as GPP darts that offer a pretty low floor. When it comes to Kansas St, I am still expecting a big game out of Sneed at some point while Wade is out. Mawien has looked solid and safe, while Brown and Diarra are definitely options.
VIRGINIA TECH vs GEORGIA TECH
Normally I love targeting players on Va Tech, however, tonight is a slow down spot for them. I still want some exposure to Alexander-Walker, Robinson, and Blackshear. I would consider Hill because of his ability to get hot from 3. This is definitely a pace up spot for Ga Tech and I want to get somebody out of Banks, Alvarado, and Devoe in my lineups. Evan Cole appears to be a guy that you can nearly lock into your lineups.
OHIO ST vs RUTGERS
Rutgers is a very slow team so that is going to slow down OSU a bit. I think you can definitely use K.Wesson, CJ Jackson, and even A.Wesson. For Rutgers, I am locking in McConnell and will consider guys like Carter, M.Johnson, and Mathis for GPP punt plays while most likely passing on Baker and Omoruyi.
HOUSTON vs TEMPLE
Another game that doesn’t intrigue me as both teams are completely comfortable playing a game into the 60s. For Houston, I think either Brooks or Davis pays off his salary tonight while guys like Jarreau and Hinton have been paying off for a short while already. For Temple, Alston does basically everything but that price is just too high for me. I know both Rose and Pierre-Louis have been playing well but I would hold back on my expectations for Rose as he has been buoyed by steals lately. I do not mind Pierre-Louis as a GPP play.
MARQUETTE vs CREIGHTON
This is the game to stack tonight as it could definitely see 170+ points put on the scoreboard. If Markus Howard goes for 50 tonight you are going to hate not having him on your roster as this slate overall could be a bit lower scoring, even with 16 games. Both Hauser’s are in play for me as are both Theo John and Ed Morrow. I do not see both of the latter two reaching value, but one of them should. I will go out on a limb and say that tonight is when TyShon Alexander gets back into the 40+ fantasy point category. I will be on Zegarowski, Ballock, and Krampelj as I believe I will try to get 2-3 guys from this game on every lineup and will probably stack this one a couple times with 4-5 guys on each team.
AUBURN vs MISSISSIPPI
This is my OT predicted game of the night. If this game goes into OT, we probably want some pieces. For Auburn, I really like Harper, Okeke, Wiley, and a dart in McCormick. I always have a share of Wiley as he offers huge upside, especially if he somehow gets us 25+ minutes. Harper is super safe and is probably closer to cash game than GPP. Mississippi has a bunch of guys that I am completely find sliding into my GPP lineups tonight. Guys like Tyree, Davis, and Shuler are very much cash game options along with being very good GPP plays. Stevens, Buffen, Hinson, and Olejniczak are all interesting GPP plays.
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CLEMSON vs SYRACUSE
This game screams run away. Clemson is getting a huge pace downgrade as they are at their best opening it up and getting up and down the court. Syracuse plays a pretty complex zone and Clemson is pretty bad at shooting the 3 balls. I would consider Reed because he does it all for Clemson, but I really would only want exposure to Elijah Thomas. Seems like a spot he could dominate from the paint. I wouldn’t hate you for taking a shot with Skara or Trapp. For Syracuse, I always suggest Brissett and Hughes as cash options while Battle and Howard are the GPP plays. Howard just hasn’t looked right so far this season but I expect an explosion at some point. I am hearing some GPP love for Dolezaj and I can understand why.
LOUISVILLE vs PITTSBURGH
This game has a far lower total projection than I would have thought. Nwora is a pretty easy cash game plug and plays for Louisville and he probably deserves solid GPP consideration. Sutton and Williams have both shown excellent GPP upside while McMahon would be a GPP winning option. Cunningham is always on my radar as well. McGowens is probably the only Pitt player I will have exposure to tonight, even though you could consider Toney, Wilson-Frame, and Johnson as GPP dart plays as they all have upside.
FLORIDA vs ARKANSAS
Well, Florida players are priced way too low as Allen is the highest priced player at 5800 on DK. I will be playing a TON of Locke, with some shares of Hudson, Allen, Nembhard, Hayes, and Johnson sprinkled in. I have had a soft-spot for Hudson all season long and I am not coming off of him now. For Arkansas, this is a definite pace down spot and I am a bit worried. I think Gafford is an interesting, low-owned, GPP winning stud to pay up for. Jones and Harris are definitely GPP plays for me as they both have the upside to definitely pay off their price points. I really like Chaney as a GPP play tonight, but he offers a pretty low floor as its tough to pick between him and Bailey in terms of minutes.
BUTLER vs SETON HALL
For Butler, I really am only considering Baldwin, Tucker, and Thompson. Baldwin is really my main focus as he exploded last game and has a path to another monster game. I think Powell is a bit too high priced, but he is definitely in play for GPPs. I always find myself playing some Mamukelashvili for the Pirates. I will have GPP dart lineups that include Thompson and Nzei tonight as they both offer upside.
TCU vs KANSAS
TCU is most likely going to be without Fisher tonight which opens up a decent amount of usage while also allowing Robinson to handle the ball even more. Robinson fits for cash and Bane becomes a really good GPP play tonight. I am fine with Noi, Miller, and Samuel while Nembhard becomes a really solid value option as he stepped into the lineup for Fisher. Kansas has lost Azubuike for the season at this point so it’ll be interesting what comes of their rotation. I think Lawson becomes an excellent option for everything as his rebounding is going to be needed going forward. I want some exposure to Dotson, Garrett, and Grimes in hoping I capture the guy that steps up.
IOWA vs NORTHWESTERN
I am pretty much off of Iowa in a pace down spot tonight. I have been all over Cook recently but I just do not want to spend up for him this evening. I would consider Bohannon and Moss tonight. I love the spot for Northwestern tonight and will be trying to get Law or Pardon onto nearly every lineup I make. I am not against a share or two of Turner, Taylor, and Gaines.
MIAMI vs FLORIDA ST
Normally these are two teams that I try to get exposure to, however, I am a bit worried tonight as FSU’s defense is pretty solid, while their offense is tough to predict at times. For Miami, I will most likely only have exposure to Johnson while considering Lawrence and Lykes in this spot. For Florida St, I will consider using Forrest, Mann, and Kabengele for GPP purposes. I think Mann bounces back tonight.
VIRGINIA vs BOSTON COLLEGE
For Virginia, I will consider using all of Jerome, Guy, Hunter, Diakite, and Key. Guy is the one that has been on fire and should be considered first. Hunter may never be this cheap and Diakite always seems to explode at the start of the game and for $4K on DK, I can’t deny his upside. I want basically nothing of BC as they are so guard heavy and Virginia has pretty elite guard defense.
ARIZONA ST vs CALIFORNIA
I love Arizona St in this game as they are projected for over 80 tonight. I think Cheatham plays a bit inspired tonight after some personal tragedy. The other guys I will be adding into my lineups for sure will be Martin, White, and Edwards. I really like the way that trio is playing so they offer really solid GPP upside. If Austin is out for Cal, I think I will lock in McNeill at just $5100 on DK. Sueing, Kelly, and Bradley all should be considered and I think I will be using one on a handful of my lineups.
ARIZONA vs STANFORD
I think that Jeter is going to be a little more popular than I like, however, we have to consider him after his huge performance. I prefer Randolph over Williams for cash tonight. Coleman apparently is playing through a shoulder issue and while his price looks really nice, I would rather play wait and see with him. Dylan Smith is an interesting option. With Davis back for Stanford, they should make this a competitive game so I definitely like him along with Okpala in this game. Ryan and Delaire are both GPP options as Ryan recently returned from a foot issue and Delaire has been starting.
Make sure you tune in to the slack channel to get my breakdown of each match-up! We will be discussing CBB all afternoon and evening long. I will be posting the breakdowns shortly and we will discuss what injuries we need to monitor and what they mean to our construction. I will also be posting my cores for each site in slack!
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