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NBA Data Dive for FanDuel and DraftKings on Tuesday, Jan 23rd

We’ve had nine different winners of $50,000 – $250,000 over the past several months, including another $50,000 winner this past Sunday on FanDuel!. Life is good for our members and we’ve seen a 100% growth in the company and upped our staff to 23 strong, handsome, and brilliant members (massive embellishment there). It’s been quite a ride and the beautiful thing is that we have another three months of the NBA season to consistently grow our bankroll until MLB is here. Slow and steady wins the race as far as bankroll goes and that will be important for today’s slate of games.

Let’s get to work!

Russell Westbrook is going to either be the key to winning the slate or the downfall for a lot of lineups. The Thunder are in a massive pace-up matchup and are implied to score 6.0 more points than their season-long average. Their 111.0 implied total is second to only the Golden State Warriors, who sit above the rest at a healthy 121.0 implied points.

Westy clearly is the premier cash game option of the night. Nobody on the slate has a ceiling that even comes remotely close to his and against a turnover prone team he has a monster ceiling of near 80-points.

This is one spot where I am not going to get cute, specifically in cash, and I will be locking him into 100% of all cash entries. I’ll gladly go down with the sinking ship if his 34.8% usage rate falls flat in this delightful matchup.

Kyrie Irving will likely carry a pretty healthy ownership rate because of his recent game log where he put up 57.9 FanDuel points against the Orlando Magic (more on them later). However, Kyrie has actually only cleared 40 FanDuel points twice in the last nine games. The Lakers do represent a nice matchup and pace-up spot, but it’s a mistake to pay down for him in cash rather then go up to Westbrook. In GPPs, it likely will be fine to get cute and fade Westy, especially at his mammoth price tag.

De’Aaron Fox is the guy I want to pay down for in cash and GPPs on Tuesday. His matchup with the aforementioned Magic is superb and he’s playing heavier minutes as the Kings are pushing the youth movement through Sacramento.

He has the best DVP matchup on the entire slate and over the last two weeks only Willie Cauley-Stein has played more minutes and carries a higher usage rate. In a pace-up game with a higher implied total than normal, Fox is a great play for both cash and GPPs on this smaller 5-game slate.

Jaylen Brown is a great way to leverage the elevated ownership of Kyrie Irving in GPPs. Brown not only has the third highest FP/Min rating (.82) at the shooting guard position, but he has a great matchup against a Lakers squad that allows 3.7 three pointers and 25.4 PPG to opposing SGs.

While the masses flock to Kyrie because of his game log and matchup, there is no reason to get too cute and play an off the wall choice. We simply just have to zig while the field zags.

***I am going to break that down and many other Cash/GPP picks and strategies in Slack for our members in my afternoon notes. These are the types of notes we pump out (myself and the other three full-time NBA coaches) in Slack for our members***

Tim Hardaway Jr. is in a superb spot. Believe it or not, the Warriors are yielding 59.4 fantasy points to opposing wings over the last 10-games. That is the second worst rate in the NBA and it’s buoyed by the 35.7 real PPG they are giving up.

THJ has never met a shot he didn’t like and he’ll be used heavily to keep pace with the Warriors barrage of three pointers. He’s a fantastic GPP option and on a small slate I see no reason why he can’t be a cash game play at just $5,500 on FanDuel. His floor isn’t bad at all and his upside is ELITE at his current price.

I am on such a heater over the past four days I think it would be a disservice to our paying members to give away anything else. It’s a gorgeous smaller slate with fantastic cash and GPP options. Game theory will be huge on a slate like this.

***If you want the rest of my plays you’ll have to sign up and join in on the 1,700 (out of a little over 2,000 members) people we have in our company Slack chat service. We have 23-staff on board and multiple full-time coaches/content providers that give out pre-game “notes” about the entire slate with updated plays, picks, pivots, and research that only our members receive. We average 57,000 messages PER WEEK in Slack which means there is a TON of information being shared and discussed. We also provide one on one coaching to any member that signs up and joins Slack (invite to the email you used to sign up).

We hope you join and become one of the “helmets” that you see all over the FanDuel and DraftKings standings (that’s our logo that we created for members to use) and if you take down first place and win $5,000 or more you receive a sweet “swag bag” and join our wall of fame. We’ve had around 60-members join it this NBA season already. You can read about those and more HERE!

 

 

Again, I am SO sorry, but I can’t give away all the goodies for free. I’ll break down who goes into what category and how to leverage specific ownership to our members in Slack. Along with our multiple daily articles, daily podcast, simulation model (1,000 simulated games using analytics and match-ups to derive at a floor/ceiling projection for every player), and optimizer, our NBA content is second to none. I implore you to check out our testimonials and hop into Slack nice and early to enjoy a full day’s worth of research, discussion, and updates for this delicious slate!

***Along with dozens of articles across every DFS sport offered, we have an optimizer that we poured two years of funds into in order to bring you the best platform possible, multiple podcasts – including daily NBA and MLB and twice weekly for NFL, we also have a beautiful analytics corner and simulation program – filled with research and projections that you’d have to pay more money for just to be able to see and use on other sites – and we just lay it out for you all on one page. Last but not least – our Slack chat service for members only (57,000 + messages are sent weekly between our 2,000’sh members and 23 staff on chat).

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