Top VALUE Picks | NFL DFS Winning Strategies for Week 11 Draftkings and Fanduel Success

Kickstart your excitement for Week 11 of the NFL DFS main slate as we delve deep into the best value plays across every position, all thanks to our trusty NFL Optimizer, aka The Domination Station. I’m Mike, better known as @MadnessDFSbets on Twitter (X). Don’t forget to follow me for real-time updates and insights, and keep an eye out for my comprehensive DFS content throughout the NFL season, extending seamlessly into the NBA season as well, exclusively here at DFS Army.

Let’s dive right in and set the stage for an exhilarating week ahead!

Oct 10, 2024; Seattle, Washington, USA; San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) celebrates after throwing a touchdown pass against the Seattle Seahawks during the fourth quarter at Lumen Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-Imagn Images

Top Value Quarterbacks:

Geno Smith ($5.7k at San Francisco 49ers)

I don’t love the matchup for Smith and the Seahawks in this one but it should set up as a pass-heavy game script and his price continues to fall. He had a solid game in this spot in week 6 where he had 17.5 DraftKings points, obviously, that’s nothing that will break the slate, but 52(!) pass attempts! So, we’ve got a model on how this game could set up for the Seattle offense. He’s got some great stacking pieces with DK Metcalf, Jaxson Smith-Njigba, and Tyler Lockett. The Domination Station has him projected for 17.86 DraftKings points giving him 3.13 his current price tag.

Brock Purdy ($6.6k vs. Seattle Seahawks)

We head to the other side of that Geno game and go to Mr. Purdy at home. The Niners have the highest implied total on the slate at 27.5, so Vegas is expecting points from this offense. He’s been extremely consistent with at least 24 DraftKings points in three of his last four games and we know he has a ceiling as well. This Seattle secondary doesn’t scare me one bit either. He’s got some great stacking options himself with guys like Deebo, George Kittle, Ricky Pearsall, and even Christian McCaffery out of the backfield. We have him projected for 20.4 DraftKings points giving him a value multiplier of 3.09x his current salary.

Jameis Winston ($5.5k at New Orleans Saints)

Famous Jameis! It’s always a rollercoaster ride anytime we voluntarily roster Jameis, but it’s hard to argue with his upside at this price tag. He’s attempted at least 41 passes in back-to-back games and he’s not afraid to force the ball downfield. This Saints defense doesn’t scare me in any sense between the ground or the air, so I’m expecting the Browns to be able to move the ball. He makes for a nice cheap stack as well with guys like Jerry Jeudy, Cedric Tillman, Elijah Moore, and David Njoku, none of them costing more than $5.5k, so a double stack is certainly in play. Our lineup optimizer has Jameis projected for 16.97 DraftKings points giving him 3.09x his price tag.

Click here for full Quarterback projections: Domination Station Optimizer

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Running Backs:

Alvin Kamara ($8.2k vs. Cleveland Browns)

Kamara continues to be extremely consistent without sacrificing a floor. I don’t love the matchup against the Browns, but he’s been a volume machine. The big piece of this is his passing game work, which is gold in PPR settings like DraftKings. He has at least six targets in five straight games and is probably his floor right now, not to mention what we know he can do on the ground. The Domination Station has him projected for 24.37 DraftKings points giving him 2.97x his price tag.

De’Von Achane ($7.2k vs. Las Vegas Raiders)

Achane had a down game in their win against the Rams last time out but he’s been a different RB this season when Tua is in at QB. He’s a legit threat in the passing game and should still see 10-15 touches on the ground. At least five receptions in three straight games and we know he has that play-buster upside where he can make any play a house call. A nice matchup in this one as well, the Raiders rank 23rd in DvP against opposing RBs. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 19.83 DraftKings points giving him 2.75x his price tag.

Breece Hall ($7.5k vs. Indianapolis Colts)

It’s been a rough three week stretch for Breece Hall and this Jets offense. He hasn’t gone over 15 DraftKings points in any of those games and had a very juicy matchup last week, but got game scripted out. He gets another great matchup in this one against the 21st-ranked defense in DvP against opposing RBs. Watching this Jets offense is painful, but if they’re able to lean on Breece and this running game, it should set them up for more success. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 19.03 DraftKings points giving him 2.47x his price tag.

Click here for full Runningback projections: Domination Station Optimizer

Value Priced Wide Receivers:

Khalil Shakir ($6.3k vs. Kansas City Chiefs)

Shakir feels like a very safe option in this one, although I’m not sure he has the same upside as some other guys in this range. The Bills will be without Keon Coleman and Dalton Kincaid at the very least while Amari Cooper remains questionable. It’s a tough matchup against this Chiefs defense, but he’s their possession guy and could rack up the targets for some cheap PPR points. The Domination Station has him projected for 16.99 DraftKings points giving him 2.7x his current price tag.

Kayshon Boutte ($3.5k vs. Las Angeles Rams)

Boutte has been sneaky good for the Patriots as of late with six targets in three straight games. The big thing for him is he’s out there running routes, he’s played 96+% of snaps over their last two games, so the volume should be there at a dirt cheap price tag. I mentioned it in my cheat sheet last week, but I think Drake Maye has a breakout game sooner rather than later and this spot sets up well for that. We have him projected for 9 DraftKings points giving him 2.57x his price tag.

Justin Jefferson ($8.6k at Tennessee Titans)

JJ had a floor game last week in a really awful game overall against the Jaguars but still saw nine targets. He’s the best player in the offense and Darnold will continue to force-feed him. The Titans have been better defensively this season and there are signs of Darnold starting to regress, but Jefferson should be QB proof as long as they’re throwing his way. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 21.24 DraftKings points giving him 2.47x his price tag.

Click here for full Wide Receiver projections: Domination Station Optimizer

Tight Ends:

Evan Engram ($5.2k at Detroit Lions)

In the first week of the Mac Jones experience, Engram saw eight targets and was able to put up double-digit fantasy points. He’s going to continue to be the safety blanket for whoever steps in at QB for the Jaguars, so I’ll have no issue getting to him. I don’t love the matchup however, the Lions rank 2nd in DvP against opposing TEs on the season. They have some athletic linebackers to throw on him, so if there were a reason to get off of him that would be it, but this Jags team is going to have to throw all game. We have him projected for 14.36 DraftKings points giving him 2.76x his current price tag.

Travis Kelce ($6.3k at Buffalo Bills)

Kelce continues to be extremely consistent in this offense with at least 20 DraftKings points in three straight games and at least 10 targets in four of his last five. Those targets should continue in this one and if he falls into the endzone you’re feeling great, I have no issue with Mr. Kelce here. The Domination Station has him projected for 16.8 DraftKings points giving him a value of 2.67x his price tag.

Davis Allen ($2.5k at New England)

I played a bunch of Allen on the showdown slate last time out and at $2.5k this week, he’s an excellent punt play to save money for your roster construction. The Rams have lost faith in Colby Parkinson as their TE and Allen operated as the TE1 for this team last week seeing 80% of the snaps. He saw 55% the week prior, so this has been building for a few weeks. Six targets last week on his way to 8.4 DraftKings points, I would imagine I get quite a bit of him in this spot. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 6.54 DraftKings points giving him 2.62x his current price tag.

Click here for full Tight End projections: Domination Station Optimizer

Value Defense/Special Teams:

New York Jets $2.8k – The Colts are going back to Anthony Richardson at QB who was a turnover machine early this season before being benched. His efficiency was also a league-worst, the Jets defense looks great here at sub-$3k.

Tennessee Titans $2.3k – Punt defense, but I actually don’t hate the spot. Darnold has shown signs of regression as of late and only put up 12 points against a terrible Jags defense. For $2.3k, it really helps your roster construction.

Miami Dolphins $3.0k – Nice week for this DST last week against the Rams with four sacks. The matchup is solid again in this one against the Raiders who have exactly 1 offensive weapon left.