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DraftKings NFL Blueprint – Week 13

My name is DFS Spreadsheets (@dfs_spreadsheet on Twitter) and I’m a data analyst by trade. I love digging into the intricacies that give our players advantages no one else can deliver.

I’ve put together a matrix for Draftkings scoring for NFL. It’s called the Draftkings NFL Blueprint and it looks at how many Draftkings points each NFL team score and allow per game compared to the NFL average, at each skilled position.

I have each game separated so that it’s easy to see and break down who is in a good spot. The For columns show how many Draftkings points that team scores for each position per game compared to the league average. Green is good in the For columns.

In the Against columns, Red is bad for that team’s defense as it means they allow more Draftkings points than league average to that certain position. So when looking at a particular game, you want to find positions that are Green in the For column and Red in the opponent’s Against column. You’re probably thinking that “I wish there was an easy, quick way to find these good matchups”. Well, there is. I’ve already done that work for you in the Matchup columns. You want to target positions in Green in these columns.

I’ve also created a Game Stack Score metric that incorporates each Matchup in the game to find which games should be prime candidates for stacking for DFS purposes. Beside each Game Stack Score, I show the Game Stack Score Rank which shows where that game ranks for stacking purposes. The lower the Game Stack Score Rank, the better. Green is good for both Game Stack Score and Game Stack Score Rank.

The next column in the blueprint is the QB/WR Stack score. This combines the Matchup scores for QBs and WRs from the same team – again, Green is good for this column.

The final two columns are the QB/TE Stack score and QB/WR/TE  stack scores. Again, this adds up the matchup scores for the included positions, Green is good for these columns as well.

Let’s take a look at the matrix for this week and see what stands out. The entire matrix will only be available to our DFS Army VIPS

Even though this data is specific to DraftKings scoring, it can still be used as a guide for Fanduel, fantasy football, and player props

Winning Lineups DFS Army

 

Game Stacks

Here are the top five main slate games to build game stacks around as well as some of the top plays from each game matchup wise that can be used in stacks:

  • Texans vs Jaguars – Game Stack Rank 4
    • Texans QB: 5th best matchup score on the slate
    • Texans RB: 2nd best matchup score on the slate
    • Texans WR: 2nd best matchup score on the slate
  • Steeler vs Bengals – Game Stack Rank 5
    • Steelers QB: 3rd best matchup score on the slate
    • Bengals WR: 6th best matchup score on the slate
    • Steelers TE: 4th best matchup score on the slate
  • Rams vs Saints – Game Stack Rank 3
    • Saints RB: 3rd best matchup score on the slate
    • Rams WR: best matchup score on the slate
    • Saints TE: best matchup score on the slate
  • Buccaneers vs Panthers – Game Stack Rank 1
    • Buccaneers QB: 2nd best matchup score on the slate
    • Buccaneers RB: best matchup score on the slate
    • Panthers RB: 6th best matchup score on the slate
    • Buccaneers TE: 2nd best matchup score on the slate
  • Eagles vs Ravens – Game Stack Rank 2
    • Eagles QB: best matchup score on the slate
    • Ravens QB: 4th best matchup score on the slate
    • Eagles RB: 4th best matchup score on the slate
    • Ravens RB: 5th best matchup score on the slate
    • Eagles WR: 5th best matchup score on the slate
    • Ravens TE: 6th best matchup score on the slate

Quarterbacks

The top 5 teams with the best quarterback matchup scores are:

  1. Philadelphia Eagles 8.8
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7.1
  3. Pittsburgh Steelers 5.2
  4. Baltimore Ravens 4.6
  5. Houston Texans 4.1

Running Backs

The top 5 teams with the best running back matchup scores are:

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 15.2
  2. Houston Texans 8.6
  3. New Orleans Saints 3.7
  4. Philadelphia Eagles 3.6
  5. Baltimore Ravens 3.0

Wide Receivers

The top 5 teams with the best wide receiver matchup scores are:

  1. Los Angeles Rams 16.4
  2. Houston Texans 10.8
  3. Atlanta Falcons 5.0
  4. Indianapolis Colts 4.8
  5. Philadelphia Eagles 4.7

Tight Ends

The top 5 teams with the best tight end matchup scores are:

  1. New Orleans Saints 9.0
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5.6
  3. New England Patriots 4.9
  4. Pittsburgh Steelers 4.7
  5. Arizona Cardinals 3.0

DST

The top 5 teams with the best DST matchup scores are:

  1. Washington Commanders 3.0
  2. Minnesota Vikings 2.5
  3. Arizona Cardinals 2.4
  4. Indianapolis Colts 2.4
  5. Houston Texans 1.7

QB/WR Stacks

The top 5 teams with the best QB/WR stack matchup scores are:
Just kidding – I’m not going to give out all of the goodness for free. BECOME A DFS Army VIP for full access

Player Props

If you’re into player props, our VIPS get access to the Proptimizer which can be used for Sleeper, Prizepicks and even the new Draftkings Pick 6 contests if you use the Sharp App Projection