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DFS NFL Week 4 Milly Maker Review

The Milly Maker is a Large Field GPP Contest on DraftKings that pays out $1,000,000 to First. Learn the winning trends that we’ve found by reviewing years of Milly Maker Winners!

Sep 29, 2024; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Texans wide receiver Nico Collins (12) reacts to his first down against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the second half at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Shea-Imagn Images

This was a week of a lot of Chalk Running Backs – some hit like Hubbard and Brian Robinson Jr. and some failed miserably like Breece Hall, Bijan Robinson, and Najee Harris. Indianapolis continues to be a team you want to target with your DFS Milly Maker Lineups and even though Najee failed, a stack took down the Milly Maker that specifically targeted the Colts and provided direct leverage off of Najee. Let’s take a look at what won the NFL Week 4 Milly Maker.

Week 4 Points
J Fields 35.98
J Conner 21.3
C Hubbard 25.1
M Evans 23.4
J Reed 30.1
G Pickens 20.3
T Hill 14.4
N Collins 36.1
ATL Dst 17
Total 223.68

Stacking

Week 4 was the first time this season when a Secondary Stack didn’t make it into the winning Milly Maker Lineup.

Primary Stack

Justin Fields 35.98 FPTS + George Pickens 20.3 FPTS

Total Stacking Points: 56.28 FPTS

Total Stacking Ownership: 19.2%

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DFS Football Tips

$1,000,000 Milly Maker Ownership

Week 4 Ownership
J Fields 8.2%%
J Conner 12.7%
C Hubbard 19.00%
M Evans 5.10%
J Reed 8.10%
G Pickens 11.00%
T Hill 2.10%
N Collins 27.80%
ATL DST 7.00%
Total 100.70%

 

Another contrarian Lineup takes down the Milly Maker despite eating good chalk in several spots. (Hubbard and Collins.) This 100% total ownership was the third time this year that we’ve had a Milly Maker winner with 100% or less total Team Ownership.

Top Leverage Plays

Mike Evans at 5%

Anytime you have Mike Evans at low ownership, you need to play him in tournaments. It’s like Clockwork.

Justin Fields at 8%

Fields was great direct leverage off of the Najee chalk.

Taysom Hill at 2%

The Tight Ends continue to fail and cheat code Taysom Hill was back to score at low ownership.

Pricing and Value from the Milly Maker Contest

Week 4 Pricing FPTS per Dollar
J Fields $5,500 6.54X
J Conner $6,500 3.27X
C Hubbard $5,700 4.40X
M Evans $7,000 3.34X
J Reed $6,000 5.01X
G Pickens $5,700 3.56X
T Hill $3,800 3.78X
N Collins $7,200 5.01X
ATL Dst $2,600 6.53X
Total $50,000 4.47X

 

There were a few really good value pieces in this lineup. Fields shows why you generally want to look for QB’s under 7K in your Large Field GPP lineups – he hit 6.5X his $5500 to have that Milly Maker winning value. Reed, Collins, and Atlanta all hit over 5X their Salary to round out this lineup. Notice the Atlanta paydown option at DST that really helps 2 7K Wide Receivers fit into the lineup.

Ceiling

After one month of the NFL Season, we still haven’t seen a 250-point score take down the Milly Maker, and we only have one score hit 240. Not surprisingly, only 1 out of 4 weeks we’ve had a QB stacked with more than one pass catcher. Continuing to look at the Ceiling of Milly Maker Winners, will help us in Lineup Construction going forward.

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