Kickstart your excitement for Week 11 of the NFL DFS main slate as we delve deep into the best value plays across every position, all thanks to our trusty NFL Optimizer, aka The Domination Station. I’m Mike, better known as @MadnessDFS on Twitter (X). Don’t forget to follow me for real-time updates and insights, and keep an eye out for my comprehensive DFS content throughout the NFL season, extending seamlessly into the NBA season as well, exclusively here at DFS Army.
Let’s dive right in and set the stage for an exhilarating week ahead!
Oct 26, 2023; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) hands the ball to running back Rachaad White (1) in the first quarter against the Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports
Quarterbacks:
Baker Mayfield ($5.3k at San Francisco 49ers)
Baker comes in as our top point-per-dollar quarterback option on the week for the second straight week. Baker has at least 17 DraftKings points in four straight games but gets a tough matchup against the Niners in this one. The Niners rank 7th in DVOA against the pass on the season and have a great pass rush. That said, the price tag somewhat outweighs the matchup and he has some nice stacking options with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, even Rachaad White if you want a piece of the backfield. The Domination Station has him projected for 15.93 DraftKings points giving him 3.01x his price tag.
Geno Smith ($5.9k at Los Angeles Rams)
Geno also comes in ranked second in point-per-dollar options at the position for the second straight week. Things weren’t looking good for him last week… until it was. The matchup here is great and I think this game has a nice chance at shooting out with Stafford back on the other side. He had a tough game against the Rams in the opener he’s been in good form and has good stacking options as well with guys like DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. We have him projected for 17.43 DraftKings points giving him 2.95x his price tag.
Brock Purdy ($5.8k vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers)
Does this list seem familiar yet? Purdy rounds out the top three just the same as they did last week in a nice matchup against the Bucs. He has at least 23 DraftKings points in back-to-back games and the Bucs pass defense is middle of the road. He ranks 1st among all quarterbacks in the league in yards per attempt giving him a really nice ceiling and we know the floor is there. His stacking options include Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle, and even Christian McCaffery. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 17.05 DraftKings points giving him 2.94x his price tag.
Click here for full Quarterback projections: Domination Station Optimizer
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Running Backs:
Breece Hall ($6.4k at Buffalo Bills)
Hall hasn’t been great over the last couple of weeks and could face a game script issue here, but he does see some pass game work which will help. The Bills’ defense has some holes in it with the injuries they’ve had, however. He ranks 13th in receptions among running backs even with being limited the first few weeks of the season and has big play upside. We have him projected for 15.06 DraftKings points giving him 2.35x his DraftKings price tag.
Rachaad White ($6.0k at San Francisco 49ers)
White has been in great form and cracks the top 3 of point-per-dollar options at the position on the week. He has at least 15 DraftKings points in four straight games. The matchup is tough but he is seeing all the volume in the backfield and has multiple outs with having pass game upside as well. You can beat the Niners on the ground as well, they rank 21st in DVOA against the run this season. The Domination Station has him projected for 14.03 DraftKings points giving him 2.34x his price tag.
Najee Harris ($5.1k at Cleveland Browns)
Najee has been sneaky good as of late with at least 15 DraftKings points in three of his last four games. The issue here is the matchup, the Browns are the best team in the league against the run and might have the best overall defense in the league. He has pass-game upside with the dump-offs he gets which definitely helps and the price tag is extremely cheap. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 11.83 DraftKings points giving him 2.32x his price tag.
Click here for full Runningback projections: Domination Station Optimizer
Wide Receivers:
Marquise Brown ($5.3k at Houston Texans)
Hollywood was disappointing in Kyler Murray’s return last week but at the end of the day Murray being back will only help this offense. The Texans rank 20th in DVOA against the pass, so the matchup is great and Brown has been good most of the season. He ranks 9th among all wide receivers in air yards on the season and has a great price tag in this one. The Domination Station has him projected for 13.76 DraftKings points giving him 2.6x his price tag.
Diontae Johnson ($5.0k at Cleveland Browns)
Similar to Najee Harris in the running back section, the matchup stinks against probably the best defense in the league, but the price tag makes him worth looking into. He has at least 9 targets in two of his last three weeks and is the possession receiver in this offense, so if Pickett is under pressure all day they could look to get the ball out quick to him. We have him projected for 12.85 DraftKings points giving him 2.57x his price tag.
Jonathan Mingo ($3.4k vs. Dallas Cowboys)
The breakout game is coming for Mingo any week… he’s playing massive snaps, at least 96% in three straight games. The price tag is dirt cheap and I expect the Panthers to be in a positive game script for these passing options, it’ll come down to whether or not Bryce Young can get him the ball. He has at least five targets in three of his last five. The matchup isn’t good, but he can blow this price tag out of the water if Young can be competent. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 8.29 DraftKings points giving him 2.44x his price tag.
Click here for full Wide Receiver projections: Domination Station Optimizer
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Tight Ends:
Evan Engram ($4.3k vs. Tennesse Titans)
Engram has lost some of his consistency that he showed earlier in the season, but his price tag has come down as well. He gets an elite matchup in this one against the Titans who rank 27th in DVOA against the pass on the season. Even though the production has been a bit more volatile, he still has at least seven targets in all but the first game of the season. We have him projected for 11.18 DraftKings points giving him 2.6x his price tag.
Dalton Kincaid ($4.9k vs. New York Jets)
Kincaid has been great since Dawson Knox went down a few weeks ago. He has at least 15 DraftKings points in four straight games and is going to look great again even in a tougher matchup. The targets are there and has been a reliable option for Josh Allen in this pass game, the touchdown equity has been great as well. The Domination Station has him projected for 12 DraftKings points giving him 2.45x his price tag.
Logan Thomas ($3.7k vs. New York Giants)
Thomas has been pretty consistent as of late relative to his price tag and gets an elite matchup in this one against potentially the worst team in the league right now. He had 9.1 DraftKings points in this matchup earlier this season and the Giants rank 26th in DVOA against the pass on the season. We have Thomas projected for 8.79 DraftKings points giving him 2.38x his price tag.
Click here for full Tight End projections: Domination Station Optimizer
Defense/Special Teams:
Chicago Bears $2.4k – The Bears DST has been pretty solid as of late with at least 7 DraftKings points in four of their last six games and added Sweat at the trade deadline to make things better. The matchup stinks against the Lions, but they make sense as a dirt-cheap option.
Green Bay Packers $2.3k – The Packers have some great skill players on defense if they can put the pieces together, the price tag is dirt cheap, but against a team that can put up points. The nice thing with them is you get an elite return game with Nixon returning kicks as well.
Las Vegas Raiders $2.5k – The matchup isn’t good against the Dolphins offense but this Raiders defense has made some plays lately. They have at least 8 DraftKings points in four of their last five and make sense yet again in this one.
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