The Milly Maker is a large Field GPP where the top prize pays out $1,000,000. Read the winning trends that we’ve found by reviewing years of winning lineups!
Miami Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert (31) breaks free for a big gain against the Carolina Panthers during the first half of an NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Oct. 15, 2023.
If you want to know how much of an outlier the winning Milly Maker Lineup was, all you have to do is look at the team score of the Atlanta Falcons – 16 points. Then you look at this lineup and see that Ridder somehow carried 2 pass catchers with him despite throwing more interceptions than Touchdowns. He wasn’t anywhere close to flawless, and his team didn’t score over 20 points, but somehow Ridder supported 2 pass catchers. How? Well, pricing played a big part in that so let’s dissect this winning lineup.
| Week 6 | Points |
| Desmond Ridder | 22.08 |
| Kyren Williams | 24.8 |
| Raheem Mostert | 37.2 |
| Cooper Kupp | 30.8 |
| Drake London | 24.5 |
| Amon-ra St. Brown | 33.4 |
| Kyle Pitts | 14.3 |
| Rashid Shaheed | 18.3 |
| Vikings DST | 21 |
| Total | 226.38 |
Stacking
Primary Stacks: Desmond Ridder 22.08 FPTS + Drake London 24.5 FPTS + Kyle Pitts 14.3 FPTS
Secondary Stack: Kyren Williams 24.8 FPTS + Cooper Kupp 30.8 FPTS
Total Stacking Points: 116.56 (23-point average)
Total Stacking Ownership: 62.95%
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$1,000,000 Milly Maker Ownership
| Week 6 | Ownership |
| Desmond Ridder | 4.24% |
| Kyren Williams | 18.87% |
| Raheem Mostert | 54.76% |
| Cooper Kupp | 19.73% |
| Drake London | 10.84% |
| Amon-ra St. Brown | 4.57% |
| Kyle Pitts | 9.27% |
| Rashid Shaheed | 1.26% |
| Vikings DST | 3.36% |
| Total | 126.90% |
I’ve seen it time and time again doing these Milly maker reviews and that is you can get a lot of good chalk like Mostert, Kupp, and Williams, and get different elsewhere – specifically in your QB stack and a stud coming off of injury who was low owned due to recency bias and the matchup. (Amon-ra.) This lineup was able to keep total ownership under 130% by having a contrarian Ridder + 2 stack and 3 one offs under 5%.
Top Leverage Plays
Desmond Ridder at 4%
4th in scoring and also only $5000 so Ridder ended up as one of the best leverage plays of the day with a combination of low ownership, great value that allowed the rest of the lineup to be pieced together nicely, and the higher priced Quarterbacks failing to deliver superior value.
Amon-Ra St. Brown at 4%
How did the field forget about Amon-ra? I remember being pissed off at myself for not setting some minimum exposures to the Number one in this offense and one of the best Wide Receivers in the league.
Vikings DST at 3%
I’m not sure we can really blame this on Fields getting hurt because the Vikings were giving Chicago problems as soon as this one started. Great leverage play and I’m not sure how more of us weren’t on this play with a Chicago offense that has been Jekyll and Hyde all season.
Rashid Shaheed at 1%
$3700 vs a Houston Secondary that can be beat. All it took was one big play for this one to pay off and leverage the field at 1% ownership.
Pricing and Value from the Milly Maker Contest
| Week 6 | Pricing | FPTS per Dollar |
| Desmond Ridder | $5,000 | 4.41X |
| Kyren Williams | $6,500 | 3.81X |
| Raheem Mostert | $6,400 | 5.81X |
| Cooper Kupp | $9,000 | 3.42X |
| Drake London | $4,800 | 5.1X |
| Amon-ra St. Brown | $7,700 | 4.33X |
| Kyle Pitts | $3,500 | 4.08X |
| Rashid Shaheed | $3,700 | 4.94X |
| Vikings DST | $3,000 | 7X |
| Total | $49,600 | 4.56X |
The cheap stack of Ridder + London + Pitts combined for only $13,300 salary, and 60.88 FPTS, which was good enough for Tournament winning value of 4.53X. Those paydowns brought the salary relief for Mostert, Kyren, Kupp, and Amon-Ra. One thing I notice in this lineup that I see a lot when I review the MME Strategy of DFS Pros is the willingness to play contrarian, low salary QB stacks and build them with some higher priced studs. When the Chalk QB’s fail to return tournament winning upside, and the low priced QB stacks hit about 4X, this is the best result within that range of outcomes.
Ceiling
This was a low scoring week across the league, so it’s not surprising that one of the few games with over 40 points made it into the winning Milly Maker build. What is surprising is that it was a stack with a team that scored only 16 points, despite teams like Jacksonville scoring over 35 points on the same slate and having no players in this lineup. On several slates a season, you will see the field get it really wrong and the scores will be lower when that happens. This week was a reflection of that which is evident by the 226-point winning score. I think the lesson to be learned here is that in a contest of this size, if you have a certain lean on a game hitting the over, build for it even if the field isn’t on it. After 6 weeks, the average Milly Maker winning score is currently 248 points.
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