Kickstart your excitement for Week 2 of the NFL DFS main slate as we delve deep into the best value plays across every position, all thanks to our trusty NFL Optimizer, aka The Domination Station. I’m Mike, better known as @MadnessDFS on Twitter (X). Don’t forget to follow me for real-time updates and insights, and keep an eye out for my comprehensive DFS content throughout the NFL season, extending seamlessly into the NBA season as well, exclusively here at DFS Army.
Let’s dive right in and set the stage for an exhilarating week ahead!
Baker Mayfield ($5.1k vs. Chicago Bears)
Mayfield comes in as our top point-per-dollar quarterback option on the week against an atrocious Bears defense that got picked apart by Jordan Love in week 1. Mayfield didn’t look too shabby himself in his opening game in Minnesota either going for two touchdowns and 16.02 DraftKings points. Mayfield certainly has stacking options with Chris Godwin and Mike Evans as well along with Rachaad White out of the backfield who can be played in a stack as a pass-catching running back. We have Mayfield projected for 16.85 DraftKings points which puts him at 3.3x his DraftKings salary in this matchup, I have no doubts this Bears defense is going to allow us to stream quarterbacks against all season long.
Ryan Tannehill ($5.0k vs. Los Angeles Chargers)
I’m not going to lie… Tannehill looked TERRIBLE in week 1, but this is DFS and week 1 doesn’t really matter. He was facing a really tough Saints defense and should get a better shot at a bounce back here against the Chargers who were just shredded by Tua who threw for 466 yards in week 1 and rank 32nd in DvP against opposing quarterbacks in a short sample. I do think there’s a chance Tannehill is just washed which will keep me lower on him, but we have him projected for 15.72 DraftKings points which puts him at 3.14x his DraftKings salary. His main stacking pieces will be Derrick Henry, DeAndre Hopkins, Treylon Burks, and Chig Okonkwo… Henry is a fair stacking option since he just needs one dump-off that could easily turn into a 60-yard touchdown.
Josh Allen ($7.9k vs. Las Vegas Raiders)
Josh Allen is another guy who didn’t look great in Week 1, that said, the Jets’ defense is legitimately elite, so I’m not going to look too much into it. He gets an elite bounce-back spot here against a Raiders defense that wasn’t good last season and I don’t expect to be much better this year. The Bills have the highest implied total on the week at 28, so I would anticipate them to be one of the higher-owned stacks for good reason. You can look at stacking him with James Cook, Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis, and both the tight ends as well, there are a lot of ways to go due to how much they’re going to throw the ball. The Domination Station has him projected for 24.73 DraftKings points giving him 3.13x his DraftKings price tag… he’s probably my favorite option of the group and has easily the highest ceiling of these three guys.
David Montgomery ($5.8k vs. Seattle Seahawks)
Montgomery received 21 rushing attempts on Thursday night against the Chiefs which was great to see for his production and role in this offense. I do expect to see more Jahmyr Gibbs as the season goes on, but Montgomery feels like the more heavy-volume type of guy… think Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard of years past. The Rams were fairly successful on the ground against Seattle last week, so the matchup is solid as well and the Rams ranked 23rd against the run in week 1. The Domination Station has him projected for 15.26 DraftKings points and 2.63x his DraftKings price tag.
Rachaad White ($5.5k vs. Chicago Bears)
White makes the list for the second straight week and I touched on him briefly with the Baker Mayfield breakdown above. White is going to be the lead back for this Bucs offense and get an elite matchup against the Bears who Aaron Jones just torched last week. I think he has a similar play style and skill set to Jones as well, just not to his level, but has some nice pass game upside similar to Jones. White saw 19 touches in week 1 and if he sees that many again in this matchup, he’s going to have a huge day. The Bears rank 30th against the run after the first week of the season and White should have a positive game script as they come in as -3 point favorites. The Domination Station has White projected for 14.37 DraftKings points and 2.61x his DraftKings price tag.
Kenneth Walker III ($5.8k at Detroit Lions)
Walker looked fairly solid in week 1 against the Rams but wasn’t able to get into the endzone as the Rams fell behind quickly. He did see five targets in the air which was nice to see for his upside and could be in a similar game script against the Lions in this one. I would expect that touchdown issue to regress in a positive way as he ranked 3rd amongst running backs last season in red zone touches with 52. He also had 17 breakaway runs last season which was 3rd in the league as well, so the upside is certainly there. The Domination Station has him projected for 14.87 DraftKings points and 2.56x his DraftKings price tag, he has the highest ceiling of these three running backs as well.
Deebo Samuel ($5.6k at Los Angeles Rams)
Deebo saw seven targets on his way to 11.3 DraftKings points in week 1 while Brandon Aiyuk was the guy for Brock Purdy. That said, Shanahan will always draw up plays to get Samuel the ball throughout the game, and his big play upside is massive. The Rams were able to shut down the Seahawks’ offense last week and may be a better defense than we initially thought. Deebo had a huge game against the Rams last season when he went for 115 yards and a touchdown on his way to 26.7 DraftKings points. The Domination Station has him projected for 14.82 DraftKings points and 2.65x his price tag.
Zay Flowers ($5.0k at Cincinnati Bengals)
Mannnnnn I’m all aboard the Zay Flowers hype train, he was killing it in the preseason and looked great in week 1 with 10 targets from Lamar Jackson on his way to 17.7 DraftKings points. He looks like he’s going to be the number 1 option for Jackson early on and is about as shifty as they come. The matchup with Carlton Davis on the other side for the Bengals doesn’t bother me here either, I don’t expect Flowers to be in this price range for long. The Domination Station has him projected for 12.8 DraftKings points and 2.56x his price tag.
Ja’Marr Chase ($7.9k vs. Baltimore Ravens)
Chase burned me big time last week as I went to him as a GPP pivot from Justin Jefferson but should get a decent enough bounce-back spot in this one. He has a perfect 100 rating in our Research Station and has the highest ceiling of these three receivers. Chase averaged 17.3 DraftKings points per game in two games against the Ravens last season and we have him projected right around that number here at 20.14 DraftKings points and a point per dollar value of 2.55. Chase was 3rd among receivers with 26 red zone targets and was 1st in expected fantasy points per game last season. If people are going to be underweight on him because of his production in week 1, I’ll want to go right back to him here and get some major leverage.
Chig Okonkwo ($3.3k vs. Los Angeles Chargers)
I touched on Okonkwo a bit with the Ryan Tannehill breakdown in the quarterback section and think he makes plenty of sense as a value one-off option or as a cheap stack with the Titans’ offense. The offense was not good last week but had a terrible matchup against a good Saints defense. Okonkwo had just two targets and didn’t haul in either of them, that said, he was someone who showed some nice production last season and scored 10 DraftKings points in this matchup last season. The Domination Station has him projected for 9.06 DraftKings points and 2.75x his price tag.
Luke Musgrave ($3.2k at Atlanta Falcons)
Musgrave had a real chance at being the TE1 on the week last week and JUST missed having 2 TDs and about 75 more yards to his stat line. He tripped on a wide-open catch that would have been a walk-in touchdown and Jordan Love overthrew him just a bit on a deep target that would have also been a touchdown. He looks like the real deal and will be a mainstay in this Packers offense that looked a lot better than people wanted to give them credit for in the preseason. He ended last week with four targets and 50 yards and is a guy I want at this price tag before it comes up. The Domination Station has him projected for 8.56 DraftKings points and 2.68x his current price tag.
Irv Smith Jr. ($3.2k vs. Baltimore Ravens)
I was really high on big Irv coming into the season finally in what should be an elite offense with Joe Burrow at the helm. He received five targets last week in a game where this offense struggled heavily. He’s easily their best pass-catching tight end, but with as many elite receivers as they have, they could opt to go to Drew Sample in hopes of protecting Burrow a bit more. Regardless, the upside is certainly there in a great offense at a dirt-cheap price tag. The Domination Station has him projected for 7.95 DraftKings points and 2.48 his DraftKings price tag.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers $3.2k – It’s their second week as the top projected point per dollar play against a Bears offense that looked awful in week 1 against the Packers. They don’t seem to want to let Fields throw the ball and when he does who knows where it’s going to land. The offensive line is bad as well, so the sacks should be there. They had a nice week last week with 9 DraftKings points.
Dallas Cowboys $4.0k – The Cowboys defense completely dismantled the Giants on Sunday Night. They had seven sacks and two defensive touchdowns and now they get an elite matchup against the Zach Wilson lead Jets offense that can’t protect the quarterback (obviously). They showed the upside they have as a defense and is probably my top projected defense on the week regardless of the price tag.
Washington Commanders $3.1k – The Commanders D had a nice week against one of the worst offenses in the league in week 1. I have no issue going back to the well with them in this one as the Broncos offense didn’t look like it took a step from how bad they were last season.
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