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DFS NFL Week 3 DraftKings Milly Maker Review

The Milly Maker is a large Field GPP where the top prize pays out $1,000,000. Read the winning trends that we’ve found by reviewing years of winning lineups!

Sep 24, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Keenan Allen (13) catches a pass against the Minnesota Vikings cornerback Byron Murphy Jr. (7) in the first quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

I’m not sure what was more of an impressive feat in this week’s Millionaire Maker contest on Draft Kings – Winning the contest with a score of 294.38 or putting 4 lineups in the top 5. I have never seen this level of dominance in a single contest of this size, and I can’t wait to dive into Ctoujague’s strategy on the Week in Review. Make sure you’re subscribed to DFS Army’s Youtube Channel, so you don’t miss it!

If you guessed that the Miami Dolphins record breaking score of 70 points contributed to such a massive Milly Maker winning score, then you’re correct. Let’s look at the stack from that game that took down the Week 3 Milly Maker.

Week 3 Points
Jared Goff 19.02
Kenneth Walker 30.6
Raheem Mostert 45.2
Tyreek Hill 33.7
Keenan Allen 48.46
Tank Dell 28.5
Sam Laporta 22.4
Adam Thielen 34.5
Bills DST 32
Total 294.38

Stacking

Despite a game total on the slate of 90 points, this lineup had the rare 2 player stack from 3 separate games. You would think you’d see Miami onslaught stacks take it down, but that would’ve required more of the field to be on Achane, and he was less than 1% owned. Furthermore, you just don’t see many lineups with double RB unless, of course, you can properly predict an absolute slaughter as was the case in this one.

Team Stack: Raheem Mostert 45.2 FPTS + Tyreek Hill 33.7 FPTS = 78.9 FPTS

Jared Goff 19.02 FPTS + Sam Laporta 22.4 FPTS = 41.42 FPTS

Game Stack: Kenneth Walker 30.6 FPTS + Adam Thielen 34.5 FPTS = 65.1 FPTS

Total Stacking Points: 185.42 FPTS

Total Stacking Ownership: 83.38%

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NFL DFS

$1,000,000 Milly Maker Ownership

Week 3 Ownership
Jared Goff 3.74%
Kenneth Walker 20.45%
Raheem Mostert 16.19%
Tyreek Hill 22.76%
Keenan Allen 15.73%
Tank Dell 20.63%
Sam Laporta 9.27%
Adam Thielen 10.97%
Bills DST 12.30%
Total 132.04%

 

With only 2 players under 10% ownership, this lineup had plenty of chalk with Walker, Hill, and Dell leading the way at all over 20% ownership. The Chalk smashed this week and when it does, you’ll obviously see high scoring builds with high total team ownership. The 132% total ownership is the highest we’ve seen since Week 10 of the 2022 Season – only 3 times in 2022 did we see a winning Milly Maker build with over 130% total ownership, so while this was a really fun week, it’s not likely to happen more than a few times out of 18 weeks.

Top Leverage Plays

Jared Goff at 3%

What was crazy about this play was Goff was 11th in scoring at QB but he was priced appropriately, and the salary relief was part of how it was possible for this lineup to have both Allen and Hill in the same build. Only 3% of the field played Goff and he was stacked with the highest scoring Tight End who was also under 10%, so the stack ended up being a great leverage stack when considering the entire lineup construction.

Sam Laporta at 9%

Laporta had averaged 5.5 targets in 2 games so was a great paydown option from Kelce, Hockenson, and Andrews. He ended up being the top scoring tight end on the slate with 8 receptions on 11 targets for 84 yards and a touchdown.

Adam Thielen at 10%

After 9 targets in week 2, Thielen was incredibly underpriced and possibly fell under the radar of all the value plays on the slate such as Dell, Reynolds, Berrios, etc. Thielen had a whopping 14 targets in this one as Dalton targeted the 33-year-old veteran repeatedly and he responded with 145 yards and a touchdown.

Raheem Mostert at 15%

It’s not that Mostert was incredibly under rostered at 15%, but there were more expensive and higher rostered players on the slate like Pollard and Etienne. If you just spent another $600 on Mostert vs 25% Kelley, you probably had a great day.

Pricing and Value from the Milly Maker Contest

Week 3 Pricing FPTS per Dollar
Jared Goff $6,500 2.92X
Kenneth Walker $6,200 4.93X
Raheem Mostert $6,000 7.53X
Tyreek Hill $9,000 3.74X
Keenan Allen $7,600 6.37X
Tank Dell $3,600 7.91X
Sam Laporta $4,000 5.6X
Adam Thielen $3,900 8.84X
Bills DST $2,900 11.03X
Total $49,700 5.92X

 

This lineup was absolutely nuts from a value perspective. First off, this lineup scored almost 300 points and was $300 shy of using the entire $50,000. This is the third week in a row where the winning lineup didn’t spend all $50,000 salary. We only saw this 5 times in 2022 and yet we’ve already seen it 3 times in 2023 after 3 weeks of Football.

DFS Army was all over the Bills DST this week and so was the Domination Station – for good reason – and it delivered by exceeding 11x the salary. In addition Mostert, Allen, Dell, and Thielen all exceeded 6X which is normally needed by at least 1 roster spot. Well as you can imagine, a lineup that almost scores 300 points would have several roster spots exceed 6X and this one had 5 in total! What’s wilder is 3 players in the $3000 range combined for 9X.

Ceiling

This lineup had all the ceiling with 294.38 points and a 32-point average per player. Most weeks you will not see builds anywhere near this high. For example, my highest score this week was 234- which would’ve been good enough to win the Milly Maker weeks 1-2 – but wouldn’t even have been good enough for a top 500 finish in the Milly Maker this week. The crazy high scores will come but the averages of 200-240 will likely remain throughout the entire season. However, I think there are two take aways here for me: Notice 3 different stacks from 3 different games but only QB + 1. DFS Army’s Kevin Alan brought up this thought recently on a podcast when he said, “As crazy as it may sound, I think the QB with at least 2 stacks are usually better for smaller tournaments than the massive tournaments where there are so many player combinations that the QB + 1 ends up winning out.” (More Optimal Lineup.)

I agree with him, and here’s a perfect example of this. However, there’s still merit to building crazy onslaught stacks and leveraging to the top of the leaderboards. (Just know 99% of the time you’ll lose money.) Achane had the highest score on the slate and wasn’t even in the winning lineup because he was less than 1% owned. Tua was only $500 more than Goff and had 31.36 points but was pulled because the Broncos couldn’t muster any opposition offensively. What if Denver had scored 30 and Tua was kept in a bit longer?

Ctoujague’s 3rd place lineup with a Tua + Mostert + Hill stack would’ve won the Milly Maker and been a plus one for the QB + 2 crowd. Make sure you subscribe to DFS Army’s Youtube Channel so you don’t miss tonight’s episode when I study the Milly Maker strategy of the winner who had 4 lineups in the top 5.

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If you want the most in depth look at what it takes to win the Milly Maker, then purchase Adam Burns’ book where he reveals the secrets to winning the Million Dollar game! Get it HERE!