UFC San Antonio DraftKings Picks Preview Vera Sandhagen
UFC San Antonio DraftKings Picks Preview Vera Sandhagen
Favorite Fighters
- Holm $9000
- Parson $8000
- Sandhagen $8
Two Dogs Worth a Second Look
- Vera $7600
- Lee $7100
Bet365: Dog Pound Parlay
- Vera +137
- Perez +162
- Alexander +130
+1333
UFC San Antonio DraftKings Picks Preview Vera Sandhagen
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Marlon Vera $7600 vs. Cory Sandhagen
The line to Impact Lean: Under 4.5 +120
This fight could propel Vera to a title fight, and he is coming in as a value at $7600 and +165 on the m/l. Vera has a great gas tank; some may argue he gets better the longer the fight goes on. TD offense for either fighter should not be a factor, as both need to show the ability to do so consistently. Finally, Vera is on a four-fight win streak and has 11 confirmed finishes in the UFC, and he is +250 to end the fight with submission/TKO/KO. That said, I like Vera to get it done here and land a finish later in the war.
While I believe in Vera, it is essential to note that he is a dog in this fight for a reason. One of those factors is his questionable striking defense. If you rewatch the Cruz fight, Cruz was tagging him nonstop, but Chito has too much chin and kept coming forward. So, can Sandhagen replicate the Edgar fight and land a hit hard enough to put Vera down finally? Probably not, but if I play 150, it is worth investing heavily in both fighters.
UFC San Antonio DraftKings Pick: Vera 7100(Core)
UFC San Antonio Prop Betting: Vera +250 Submission/TKO/KO
UFC San Antonio DraftKings Picks Preview Vera Sandhagen
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Holly Holm $9000 vs. Yana Santos $7200
The line to Impact Lean: Under 2.5 +220
Did someone say women’s MMA?! YOU KNOW WHAT THAT MEANS!!! Not quite; I like Holly Holm in this fight. Here is why:
- Holm recently beat Aldana and Pennington Decision with substantial volume
- Can accumulate a lot of volumes and then land a finish
- Knocked out Rhonda Rousey back in the day
However, this is women’s MMA, so I would only be myself if I took a second sniff at the dog for my 150. Her recent wins over Stoliarenko and Vieira showed us she could spoil the night as a dog. So I will be investing in her, but the pick is Holm.
UFC San Antonio DraftKings Pick: Holm $9000
UFC San Antonio Prop Betting: Under 2.5 +220
Andrea Lee $7100 vs. Maycee Barber $9100
The line to Impact Lean: Under 1.5 +145
I said I would fade Barber in my show earlier, but after looking at her on the DS, I am changing my mind. Her projection for this week is almost 80 pts, and ownership is 17%. I still think she will lose to Lee because this is women’s MMA, and Barber is a favorite who has not fought anyone. I will probably get 20-25% barber and double the ownership on Lee because I like the fight overall as one to score well and fly under the radar. Lee has scored 103. 8 and 115.5 in her last two wins showing her ability to achieve a good ceiling score. She has also demonstrated the ability to land finishes via Calvillo and A. Shevchenko.
The pick is Lee, but the fight overall may be all in. If not, it will be 80-90% of my 150.
UFC San Antonio DraftKings Pick: Lee $7100
UFC 286 Prop Betting: Lee +650 KO/TKO/DQ/Submission
Leverage Play
Nate Landwehr $9400 vs. Austin Lingo $6800
I have been having a lot of success of the last two years, simply finding one leverage high projected player and locking them in 60-80% in 150 lineups. So my play for this week will be Nate Landwehr, who is priced up but projected the fourth highest on the card with 30% ownership, to other high-launched fighters who are 45% or higher projected ownership.
Nate “The Train” has two recent wins Over Onama (Decision), and Kelin (submission) scored 104 and 91 on DraftKings, showing his ability to achieve well in a finish or a decision. He could get TD and rack up control time or finish the fight early. Either way, Nate is a high-priced fighter I will significantly invest in this weekend.
UFC San Antonio DraftKings Pick: Landwehr $9400 (60-80%)
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UFC San Antonio DraftKings Picks Preview Vera Sandhagen
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Reference:
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