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DFS NBA Full Court Press: FanDuel & DraftKings Main Slate – Mar. 25th, 2023

Main Slate Breakdown for NBA DFS 3/25:

Mar 24, 2023; San Francisco, California, USA; Philadelphia 76ers forward Tobias Harris (12) dribbles the basketball against the Golden State Warriors during the first quarter at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Neville E. Guard-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome to another year of the DFS Army NBA Full Court Press! Members had a ton of success using the Full Court Press along with various articles and tools that DFS Army provides last season, so we are glad to be back with another year of the all-inclusive article. You have to start your research somewhere, and oftentimes going game by game and breaking down every matchup and its key players is the first step in our process. My name is Mike aka @MadnessDFS on Twitter, make sure to give me a follow as I’ll occasionally make updates to the advice in the article. But, you’ll mostly find me in our VIP coaching forums where I provide detailed lineup maneuvers and answer all lineup questions. With that said, let’s get it started!

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Before I get started, I need to shoutout a few huge VIP Member wins – “Phamacist” took 1st place in the $300k Fadeway contest which netted him $100k while “da_banditz” grabbed 1st place on FanDuel as well winning $10k- congrats guys!

Brooklyn Nets @ Miami Heat

Vegas Total: NA

Vegas Spread: Mia -5.5

We’ll kick this slate off with the Nets, the price tag on Mikal Bridges has come way down and we’ve seen the upside he can provide on this Nets team. I don’t love the matchup, but the price is hard for me to ignore on a guy that has a 28+% usage rate. Spencer Dinwiddie bounced back nicely last time out but is in a similar boat as Bridges where I don’t love the matchup and his price tag isn’t as appealing. The minutes for Nicolas Claxton have been more consistent lately and will be a fine GPP option here in a tougher matchup. Cam Johnson had a rough go of it last time out but should continue to play big minutes and makes sense in all formats if you land on him to fill out your roster. We can throw guys like Royce O’Neale and Dorian Finney-Smith in that same boat as well as filler pieces to round out the Nets. From the Heat, Jimmy Butler has been much more consistent as of late and flashed a ceiling last time out against the Knicks. I would have no issue going right back to him in this one at his price tag. Bam Adebayo came back down to Earth last time out but had at least 40 DraftKings points in each of his three prior games. Tyler Herro is a bit too volatile for me to love in cash games but makes plenty of sense in tournaments. Then the rest of this team is more secondary/GPP options than anything on a big slate with guys like Caleb Martin, Max Strus, and Kevin Love.

5-star play: Mikal Bridges, Jimmy Butler

4-star play: Spencer Dinwiddie, Nicolas Claxton, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro

Deeper Value: None

GPP Sleeper: Cam Johnson, Royce O’Neale, Dorian Finney-Smith, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love


Milwaukee Bucks @ Denver Nuggets

Vegas Total: NA

Vegas Spread: Den -2.5

Starting with the Bucks, I would expect Khris Middleton back in this one on the back end of a back-to-back against a better team. He’s been in good form since re-joining the starting lineup and has that SF eligibility that has been tough to find good production out of as of late. I had Jrue Holiday as a core play last night and was on his way to a huge game before the game turned into a blowout and he played just 25 minutes. I would have no issue going right back to him in this one. Giannis Antetokounmpo is the clear top option from this team and is always a guy I like getting to in games that should remain close due to the minutes ceiling opening up. He’s at less risk of seeing minutes in the mid-20s like we saw last night. He’s a top spend-up option on the slate in a sneaky good spot, Jokic isn’t as good of a defender as a lot of people like to think. Brook Lopez will have his hands full with Jokic down low but has been one of the best centers in the league as of late, I have no problem going back to him in this one as well while Pat Connaughton and Grayson Allen are GPP options. From the Nuggets, Nikola Jokic is going to look like a top spend-up option on the slate as well. He has at least 60 FanDuel points in three of his last four games and is a guy that will look great in this spot. I don’t have any issues with Jamal Murray either, he isn’t as hot as he was a couple of weeks ago, but he’s going to play all the minutes he can handle in a fast-paced matchup. Aaron Gordon and Michael Porter Jr. are similar options at similar price tags, I would probably prefer Gordon in cash while going to Porter Jr. in GPPs due to the volatility, but that’s splitting hairs, I don’t have a problem with either of these guys. Then we can round this team out with Kentavious Caldwell-Pope as a roster-filling piece, but he’s not a guy we need to prioritize by any means.

5-star play: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Nikola Jokic

4-star play: Khris Middleton, Jrue Holiday, Brook Lopez, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Michael Porter Jr.

Deeper Value: None

GPP Sleeper: Grayson Allen, Pat Connaughton, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Quick shoutout to VIP member “Cenzamatic” on a massive $20k win last season! Sometimes paying up for double studs works, and Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kevin Durant brought it home for him with the help of some Stanley Johnson and Pistons value. Good work and congrats man!

Philadelphia 76ers @ Phoenix Suns

Vegas Total: NA

Vegas Spread: Phi -1.0

We’ll start with the Sixers, James Harden ended up missing their game last night yet again and has now missed three straight. We don’t have an injury report on them quite yet, but I would imagine he comes in as questionable again here, so keep an eye on our Breaking News Feed as we get closer to lock. I’ll operate under the assumption that he plays and has been in good form when out there, but if he’s out, the rest of this lineup sees a pretty nice boost but the price tags are starting to catch up with them. Due to this, guys like Tobias Harris, De’Anthony Melton, and Tyrese Maxey are really only in play for me if he’s ruled out. Joel Embiid is going to look great here as well in a matchup with a Suns team that is lacking rim protection with Ayton still out. Speaking of the Suns, obviously, without Ayton, there will be minutes open at that center position, so look for guys like Jock Landale and Bismack Biyombo to pick up the slack. Landale has been the more consistent producer, but I would expect they see similar minutes unless one of them gets in foul trouble against Embiid down low. Devin Booker is playing all the minutes he can handle right now and is going to look like a strong option on this slate as well if you can’t quite get up to these top-tier big men. Chris Paul had a nice game last night and is a guy I like again in this one while guys like Torrey Craig and Josh Okogie are GPP options to round out your rosters.

*** The below assumes James Harden is active ***

5-star play: Joel Embiid, Devin Booker

4-star play: James Harden, Chris Paul, Jock Landale

Deeper Value: None

GPP Sleeper: Tobias Harris, Tyrese Maxey, De’Anthony Melton, Bismack Biyombo, Torrey Craig, Josh Okogie

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Utah Jazz @ Sacramento Kings

Vegas Total: NA

Vegas Spread: Sac -9.5

Starting with the Jazz, Lauri Markkanen missed their game last night while Jordan Clarkson has missed their last few games. I’ll operate under the assumption Markkanen is back while Clarkson remains out. This is a nice matchup against a fast-paced Kings team that doesn’t play a whole lot of defense, so Markkanen will look like a nice option in all formats. Talen Horton-Tucker has picked up the slack as the playmaker in this offense but has seen some inconsistent minutes due to blowout which isn’t out the question in this one. That said, I’m not a huge fan of trying to predict blowouts, so he’s going to look like a nice option here. Walker Kessler has been one of the more consistent centers since the break and makes sense in all formats here even after a down game last night in a tough matchup. Kelly Olynyk has been in great form and is a guy I like going back to again here especially if Markkanen does end up getting ruled out. Lastly, Simone Fontecchio would head back to the bench if Markkanen returns but would make sense as a secondary option if he’s out again. From the Kings, Domantas Sabonis has been in great form as of late and feels slightly too cheap in a great matchup here. De’Aaron Fox has been held down over his last few games but gets a similarly great matchup, I have no problem going right back to him in this one, particularly in GPPs. Kevin Huerter returned last night and didn’t show any signs of rust knocking down three’s left and right. He’s a solid secondary option along with these other mid-range guys such as Harrison Barnes and Keegan Murray. Then we can round this team out with Malik Monk as a tournament option.

5-star play: Lauri Markkanen, Domantas Sabonis

4-star play: Talen Horton-Tucker, Walker Kessler, Kelly Olynyk, De’Aaron Fox, Kevin Huerter

Deeper Value: None

GPP Sleeper: Harrison Barnes, Keegan Murray, Malik Monk


New Orleans Pelicans @ Los Angeles Clippers

Vegas Total: NA

Vegas Spread: Lac -5.0

Starting with the Pelicans, Brandon Ingram is my preferred option between him and CJ McCollum, but both guys are fine options in an elite matchup against this Clippers team that is missing one of its best defenders in Paul George. Ingram has been in elite form and is coming off of an absolutely massive game last time out. Jonas Valanciunas has at least 44 DraftKings points in four straight games and has seen his minutes trending in the right direction, he’s a nice option in all formats. Then guys like Trey Murphy and Herb Jones make sense as filler pieces to round out your rosters. Murphy comes into this one as questionable, if he’s forced to miss we should see more minutes out of guys like Naji Marshall and Larry Nance. From the Clippers, as I mentioned, Paul George is going to miss the next few weeks with a knee injury, below is how this team operates with him off of the court this season:

Kawhi and Westbrook are the big standouts as they’ll be the guy’s with the ball in their hands more often with George off of the court, both guys are going to look like great options in this one. I do like Gordon and Morris as secondary options as well as they likely see some additional shots.

5-star play: Kawhi Leonard

4-star play: Brandon Ingram, CJ McCollum, Jonas Valanciunas, Russell Westbrook

Deeper Value: None

GPP Sleeper: Eric Gordon, Marcus Morris, Ivica Zubac, Trey Murphy, Herb Jones

NBA Lock of the Day: Russell Westbrook (DK – $8.2k; FD – $7.9k)

We’re waiting on a few pieces of news that could sway this such as Harden and Markkanen’s status, but we know Paul George will remain out and we saw Westbrook take on more playmaking duties for the Clippers last time out. He has a 30% usage rate and 1.22 fantasy points per minute with George off of the court this season in about a 70 minutes sample size. I love the matchup against this Pelicans team and as gross as it feels, Westbrook is going to look like an awesome play on this slate. At this point in the day, I would think he makes my core, but check out our VIP Cheat Sheets as we get closer to lock for staff picks on Core plays, 8x locks of the day, and tiers notes as well!

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Editor’s Note – However, if you are more interested in simply betting the games, NBA is full of crazy action.  And, our dynamic modeling over at SharpBets adjusts in real time to help identify Vegas inaccuracies you can exploit.  Follow Ryan, Anthony, and Statsational for models and coaching advice that help you build any bankroll for any sport…

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