DFS NHL is a volatile sport centering around correlation, stacking and game theory. Learning how to win cash games and tournaments requires nailing those great upside plays/stacks, grabbing obvious value, and making the proper fades that sink everyone else’s ships. Let’s look through today’s slate and identify those winning picks in “Snipes and Grinders!”
All of my plays make sense for the entire DFS industry; however, if there is an egregious discrepancy in player salary between sites, I will mention it in my briefing.
Snipe = Good Play
Grinder = Value Plays (Grinders are Valuable)
DFS NHL Slate Overview:
NHL season is here! Check out all of our industry-leading content on dfsarmy.com, and if interested feel free to DM me personally and I’ll get your journey started. Remember, our mission is a process, we grow and learn every day; figure out what our competitors are doing, identify the correct plays, and calculate the correct ways to attack each slate. Every slate is different and can be attacked in different ways. We also have great tools to work with like the domination station (optimizer), the research station, chalk boards, as well as tons of coaches readily available in our discord.
Now – onto hockey
Biggest prize pooled slate of the season on DraftKings from what I have seen. Other than my 2 favorite stacks for GPP’s, the Leafs, Golden Knights, and Devils will be the chalkiest builds of the slate. The chalk goalies will also come from those same stacks that I just mentioned. With 9 games on the slate I would not stress about how chalky your lineup is, unless it gets to a point of utter absurdit, which very rarely happens on larger slates. Remember to correlate your lineups whether it is a 4-3 build or a 3-2-2, or a 2-2-2-2 build. The skinnier your stacks are, the higher your fantasy point floor is, but the lower your ceiling most likely is.
Correlated Snipe #1
Mikael Granlund – Matt Duchene
If you want to include either Ryan Johansen or Roman Josi in these stacks, that is perfectly reasonable. Johansen has been playing on the top line with Duchene and Granlund, but has a capped ceiling with how little he shoots the puck. Roman Josi is just the superstar defenseman that quarterbacks the top powerplay unit, and correlates well with Granlund and Duchene in key situations. The Predators are at home against the crappy Canucks. The stacks probably change around if Forsberg comes back for the Predators, and we will adjust accordingly if that happens. The Canucks suck on defense, and have had poor goaltending all season, which has been their reason for being a bottom-feeding team. This stack is very versatile because you could go Josi and Duchene and have some decent scoring ability for your lineup; or, you could go Granlund and Johansen, and have a super cheap mini-correlation to go with the rest of your lineup which you spent up on.
Correlated Snipe #2
Tage Thompson – Jeff Skinner – Alex Tuch
The Leafs have some goaltending issues in the short term here. Samsonov just got shelled by the absolutely terrible Blackhawks, and Joseph Woll lacks experience. The Sabres play the Leafs tough all of the time, and are at home here. The Sabres also are one of the best offensive teams in the NHL. If this game was in Toronto, I would flip the script; but, with Buffalo getting the final line change, I like Tage Thompson to get into spots that favor him. The Leafs also enjoy the penalty box, and the Sabres have a talented powerplay. The big decisions in the builds will be choosing between Matthews, Hughes, or Thompson stacks; and although it is close, I am leaning Tage here. McDavid stacks just feel like chasing points against a bad Flyers team, which is why I left him out. You can even do a mini stack of each Thompson and Matthews to get a little game stack going. Bet the over here!
If you want to freshen up your 2021-22 cash and tourney strategy skills, read “How to Win DFS NHL in 2022.”
Save research time with our easy-to-read NHL Cheatsheets! Core plays, tourney leverage, correlated stacks, and extreme goalie plays set up your night differently than your competition.
NHL Grinder Value Plays
Tom Wilson – At home against Detroit and loves to shoot that puck. Top line and 2nd powerplay unit as well.
Casey Mittlestadt – 3rd line, but on the 2nd powerplay unit; and, very active and offensively minded.
Good luck, I hope you all come in 2nd. 😉
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