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Oct 2, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) reacts as time winds down on a victory against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
Yahoo! Cash Game Players for Week 5
Week 4 was one full of Running Back Chalk as we had value plays like Herbert and Williams (who smashed) in our starting lineups and Hockenson was the Chalk Tight End play that broke the slate and probably determined whether or not you cashed. Week 5 is shaping up to be somewhat similar to Week 4 in regard to value RB plays so we’ll look to correctly navigate through the RB minefield and play the correct ones in order to Cash in Week 5.
Quarterbacks
This week we have the usual suspects at Quarterback and the return of a familiar name.
Josh Allen $40
I feel like I mention Josh Allen every week but why not? Even in a down game, he’s good for 24+ points with his rushing Floor and we know his ceiling is over 30 points. This week Allen’s Bills are heavy 14-point favorites against the Steelers and have a 30-point team total. He’s the best pay up option this week in cash games and playable in all formats.
Jalen Hurts $38
Hurts didn’t have his best game passing the football last week as he threw no touchdowns and one interception. However, we knew Jacksonville was a tough matchup and this week sets up as a bounce back game for Hurts who faces Arizona’s 17th ranked Defense. This game has a 49-point game total, the Eagles have a 27-point team total, and Hurts is the 2nd highest projected QB at DFS Army with a projection of 23.97 Fantasy Points.
Tom Brady $28
The stars are aligning a bit this week for Brady, despite everything going on in his personal life. The Bucs have a 28.25 team total against a Falcons team that Brady owns. 28-3, Anybody? Brady’s pass catchers are back, Fournette has been horrible running the ball, and the Falcons have allowed 7 passing touchdowns in their first four games this season. All signs point to the Bucs winning this one through the air and I like the savings that I get by going down to Brady as opposed to playing Hurts or Allen. Brady is playable in Cash games, and I’ll have plenty of exposure to him in tournaments as well.
Running Backs
Running Back isn’t as clear cut this week as it was last week so we’re narrowing it down to a handful of backs and seeing if any value pushes us one way or the other as the week goes on. We listed Barkley, Williams, Herbert, and Jacobs as top options last week. If you played a combination of those 4 backs, you likely smashed in cash and tournaments.
Dalvin Cook $29
Cook is still getting a lot of volume and has averaged over 85 yards a game on a full workload. This week he faces the Bears defense that is allowing over 5 yards per carry. I prefer Cook this week based on the matchup and the other options priced in the $30 range.
Alvin Kamara $24
We can’t let recency bias allow us to overlook good plays because we haven’t seen them in recent weeks. If Kamara plays this week, he’s one of the top plays from a projection and Fantasy Points Per Dollar basis. The Seahawks have given up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing Running Backs so if Kamara returns from his rib injury, we like him this week. DFS Army’s Domination Station has Kamara projected for 16.44 Fantasy Points and .69 Fantasy Points Per Dollar.
Khalil Herbert $20
He has back-to-back games with 100 total yards and Montgomery is trending towards missing again this week. You can’t play Herbert in cash if Montgomery plays, but if he misses again, I want Herbert against a Vikings team that is allowing 4.6 YPC per game.
Dameon Pierce $20
Pierce checks several boxes for Yahoo and those are volume, production, and touchdowns. He has averaged 17 carries over the last 2 games, 105 yards, and a Touchdown. He’s got a good matchup this week vs the Jags and projects as the 2nd highest back from a Fantasy Points per Dollar standpoint.
Jeff Wilson Jr. $17
In a tough matchup last week, Jeff Wilson had 74 yards and a touchdown. The volume is there as he’s gotten 18 carries in 2 of his last 3 games. At $17, I like him as a pay down option at RB over Devin Singletary at $18. Maybe Singletary gets a boost in carries if the Bills throttle the Steelers as they’re projected to, but I’m not taking that risk in cash Games. Singletary would be more of a tournament play for me with Wilson being simarly priced and seeing more volume.
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Wide Receivers
Stefon Diggs $34
Specifically in Cash games when I look at the top priced players at each position, I’m looking for the path of least resistance in any given week. Kupp will likely draw coverage of the other Diggs’ brother in the Los Angeles/Dallas game. Stefon, on the contrary, has a very favorable matchup vs Pittsburgh with a 30-point team total. He’s also a $6 discount over Kupp, His 25% target share is elite, and I expect him to find the endzone again this week. He is projected to score 15.33 points via DFS Army’s very accurate projection model.
AJ Brown $27
His pricing is the lowest it’s been since Week 1 and I like that for a guy with a 32% target share and 100 yards per game average. The positive Touchdown regression will come, and I like his chances this week vs a shaky Cardinals pass defense. This game carries the highest game total on the slate at 49 points and I want some exposure to it.
Deebo Samuel $25
Insert Jimmy G into the lineup and his usage is back to being elite. He has 196 yards in his last two games, a Touchdown, and has a great matchup this week vs Carolina. Deebo is top 5 in WR projections this week on Yahoo and doesn’t come with a top 5 price tag.
Brandon Cooks $16
The top Fantasy Points Per Dollar play this week at DFS Army (.76) with a $16 salary and 12.12-point projection. He has a 26% target share on the season and provides the salary relief you need from at least one of your Wide Receivers.
Tyler Lockett $16
2nd best Fantasy Points per Dollar Play this week for Wide Receivers at .74. If Lattimore is going to cover Metcalf, we like Lockett this week.
George Pickens $12
8 targets for 102 yards last week and Pickett was targeting him which is good because he’s getting the start this week. Garbage time or not, I like Pickens at that kind of volume for his price.
Tight Ends
TJ Hockenson $21
Okay so I don’t like chasing prior week performance, but TJ Hockenson is one of the highest projected scoring Tight Ends on the slate (3rd with 8.67 projected points) and he scores touchdowns – we need that on Yahoo.
Tyler Higbee $15
Higbee is the highest projected scoring tight end at DFS Army’s Domination Station with a projection of 9.47 Points. He has a 25% target share on the season and if Diggs is going to be covering Kupp for a good portion of the game, I love Higbee to get 9 points and quite possibly exceed projections.
Hunter Henry $10
Jonnu Smith is week to week with a sprained ankle. That leaves Hunter Henry who saw a 20% target share last week with Smith out of the lineup. With the Lions coming to town, I think Henry is the best Punt option at Tight End this week with the porous Lions Defense coming to town. He’s the 2nd best Fantasy points per dollar play at tight end this week with a projection of .64.
DEF
New Orleans Saints $12
Projected to score 8.41 points, this is the Domination Station’s top Fantasy Points per Dollar play this week.
New England Patriots $10
I prefer to pay down at Defense and Belichick’s Patriots are generally a tough outing for Offense. This Defense is tied for third as the Top Fantasy Points per Dollar play and minimally priced as well.
Los Angeles Chargers $10
Tied with the Pats as the 3rd best play via DFS Army’s optimizer, I trust this Defense a little more this week based on the fact that I think the Chargers offense will apply pressure on the Browns to keep up with them and that often results in turnovers.
Top Yahoo! Stack of the Week
Jalen Hurts + Devonta Smith
Total Stacking Cost: $55 of $200 Salary.
Stack Projected Ownership: 18.31%
Game Total: 49
Team Total: 27
For having the highest game total on the slate and 2 franchise Quarterbacks squaring off, this game seems like it’s going to be under owned. I specifically like this stack as we’ve seen what Devonta Smith can do as he was in winning GPP lineups two weeks ago; Devonta’s pricing and ownership are still very low on Yahoo.
Furthermore, the matchup is good vs a Cardinals secondary that is currently ranked 23rd in the league vs wide receivers, giving up 255 yards per game.
Top Yahoo! Leverage Plays off the Chalk
Quarterback Leverage Plays
Kyler Murray at 4.67%
We know that Philly has elite corners but there are other ways for Murray and the Cardinals to score in the highest projected game total on the slate. I’m not opposed to taking shots with Murray + Ertz in stacks with the Philly pass catchers as bring back options. We also know Murray can run to score on his own and not necessarily need a stacking piece which is good because he’s not cheap. There are value stacking options though with Brown at $19 and Moore at $15.
Justin Herbert at 3.94%
I listed Herbert as a top leverage play last week and he smashed; if he’s going to be low owned again this week, I’ll go right back to Herbert. We know how talented he is and if he can come out and score early, the Chargers can get the Browns out of their run heavy attack which bodes well for the Chargers to put it on them.
Running Back Leverage Plays
Jamaal Williams at 7.98%
The news just came out that Swift is going to miss week 5, so I’m not sure if the field will go right back to Williams or not after he smashed last week. He’s also priced up a bit and in a tougher matchup against the Pats; However, I’ll be all over him in tournaments if he’s going to be low owned. Last week we saw him take down large field GPP’s even at 35% ownership, so I’m willing to eat some chalk on Yahoo as he got 76% of the carries and all the goal line work.
Raheem Mostert at 7.62%
Tua is out and the Dolphins are facing the Jets. I could see them leaning on the run and Mostert got the bulk of the work last week with 15 carries. He’s cheap and direct leverage off of Tyreek Hill who figures to be one of the chalkier Wide Receivers
Damien Harris at 9.73%
I’m normally not a huge fan of playing RBs in a timeshare on Yahoo’s Half-PPR format, but Damien Harris has scored 3 total touchdowns in his last 3 games, and we love that on Yahoo. This week he has the Lions who have given up over 115 yards per game to opposing Running Backs. Note: I think $22 Stevenson is playable as well in tournaments.
James Robinson at 4.5%
It was a negative game script last week for Jacksonville who was trailing the Eagles. This week, however, Robinson gets a Texans team that is allowing 172 rushing yards per game so he’s in a smash spot and looking to be under owned.
Pass Catching Leverage Plays
Tyler Lockett at 7.95%
If DK Metcalf is going to get the Lattimore treatment, I’ll gladly play Lockett this week who has good chemistry with Geno who has targeted him 10 times per game over the last 3 games.
Mike Williams at 5%
The Browns give up big plays down the field and that is the Mike WIlliams role. I like him again this week at low ownership if Keenan Allen is out.
Gabe Davis at 5%
Gabe Davis practiced in full on Wednesday, so he looks like he’ll be able to go against the Steelers on Sunday. Diggs is looking to be the chalk at 20% ownership, so Davis provides direct leverage off of Diggs on a team with a 30-point projected total.
Robert Woods at 3.35%
No Treylon Burks means that Woods is the number one option in the Titans passing game and he goes up against a Commanders’ secondary that has allowed 7 touchdowns to Wide Receivers this year.
TJ Hockenson at 2%
If the Lions are going to run out the same offense they had last week, how is TJ Hockenson going to be so low owned again? I’m seeing anywhere from 2-6% and I’m all over it in tournaments.
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