I am posting this a day earlier than usual because I am going out of town for the weekend to see a Wu-Tang concert with a group of my college buddies. No word yet on whether or not the Geek will be featured on any guest verses, but you can here him spitting hot bars multiple times a week on the DFS Army YouTube channel.
It was a banner week one for DFS Army. The Domination Station loved a low owned Pittsburg Defense, which helped countless members post big wins. There was none bigger the million dollar takedown on DraftKings by Rapidfirexd.
We are just getting started. Let’s try to have another six figure winner. These are my Simple Six, common sense, cut through the noise, plays for week two.
Sep 11, 2022; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; New York Giants running back Saquon Barkley (26) leaves the field after a win against the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports
1- Saquon Barkley $7300 on DraftKings
There a GIF from one of the John Wick movies where, in a brief moment in between killing a bunch people he says “Yeah, I’m thinking I’m back.” That was Sauon Barkley last week. With 194 total yards, he carried the Giants to comeback win on the road in Tennessee. He was explosive and decisive. He had an 83% snap share while leading the team in targets.
In the sequel, he gets to face a Carolina defense that just gave up 41.3 total DraftKings points to Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt.
DraftKings did not give Barkley enough of a price bump. In our Domination Station optimizer he projects within 2 points of Taylor ($9,900) and McCaffrey ($8,900), yet you are getting a massive price discount.
Saquon should be chalky, but I happy to eat it in this spot.
2- DJ Moore $5,700 on DraftKings
I am looking for a skinny stack, run back for Barkley. CMC is a decent bet to bounce back after a disappointing week one, but it’s not easy to do salary wise. A team that starts with Saquon and McCaffrey is only going to have an average remaining salary of $4,829. This is less than optimal on a slate without any screaming values in the 3K range (aside from Greg Dortch, if Rondale Moore sits, based on last week’s volume). Playing Robbie Anderson at $5,300 and banking on another 75 yard touchdown seems point chasey.
I’ll instead go with Moore who saw a $300 price decrease after a quiet week one. The Giants are going to be really thin at corner with starter Aaron Robinson missing the due to appendicitis.
New York defensive coordinator Wink Martindale runs a blitz happy scheme that forces the ball out quickly. Receivers who can separate underneath the coverage can rack up production. Rookie Kyle Phillips saw 9 targets and finished with 6 grabs for 66 yards. DJ Moore has the ability to turn those short targets into big gains. I think he could breakout this week.
3- Davonte Adams $8,600
I didn’t get nearly enough Adams in best ball and I didn’t play enough of him last week. I feel like a fool for wondering if he could maintain his elite target share without Aaron Rodgers, sharing the field with Waller and Renfrow. If week one was any indication he may actually Improve it. As our guy Garrett Thomas points out, Adams lead all WRs in target share last week with a ridiculous 48.6%.
At home, in the highest total game (51.5) against a bad Cardinal D, is not the spot where I expect Adams to come back to earth. And if you likely to take a ride on narrative street, this will be the first time Adams’ grandparents will get to see him play live. Not exactly analytical, but it can’t hurt.
4- Brandon Aiyuk $5,100 on DraftKings and $5,700 on Fanduel
I am willing to throw out almost everything that happened with 49ers offense in week one. That game was played in a monsoon. A down the field receiving threat like Aiyuk never had a chance.
Let’s see what he can do on dry ground, at these discount prices. All we heard about in training camp was the incredible connection that Aiyuk was building with Trey Lance. With Kittle likely out again and Deebo spending more time in the backfield due to Mitchell’s injury, Aiyuk should be a primary target in the passing game.
Seattle starts two rookie corners and we saw what Jerry Jeudy did to one of them last week. Aiyuk is in line for a big day, and their won’t be many more chances to play him this cheap.
5- Darrell Henderson Jr $5,700 on DraftKings and $6,100
DFS Madness points out that Hendo lead Rams running back with an 82% snap share on week one. He out touched Cam Akers 18-3. Akers is clearly in McVay’s doghouse.
The defending Super Bowl champs were embarrassed by Buffalo in the opener. They’ve now had extra time to prepare for Atlanta team that has been a notoriously good spot to start fantasy RBs. I’ll take the starting running back on a 10.5 point home favorite, who is involved in the passing game, at a fair price.
6- Drake London $5,200 on DraftKings $5,600 on Fanduel
I am going run it back against Henderson with the Atlanta rookie receiver. The 8th overall pick was impressive in his debut, leading the team in targets, receptions, and yards. 5 grabs for 74 yards might not seem like much, but after missing most of the preseason with a knee injury it was an encouraging start.
I expect the Rams to come out hot and take the lead. The Falcons will have to throw to keep up. I will have some shares of Kyle Pitts as well (because I am a donkey who can’t quit him), but London looked to be Mariota’s favorite target in week one and he price is very reasonable.