NFL Week 2 Yahoo DFS Picks

Cash Plays

Last week was a smashing success for DFS Army across the board and Cash games were no different. The top players that we identified at every position should have been a nice blueprint for your Cash Lineup to hit that Cash line; Jalen Hurts at $33, Jonathan Taylor at $40, Barkley at $18, Jefferson at $31, Pittman at $23, and Bateman at $16, were the core of your team and you easily hit the cash line if you sprinkled in some value plays like Doubs and Dotson.

We’ll look for the same criteria that we always do constructing our cash lineups and that’s high floor plays, chalky plays, & great value plays from a fantasy points per dollar basis.

In our tournament builds, we’ll look to get off the Chalkier constructions and focus on getting different elsewhere. Let’s start with the Cash game plays that we like this week.

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Quarterbacks

Kyler Murray $35

Even in a blowout loss to the Chiefs last week, Murray still managed to produce over 20 points. I expect a much more competitive game this week vs Las Vegas as it’s the highest total on the slate. Murray is normally good for at least 20 points with a 30–40-point upside so that’s the floor you’re looking for in your cash games. I prefer Lamar but can see going up to Murray if we find late value on the slate.

Lamar Jackson $31

When Lamar is healthy, he produces Fantasy points. He only rushed for 17 yards last week and still produced 21.22 points on Yahoo as he completed 17 passes for 213 yards and 3 Touchdowns. That is probably the lowest production that he’ll have all season from a yardage standpoint and that’s the kind of floor you want from your cash game Quarterback. If I can afford the $31 salary, I’ll try to get up to Lamar this week in Cash games. DFS Army projects him for 22.01 Fantasy points which is highest on the main slate.

Trey Lance $27

I am far from a Trey Lance truther. In fact, I just flipped him in my redraft league in a package for Russell Wilson. That said, I’m going to chalk up his poor performance to first week jitters, the monsoon in Chicago, & say he’ll be much more effective at home vs Seattle – a team that is coming off of their ‘Super Bowl’ win on Monday night vs Wilson’s Broncos. DFS Army has Lance projected for 19.28 Fantasy points and one of the highest Fantasy Points Per Dollar at .71

Running Backs

Saquon Barkley $32

We nailed Saquon being underpriced last week at $18, and after he crushed his salary with 30.40 Fantasy Points, Yahoo responded by raising his price to $32. He’s now priced right behind Taylor and CMC… as he should be. Barkley not only got the volume that we were looking for with 18 rushing attempts and 7 passing targets, but he looked explosive in doing so. He looked like the Saquon that we remember before the injuries started piling up. With Barkley being $6 cheaper than CMC and Taylor, I’m going right back to him in Cash games. He has a slightly higher Fantasy Points per Dollar projection at .56 while Taylor and CMC come in at .54 and .50, respectively.

Joe Mixon $28

I like Mixon at a little bit of salary relief off of Barkley. He had 27 rush attempts and 9 targets in week 1 so the volume is exactly what you want, and the Bengals are in a perfect bounce back spot going against the Cooper Rush led Cowboys in what figures to be a positive game script for Mixon to get a lot of carries again.

Antonio Gibson $18

14 rushing attempts and 8 targets in week 1 is enough volume for Gibson to have plenty of opportunities to score vs the Lions who gave up 4 rushing touchdowns last week. At $18, Gibson projects as one of the highest Fantasy points per dollar backs on the slate at .73 and a DFS Army projection of 13.08 points.

Darrell Henderson $18

Henderson is a good play for me based on Cam’s lack of usage. We thought Cam Akers was fully recovered from his Achilles injury and yet he hardly played at all. Henderson, on the other hand, got 13 rushing attempts and 5 targets vs Buffalo. The Rams are heavy 10 favorites against Atlanta so it favors to be a positive game script and Hendeson might be a bit underpriced as his 14.09 DFS Army projection has him projected as one of the top Fantasy Points Per dollar plays at .78.

Wide Receivers

Cooper Kupp $40

Kupp had no Super Bowl hangover as he followed up his dominant 2021 campaign with another big game to open the season and a 36% target share. No word yet on if Allen Robinson is eating at the table with Stafford and Kupp but we know Kupp will continue to eat and he’s always going to be a consideration in all formats, and especially your Cash games. He’s DFS Army’s highest projected WR on the slate and priced appropriately at $40 on Yahoo.

Davante Adams $36

No Rodgers, no problem. That was the story for Adams during week 1 of the season as he was reunited with his old college teammate and rewarded with a stunning 50% target share in the offense. His 25 points were more than enough for you in cash games last week and honestly there was a lot more on the table if Carr played a better game. This is the highest projected game on the slate, so it’s no surprise that with Adam’s talent and volume, that DFS Army has him projected to score 18.42 points.

Michael Pittman Jr. $31

Pittman was another player that smashed his salary last week and this is why we saw a price increase of $8. We may sigh a little bit as we put a pricier Pittman Jr. into our lineups again this week but honestly, he could rise to the mid $30s and still be playable with his 25% target share and elite week 1 production of 121 yards and a touchdown. I like him as a cash game consideration again this week.

Amon-Ra St. Brown at $23

The group think with Amon-Ra St. Brown this offseason was one of the most toxic things I’ve seen and certainly it was more of a redraft discussion in regard to ADP. As far as DFS goes, Amon-Ra St. Brown has the kind of usage that we look for in our Cash games. His 32% target share is elite and very good for a receiver priced at only $23 on Yahoo. The game vs Washington has a 48.5 point team total and a 1.5 point spread, so it’s shaping up like a back and forth affair.

Christian Kirk $17

The newly signed Kirk got a 31% target share in Jacksonville’s offense during week 1 and is really priced well on Yahoo considering his elite target share. Kirk’s DFS Army projection of 11.79 points is exactly what you’re looking for in cash games from a player priced at only $17. You’ll need 1-2 players priced like Kirk if you wish to pay up for studs like Barkley and Adams.

Tight Ends

Mark Andrews $28

Bateman and Duvernay got all the Touchdowns last week, but Andrews had the highest target share at 25%. I’ll follow the volume for one of the best tight ends in the game. I like him to bounce back this week and so does the field as he projects to be the highest owned Tight End with Kelce being absent from the main slate. His DFS Army projection of 12.47 points is highest on the main slate.

Zach Ertz $17

If Ertz plays, he could see a lot of usage as he already scored a Touchdown and 2-point conversion in the Cardinals opener vs the Chiefs. This is the highest projected game on the slate and I’ll certainly have exposure to Ertz in stacks – he’s also playable in all formats given his salary and upside.

Pat Freiermuth $12

Freiermuth’s 10 targets in Week 1 were second in target share at 25% only behind Diontae Johnson. I prefer pay downs at tight end and defense with those positions having the highest variance so I’ll glady slide Freiermuth’s $12 salary into my lineup at his usage.

DST

Cincinatti Bengals $16

Dallas didn’t look good and now their starting QB is injured and going to miss some time. The Bengals lost a game they should have won & the defending AFC Champs are looking to bounce back. This sets up for the 7-point favorite Bengals to sit on a lead and force the Cowboys to take shots as they’re playing from behind. As far as pay up options go, I like Cincinatti the best this week.

New York Jets $10

In cash games, normally I look to pay down at DST by finding a team in a decent matchup and eating as much chalk as I can. Jacoby Brissett is a backup QB starting games simply because Watson is suspended. Backup caliber QBs normally aren’t going to sling it all over the field and turn the ball over at a higher rate when forced to. I’ll take my chances on the minimally priced Jets this week vs the Browns this week as they’re currently the third highest projected team from an ownership standpoint.

Tournament Stack of the Week

Russell Wilson & Jerry Jeudy.

Stack Price: $48 of $200 Salary.

Stack Projected Ownership: 19.75%

When I look at stacks to target, I’m looking for games and team stacks that I think may go under owned relative to their actual value. I’m also keeping ceiling and pricing in mind. Are the stacks affordable in my lineup constructions?

The Broncos are coming off of a dud that is to be expected as Wilson didn’t play in any preseason games with his new teammates and was obviously going to be a bit rusty and emotional as he went into a hostile environment to play against his former team.

The coaching mistakes were plentiful as well and I think they’ll look to bounce back thru the air this week. Denver has a 26.5-point team total at home against Houston, and I like stacking Wilson with Jeudy more as we saw these two connect already for a long touchdown in Week 1 and Jeudy comes in at a $5 discount from Sutton with an identical 17% target share.

However, I’ll be stacking this a few different ways with both team stacks and game stacks as there are a lot of affordable stacking options. Bring back options with Cooks are in play here for me too.

Top Leverage Plays

When we look at Leverage plays, we’re looking for low owned players who have the ability to go off and gain us leverage against the field to climb up the leaderboards.

Tom Brady at 4%

Brady hasn’t played well in games against New Orleans and that’s probably keeping people off of him and his receivers this week. If the field is off of Brady, I’ll take some chances stacking him in a game where there’s a lot of stackable pieces on both sides of the ball.

Jeff Wilson Jr. at 8%

I have a hard time believing that he’ll stay at such low ownership but he’s the likely starter with Mitchell out and he’s pretty low priced at $16 for a RB who is likely to get the bulk of the carries against a Seattle team that gave up over 5 yards per carry to Denver last week.

Antonio Gibson at 8%

He was in DFS Army’s VIP RapidFireXD’s winning Milli Maker lineup last week at under 10% ownership, and here he is again coming in with low projected ownership; Maybe because Swift is in that same game and you generally don’t play 2 RBs in the same game but I’ll take some shots with Gibson at his pricing and ownership.

James Robinson at 3%

James Robinson had people questioning whether or not he was human last week as he looked fully recovered from his Achilles injury.  He’s underpriced and projected as under owned for his ability so I’ll have some exposure to him in tournaments with his upside.

Tee Higgins at 8%

He had a concussion last week so if he plays, he’s a full go as we won’t have to worry about a lingering injury like we would with an ankle or hammy. In a game where Cincy is heavily favored, I like the idea of Burrow team stacks with Higgins at low ownership.

Michael Pittman Jr. at 8%

If the field doesn’t like Pittman’s rise in pricing and he’ll be under owned, I’ll go right back to him in tournaments. He made another Million Dollar winner for DFS Army last week and if the field wants to fade him a bit, I’ll roll the dice with Pittman again this week in GPP’s.

Curtis Samuel at 5%

He had 4 rushing attempts, 11 targets, 70 yards, and a touchdown last week. He’s healthy and they’ll use him a lot as long as he is so I’m planning to ride with him at low ownership in tournaments.

Michael Thomas at 6%

He saw 25% target share last week on his way to 2 touchdowns and yet his ownership remains low like we’re scared of him being injured again. With his talent, usage, and ownership, this is the criteria I’m looking for in tournament plays.

Julio Jones at 7%

I’m liking the NO/ATL game more and more with stackable options coming in at low ownership. Julio looked good last week with 5 targets for 69 yards, and he could have more of a role with Godwin out. Of course, this hinges on Julio’s availability too as he hasn’t practiced this week. If not, I’ll have interest in Gage who practiced on Thursday.

I’ll be breaking down the Yahoo DFS slate every week of the NFL Season so be sure to give me a follow on twitter @FantasyFling and @ me with any of your questions regarding the Yahoo DFS Main Slate.

 

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