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Welcome to another year of the DFS Army MLB Full Count! You have to start your research somewhere, and oftentimes going game by game and breaking down every matchup and its key players is the first step in our process. My name is Mike aka @MadnessDFS on Twitter, make sure to give me a follow as I’ll occasionally make updates to the advice in the article out on Twitter as well as inside our coaching forums. With that said, let’s get it started!
Full Slate Breakdown Picks for MLB DFS 8/10:
Aug 9, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Rockies right fielder Randal Grichuk (15) celebrates his three run home run with first baseman C.J. Cron (25) the third inning against the St. Louis Cardinals at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
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Main MLB Slate Player Projections and Stacks:
Miami Marlins (+108) @ Philadelphia Phillies (-130)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
We’ll open up the slate with Sandy Alcantara heading into Philly to play this tough Phillies lineup. Alcantara has been great on the season however and has at least 46 FanDuel points in three of his last four games. This Phillies lineup is tough but Alcantara has enough of a strikeout rate at 23.3% to balance that out, and he’s no stranger to going deep into games. Noah Syndergaard will make his second start as a Philly in this one in a great matchup with the Marlins. He would probably be more of an SP2 guy for me on DraftKings than a single pitcher site, but I do like streaming pitching against the Marlins.
MIA 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Jesus Aguilar, Garrett Cooper, Joey Wendle
GPP Note: The Marlins just aren’t a good enough team for me to like here.
PHI 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Kyle Schwarber, Rhys Hoskins, Alec Bohm, Darick Hall
GPP Note: I’m fine with one-offs, but I don’t want to stack against Alcantara.
Toronto Blue Jays (-152) @ Baltimore Orioles (+128)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
The Jays will send Jose Berrios to the mound in a solid enough spot in Baltimore which has turned into a pitcher’s park this season. Baltimore has been pesky with their bats however which has given some pitchers some fits. Not to mention, Berrios is coming off of a rough start against the Twins where he went just 3.2 innings and gave up five earned runs. I do still think he’s in play as a secondary option at the very least on this slate. Dean Kremer will start for Baltimore and is coming off of a nice start last time out against Pittsburgh, but I’m not trotting him out against the Jays in this one.
TOR 5-star plays: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
4-star plays: Bo Bichette, Alejandro Kirk, Teoscar Hernandez
GPP Note: The Jays look solid here, no issue stacking them up.
BAL 5-star plays: Cedric Mullins
4-star plays: Adley Rutschman, Terrin Vavra, Anthony Santander
GPP Note: If you think Berrios continues to struggle I guess you can talk yourself onto a Baltimore stack, but they’d be more of a mini-stack team for me.
Cleveland Guardians (-180) @ Detroit Tigers (+150)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
The Guardians will send Aaron Civale to the mound who is coming off of the IL to make his first start since the middle of July. I do like the matchup with Detroit, but I would imagine he’s on some sort of pitch count and I don’t think he’s all that great, to begin with, so I think we can do better on this slate. The Tigers will send Drew Hutchison and is another guy that I don’t entirely want to get too crazy on here, so I’ll likely exclude him as well. Hutchison has a 4.37 ERA and an xERA of 5.34 on the season, so he’s due for some regression making the Guardians look pretty good here.
CLE 5-star plays: Jose Ramirez, Andres Gimenez
4-star plays: Steven Kwan, Josh Naylor, Oscar Gonzales
GPP Note: I like the Guardians a good amount here against Hutchison.
DET 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Riley Greene, Javier Baez
GPP Note: I don’t like Civale on the other side of this one, but I don’t exactly love this Tigers offense either.
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Atlanta Braves (-150) @ Boston Red Sox (+125)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
Kyle Wright will start for the Braves in a tougher matchup with this Boston team on the road. He’s been solid this season with a 3.25 ERA and a 23.5% strikeout rate on the season. I’d leave him for tournaments simply due to the matchup, but no issue getting to him if that’s where you land. The Red Sox will send Nick Pivetta to the mound in a really tough matchup with this Braves lineup. Pivetta has really struggled this season and a matchup with this Atlanta lineup isn’t going to help him get back on track, I’ll leave him out of my pitching pool.
ATL 5-star plays: Ronald Acuna Jr., Matt Olson, Austin Riley
4-star plays: Dansby Swanson, William Contreras, Michael Harris
GPP Note: I love the Braves in this spot with guaranteed 9th-inning at bats.
BOS 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Rafael Devers, Tommy Pham, Alex Verdugo, Xander Bogaerts
GPP Note: More of a mini-stack team, I don’t love stacking against Kyle Wright.
Chicago White Sox (-142) @ Kansas City Royals (+120)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
Johnny Cueto will get the start for the Sox in a great matchup against the Royals in this one. Cueto has thrown at least seven innings in four of his last five starts but just isn’t the best for DFS due to a low strikeout rate at just 16.6% on the season. This game isn’t on FanDuel, but I don’t like the price tag on him on DraftKings considering his ceiling. Kris Bubic will start for the Royals and has been sneaky good as of late with at least 15.9 DraftKings points in four straight games. I do still think this White Sox stack is firmly in play, but noteworthy that he hasn’t been as bad as one might think.
CHW 5-star plays: Luis Robert, Eloy Jimenez
4-star plays: Jose Abreu, Andrew Vaughn, AJ Pollock
GPP Note: I like a full White Sox stack here, another team with guaranteed 9th-inning at bats.
KCR 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: MJ Melendez, Bobby Witt Jr., Salvador Perez
GPP Note: Just one-offs, I don’t want to stack against Cueto right now.
Texas Rangers (+265) @ Houston Astros (-333)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
The Rangers will send Glenn Otto to the mound in this one and probably isn’t a guy I want to get a whole lot of. He is coming off of an excellent start against the White Sox, but the Astros just don’t feel like a great matchup for him and is still carrying a 5.31 ERA on the season. Justin Verlander will take the mound on the other side of this one and looks like a great option in all formats on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He has at least 25.7 DraftKings points in five straight starts to go along with a 1.73 ERA and a 25.5% strikeout rate… he’s an elite option tonight.
TEX 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Corey Seager
GPP Note: I don’t see a reason to stack against Verlander.
HOU 5-star plays: Yordan Alvarez, Kyle Tucker
4-star plays: Jose Altuve, Trey Mancini, Alex Bregman
GPP Note: I would be okay with an Astros stack against Otto here.
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St. Louis Cardinals (-167) @ Colorado Rockies (+140)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
Onto Coors Field we go as Jose Quintana will try and get the team back on track after a terrible start by Miles Mikolas last night. I just don’t see a reason to get to him in DFS… he doesn’t have enough talent for me to overlook the fact that they’re in Coors. The Rockies will start Kyle Freeland and is another guy that I’d probably have interest in if this was an away game, but he has a 5.55 ERA at home this season compared to a 3.53 ERA on the road, we can safely avoid both of these pitchers and go right back to the bats in this one.
STL 5-star plays: Paul Goldschmidt, Nolan Arenado
4-star plays: Tyler O’Neill, Paul DeJong, Tommy Edman, Dylan Carlson
GPP Note: The Cardinals are a top stack on the slate.
COL 5-star plays: CJ Cron
4-star plays: Charlie Blackmon, Jose Iglesias, Randal Grichuk, Brendan Rodgers, Connor Joe
GPP Note: I like the Cardinals slightly more, but the Rockies still look good here.
Pittsburgh Pirates (+135) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (-161)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
The Pirates will send Mitch Keller to the mound in a fine matchup with the Dbacks on the road. Keller has a quality start in five straight games but isn’t a huge strikeout guy which hurts his upside. I do still think he’s viable as an SP2… but not a guy I’ll go crazy on here, the Dbacks offense could be sneaky. Arizona will send Madison Bumgarner to the mound in a very nice matchup with the Pirates. That said, he’s been pretty terrible as of late being held to under three DraftKings points in three of his last four games. I don’t see a reason to go here either, we can afford to be picky on this slate with our pitching.
PIT 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Kevin Newman, Bryan Reynolds, Oneil Cruz
GPP Note: Meh… I don’t really want to stack the Pirates.
ARI 5-star plays: Alek Thomas, Ketel Marte
4-star plays: Josh Rojas, Daulton Varsho, Christian Walker
GPP Note: I think the Dbacks could be really sneaky here, especially the 1-5 of this lineup, and then throw in Carson Kelly if you need to fill your catcher position.
Minnesota Twins (+145) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (-175)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
The Twins will send Sonny Gray to the mound in a tough spot with the Dodgers here. Gray has at least 17.7 DraftKings points in three straight starts since hitting a bit of a pothole but seems to be back to where he was. That said, I rarely target pitching against the Dodgers, so I don’t see myself getting to him here. The Dodgers will start Ryan Pepiot here who has vastly different price tags on DraftKings compared to FanDuel. He is $10.3k on DraftKings whereas on FanDuel he’s more than $4k cheaper at $6.2k. FanDuel seems to have just dropped the ball a bit here, he’s an elite spend-down option over there but probably not a guy I’ll get to at his DraftKings price. He has a 26.8% strikeout rate on the season and is a good real-life pitcher as well as DFS, but not sure I want to go over $10k on him.
MIN 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Byron Buxton, Carlos Correa, Luis Arraez, Jorge Polanco
GPP Note: Probably more of a mini-stack team for me.
LAD 5-star plays: Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman
4-star plays: Trea Turner, Will Smith
GPP Note: I’ll never talk you off of a Dodgers stack to round the slate out.