Get your MLB DFS research started with DFS Army’s Full Count! Pitching advice, stack strategy, home run calls, and everything you need.
Welcome to another year of the DFS Army MLB Full Count! You have to start your research somewhere, and oftentimes going game by game and breaking down every matchup and its key players is the first step in our process. My name is Mike aka @MadnessDFS on Twitter, make sure to give me a follow as I’ll occasionally make updates to the advice in the article out on Twitter as well as inside our coaching forums. With that said, let’s get it started!
Full Slate Breakdown Picks for MLB DFS 7/23:
Jul 15, 2022; San Francisco, California, USA; Milwaukee Brewers starting pitcher Brandon Woodruff (53) reacts after walking a San Francisco Giants batter and loading the bases during the third inning at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports
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Main MLB Slate Player Projections and Stacks:
Miami Marlins (-114) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (-105)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
We’ll open up the day with Max Meyer hitting the road and getting a nice matchup in Pittsburgh in this one. Meyer didn’t look great last time out against the Phillies but has shown some nice strikeout upside in the minors this season… I suppose you can make a case for him in tournaments if you want to get whacky with your SP2. Jose Quintana will start for the Pirates in a nice matchup at home against the Marlins. He’s been much better at home this season with a 3.02 ERA compared to a 5.22 ERA on the road, so if you were going to get to him, this would be the spot. I just don’t think he gives us a ton of upside.
MIA 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Garrett Cooper, Jesus Aguilar, Avisail Garcia
GPP Note: I don’t want to stack a bad offense in a bad ballpark.
PIT 5-star plays: Oneil Cruz
4-star plays: Kevin Newman, Ke’Bryan Hayes
GPP Note: Pretty similar for the Pirates, if anything they’d be a mini-stack team.
New York Yankees (-237) @ Baltimore Orioles (+195)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
Gerrit Cole will take the mound for the Yankees and looks like an elite option in all formats against this Baltimore team on the road. Cole has at least 58 FanDuel points in back-to-back games and has a 32.9% strikeout rate on the season. This Baltimore team can be pesky, but Cole should have no issue with them here. Jordan Lyles will start for Baltimore in a scary spot against a home run-hitting team, generally, Lyles’ kryptonite is the home run ball. His HR/9 has come down a bit from the past couple of seasons to 1.25, but still a guy I like targeting, so the Yankees stack will look great here.
NYY 5-star plays: Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton
4-star plays: Anthony Rizzo, Matt Carpenter, DJ LeMahieu
GPP Note: The Yankees are a top stack on the slate for me in this one.
BAL 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Cedric Mullins, Adley Rutschman
GPP Note: Just one-offs, I’ll have a lot of interest in Cole here.
Colorado Rockies (+235) @ Milwaukee Brewers (-283)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
It sounds like Jose Urena gets a revenge game against the team that waived him earlier this season. DraftKings has German Marquez listed as the starter, but I’m pretty sure this sets up for Urena, so just keep an eye on the confirmed lineup when it comes out. Urena really hasn’t been all that terrible as of late giving up just three runs in three starts with Colorado, with two of them coming in Coors Field. That being said, he has a 2.05 ERA and an xERA of 4.87 on the season… so I’m going to bank on some regression here and get a lot of the Brewers. Speaking of the Brewers, they’ll send Brandon Woodruff to the mound who will look like a great SP option in all formats. He had a rough outing last time out against San Francisco, but anytime we can get this Rockies offense out of Coors Field I’ll have an interest. He has a 30.2% strikeout rate on the season and gives us nice upside if you can’t quite get up to Cole as your SP1.
COL 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Kris Bryant
GPP Note: I’ll have more Woodruff here than anything from the Rockies.
MIL 5-star plays: Christian Yelich, Rowdy Tellez
4-star plays: Willy Adames, Andrew McCutchen, Hunter Renfroe, Kolten Wong
GPP Note: I like the Brewers stack quite a bit here.
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Tampa Bay Rays (-120) @ Kansas City Royals (+103)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
Luis Patino will get the start for the Rays in a nice matchup with the Royals on the road. That being said, he won’t make my pitching pool due to the form he’s shown us this season. He returned from injury last time out and struggled against Baltimore, I would rather him just prove it to me before I go back to him. Brady Singer will get the ball for the Royals and really hasn’t been all that terrible as of late, he has at least 15.6 DraftKings points in four of his last five games. I don’t love the matchup with a pesky Rays team, but I could be talked into him as an SP2 option if you’re desperate.
TBR 5-star plays: Brandon Lowe
4-star plays: Yandy Diaz, Randy Arozarena, Isaac Paredes, Josh Lowe
GPP Note: I think the Rays look pretty good here, I do wish Wander Franco was in there though.
KCR 5-star plays: Bobby Witt Jr.
4-star plays: MJ Melendez, Whit Merrifield, Andrew Benintendi
GPP Note: More of a mini-stack team but the top of the lineup is pretty nice.
San Diego Padres (+131) @ New York Mets (-154)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
Blake Snell will get the start for the Padres on the road against the Mets. He’s going to be more of a tournament guy for me in this spot against the Mets who are a top-six team in scoring this season. Snell has a huge ceiling but a non-exist floor as we’ve seen over his last handful of games where he’s been held under 10 DraftKings points in three of five with 28.5+ DraftKings points in the other two games, so it’s a rollercoaster. It’s going to come down to whether or not he has his command going for him here. Chris Bassitt will start for the Mets against a Padres team that really doesn’t scare me all that much, so I do think he’s in play here. He’s been really solid this season with a 24.9% strikeout rate on the season.
SDP 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Manny Machado, Luke Voit, Jake Cronenworth
GPP Note: I don’t love this Padres team and/or the matchup, so more of a mini-stack if you really want to go there.
NYM 5-star plays: Starling Marte, Francisco Lindor, Peter Alonso
4-star plays: Mark Canha, JD Davis, Eduardo Escobar
GPP Note: I like taking a chance on the Mets here against a pitcher who has struggled with his command.
Cleveland Guardians (+151) @ Chicago White Sox (-177)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
Konnor Pilkington will get the start for the Guardians in a tougher matchup against this White Sox team. The White Sox will be a bit watered down with Luis Robert hitting the IL, but the lineup still looks good here and Pilkington won’t be a guy I want to get much of here. Lance Lynn will take the mound for Chicago and is another guy that hasn’t been great as of late. He has a 7.50 ERA on the season but has an xERA of 4.55, so there is some positive regression coming. I don’t hate taking a flyer on him as an SP2 considering the other options in that range.
CLE 5-star plays: Jose Ramirez
4-star plays: Josh Naylor, Andres Gimenez, Franmil Reyes
GPP Note: More of a mini-stack team than anything for me.
CHW 5-star plays: Tim Anderson, Jose Abreu
4-star plays: Yoan Moncada, Andrew Vaughn, Eloy Gimenez
GPP Note: I like the White Sox a good amount on this slate.
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San Francisco Giants (+150) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (-178)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
The Giants will send Alex Wood to the mound in a tough matchup with the Dodgers. He’s been pretty solid as of late with at least 35 FanDuel points in back-to-back games, I just don’t think we need to force him in a matchup with Los Angeles. I do like Julio Urias on the other side of this one, however. He has at least 25.3 DraftKings points in three of his last five games and this Giants team doesn’t scare me anywhere near as much as the Dodgers lineup does. He has a 24.3% strikeout rate on the season, I wish he had more of a leash to go deeper into the game, but he’ll look great here nonetheless.
SFG 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Darin Ruf, Austin Slater, Wilmer Flores
GPP Note: One-offs only.
LAD 5-star plays: Mookie Betts, Trea Turner
4-star plays: Justin Turner, Will Smith, Freddie Freeman
GPP Note: I don’t love stacking against Wood so they’re more of a secondary stack for me than anything.
Los Angeles Angels (+177) @ Atlanta Braves (-215)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
The Angels will send Patrick Sandoval to the mound in a really tough matchup with a hard-hitting Braves lineup, he won’t make my pitching pool tonight. The Braves lineup is just too good, I don’t want to pick on pitching against them. The Braves will start Kyle Wright in a really nice matchup with a Mike Trout-less Angels lineup. Wright has been solid with a 2.95 ERA and a 23.9% strikeout rate on the season, I have no issue with him as an SP1 or a more expensive SP2.
LAA 5-star plays: Shohei Ohtani
4-star plays: Taylor Ward
GPP Note: Just one-offs for me here, this lineup isn’t very good.
ATL 5-star plays: Ronald Acuna Jr., Austin Riley
4-star plays: Dansby Swanson, Matt Olson, Adam Duvall, Michael Harris, William Contreras.
GPP Note: You can stack this Braves lineup any way you want, they’re a great stack tonight.
Washington Nationals (+130) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (-154)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
Anibal Sanchez will get the ball for the Nats here and won’t be a guy that makes my pitching pool here. He has a 7.20 ERA on the season… yes, it’s just one start, but he’s well past his prime. Arizona will send Madison Bumgarner to the mound in a nice matchup with a weak Nats lineup. That being said, Bumgarner isn’t who he used to be either, he doesn’t give us the strikeout upside I’m looking for in a pitcher, so he’s another guy that won’t make my player pool.
WAS 5-star plays: Juan Soto
4-star plays: Nelson Cruz, Josh Bell
GPP Note: I don’t hate a mini-stack of both of these teams due to the pitching matchups, but the lineups aren’t good enough for me to want to fully stack them.
ARI 5-star plays: Ketel Marte
4-star plays: Josh Rojas, Alek Thomas, Daulton Varsho
GPP Note: I don’t hate a mini-stack of both of these teams due to the pitching matchups, but the lineups aren’t good enough for me to want to fully stack them.
Texas Rangers (-133) @ Oakland Athletics (+113)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
We’ll round out this slate with Taylor Hearn taking the mound in a great matchup against this Oakland lineup on the road in Oakland which plays well to pitchers. Hearn isn’t a great pitcher but looked solid last time out against the Mariners. I think we can find other options in this price range but I can’t blame you if you land on him against this A’s team. Oakland will send James Kaprielian to the mound who has nosedived from last season’s production. The strikeout rate is floating right around 15% and the ERA is pretty true around 5.09… so not a guy that I want to get to here either.
TEX 5-star plays: Corey Seager, Marcus Semien
4-star plays: Nate Lowe, Adolis Garcia
GPP Note: I don’t have an issue with the Rangers here against Kaprielian.
OAK 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Ramon Laureano
GPP Note: Meh, I just don’t like this lineup.
