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Welcome to another year of the DFS Army MLB Full Count! You have to start your research somewhere, and oftentimes going game by game and breaking down every matchup and its key players is the first step in our process. My name is Mike aka @MadnessDFS on Twitter, make sure to give me a follow as I’ll occasionally make updates to the advice in the article out on Twitter as well as inside our coaching forums. With that said, let’s get it started!
Full Slate Breakdown Picks for MLB DFS 6/20:
Jun 15, 2022; New York City, New York, USA; Milwaukee Brewers starting pitcher Corbin Burnes (39) reacts after allowing a solo home run to New York Mets second baseman Jeff McNeil (not pictured) during the fourth inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
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Early MLB Slate Player Projections and Stacks:
Miami Marlins (+145) @ New York Mets (-175)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
We’ll start with the lone early game on the day, so if you’re looking to play this one you’ll have to do so in a showdown format. Trevor Rogers will start for the Marlins against a Mets team with a 4.6 implied run total. Rogers has regressed big time from last season and has given up 11 earned runs over his last three games. You’ll still probably want to get to him on DraftKings just because pitchers are king in showdown slates, but a Mets stack isn’t out of the question by any means. David Peterson will start for the Mets in a nice matchup against a weak-hitting Marlins team. Peterson has been fairly decent this season but is coming off of a down start last time out against the Brewers. He has a 20.5% strikeout rate on the season and is a guy that looks good on showdown slates.
MIA 5-star plays: Jon Berti
4-star plays: Jorge Soler, Avisail Garcia, Garrett Cooper
GPP Note: Peterson is my preferred pitching option in this game, but you’ll obviously need to get to some bats here due to this being a one-game slate, so there are definitely some pieces we can get to.
NYM 5-star plays: Franciso Lindor, Starling Marte
4-star plays: Peter Alonso, JD Davis, Mark Canha, Brandon Nimmo
GPP Note: The Mets are my preferred stack in this game against Rogers who has struggled this season.
Main MLB Slate Player Projections and Stacks:
Chicago Cubs (-106) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (-110)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
Onto the main slate where Caleb Kilian will head into Pittsburgh in a nice matchup against a weak-hitting Pirates team. He struggled big-time against the Padres last time out in what turned out to be a wind game in Wrigley. He also struggled with his command in that one, so I don’t see a reason to get to him in this spot even in a good spot. JT Brubaker will start for the Pirates in this one, he’ll look like a fine secondary SP2 option… he has at least 12.5 DraftKings points in four of his last five games.
CHC 5-star plays: Willson Contreras
4-star plays: Christopher Morel, Patrick Wisdom
GPP Note: Brubaker is interesting on this slate, but I do like some of these Cubs bats if you want to get a mini-stack going.
PIT 5-star plays: Bryan Reynolds
4-star plays: Ke’Bryan Hayes, Dan Vogelbach
GPP Note: I like the matchup with Kilian, but this lineup gets really bad toward the bottom of the lineup, so more of a mini-stack team for me here.
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New York Yankees (-131) @ Tampa Bay Rays (+110)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
Gerrit Cole will get the start for the Yankees in this one and will look like one of the best pitching options on the slate. He has at least 49 FanDuel points in three of his last four games and gets an elite matchup against a Rays team that is still without Brandon Lowe and Wander Franco. Cole has a 30.6% strikeout rate on the season and will be a guy I like in all formats. We should get a pretty good pitchers duel here with Shane McClanahan on the other side of this one. He gets a much worse matchup against this Yankees lineup, but he’s been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season. We saw him in this matchup last time out and he went six innings with seven strikeouts, he’ll look like a nice tournament option.
NYY 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Josh Donaldson
GPP Note: I like McClanahan a good amount as a pitcher, but there are some guys on the Yankees that mash lefties that I’ll still have some exposure to here.
TBR 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Randy Arozarena
GPP Note: I’ll have more interest in Cle than anything in this Rays lineup.
Detroit Tigers (+160) @ Boston Red Sox (-190)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
Alex Faedo will get the start for the Tigers in a really tough matchup against this Red Sox team. He’s coming off of a rough start against the White Sox as well, I don’t think we need to get cute with Faedo as a pitching option in this one with Boston coming in with a 5.6 implied run total. Josh Winckowski will get the ball for the Red Sox on the other side of this one. He looked good last time out against the A’s and is someone I think we can at least make a case for as a value SP2 option. It doesn’t come without risk, but if you have an expensive stack and still want to get to one of those higher-end pitchers, it makes sense.
DET 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Javier Baez, Robbie Grossman, Riley Greene
GPP Note: I just don’t think this Tigers team is very good, so one-offs only for me.
BOS 5-star plays: Rafael Devers, JD Martinez
4-star plays: Jarren Duran, Xander Bogaerts, Trevor Story, Alex Verdugo
GPP Note: Boston is looking like a top stack on this slate.
San Francisco Giants (+130) @ Atlanta Braves (-157)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
The Giants will send Logan Webb to the mound in this one in a tough matchup with the Braves. Webb is coming off of a big game last time out against the Royals but I don’t know that I want to force him against this Braves lineup. He’s definitely in play for tournaments at the very least with his 21.2% strikeout rate, but the Braves lineup is a bit too scary for me to get too crazy on Webb here. Max Fried will start for the Braves and looks like a solid option in all formats. He has at least 20.1 DraftKings points in three of his last four games and the Giants aren’t an overly great hitting team.
SFG 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Mike Yastrzemski, Wilmer Flores, Austin Slater
GPP Note: I don’t want to stack against Fried, but there are some fine one-off options here.
ATL 5-star plays: Ronald Acuna Jr.
4-star plays: Austin Riley, Matt Olson, Dansby Swanson
GPP Note: Same story here, I don’t really want to stack against Webb, but this Braves lineup is obviously a top tier lineup.
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St. Louis Cardinals (+147) @ Milwaukee Brewers (-175)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
The Cardinals will send Miles Mikolas to the mound here and feels REALLY cheap considering the form he’s in. He’s gone at least eight innings in back-to-back games and was one out away from a no-hitter last time out. The Brewers lineup has struggled this month, so I have no issue with him as an SP2 option or even your SP1 on FanDuel. Corbin Burnes will be his mound opponent and is another guy that has been in good form as well. Burnes has a 32.1% strikeout rate on the season and will look like a nice option in all formats even in a tougher matchup with the Cardinals.
STL 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Paul Goldschmidt, Nolan Arenado
GPP Note: I don’t see a reason to stack against Burnes.
MIL 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Christian Yelich, Rowdy Tellez
GPP Note: Same story here, I don’t see a reason to stack against Mikolas.
Toronto Blue Jays (-126) @ Chicago White Sox (+106)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
Jose Berrios will take the mound for the Blue Jays and has been really good as of late with at least 40 FanDuel points in three straight games, with a quality start in each of those games. He’ll look like a good option in all formats again here even against a pretty good White Sox lineup. Speaking of the White Sox, they’ll send Lance Lynn back out there after a rough return from the IL. That being said, he still threw 88 pitches which was the important thing for me. His price tag on both sites is really nice and will make sense as a value option on FanDuel or an SP2 option on DraftKings.
TOR 5-star plays: Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette
4-star plays: George Springer, Teoscar Hernandez
GPP Note: I’ll have some interest in Lynn as a pitching option here, but this Jays lineup is certainly stackable if Lynn starts to gain ownership.
CHW 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Luis Robert, Jose Abreu, Andrew Vaughn
GPP Note: I’ll probably have more Berrios than anything on this White Sox lineup.
Kansas City Royals (+165) @ Los Angeles Angels (-196)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
Kris Bubic will start for the Royals in this one and probably won’t be a guy I think we need to get to here. The Angels carry a nice 5.4 implied run total here and Bubic has an 8.36 ERA on the season. The Angels stack will look pretty nice here. Noah Syndergaard will start for the Angels in a nice matchup with the Royals who don’t exactly have the best lineup in the league. Syndergaard has been solid enough as of late and makes sense as a value option at pitcher if you need him in that Lance Lynn territory of pitching.
KCR 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Whit Merrifield, Bobby Witt Jr., Salvador Perez
GPP Note: Syndergaard could get some loving on this slate, so if he starts to gain a lot of ownership I do like the Royals as a leverage stack.
LAA 5-star plays: Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani
4-star plays: Taylor Ward, Jared Walsh
GPP Note: The Angels look like a top stack on this slate.
Arizona Diamondbacks (+145) @ San Diego Padres (-176)
Implied Run Totals:
Rundown:
We’ll round out the slate with Zach Davies heading into a revenge game with his old squad in San Diego. Davies has been sneaky good as of late with at least 17.3 DraftKings points in three straight games and looks like a decent value option on this slate in the Syndergaard and Lynn range. The Padres will likely be without Machado here as well which makes the matchup even better. Then the Padres will send Yu Darvish to the mound in a nice matchup with the Diamondbacks. He’s been great as of late as well with at least seven innings pitched in three straight games and 28.8 DraftKings points in back-to-back games.
ARI 5-star plays: None
4-star plays: Daulton Varsho, Alek Thomas
GPP Note: More interest in Darvish than anything from the Dbacks.
SDP 5-star plays: Jake Cronenworth
4-star plays: Luke Voit, Jurickson Profar
GPP Note: The Padres are fine here, but if you think Davies keeps cruising I could see going with him over this lineup.
