NHL DFS Tournament Picks and Strategy | Snipes, Grinders, and Hard Passes Projections for Fanduel and Draftkings 5/4/22

DFS NHL is a volatile sport centering around correlation, stacking and game theory.  Learning how to win cash games and tournaments requires nailing those great upside plays/stacks, grabbing obvious value, and making the proper fades that sink everyone else’s ships.  Let’s look through today’s slate and identify those winning picks in “Snipes, Grinders, and Hard Passes!”

All of my plays make sense for the entire DFS industry; however, if there is an egregious discrepancy in player salary between sites, I will mention it in my briefing.

Snipe = Good Play
Grinder = Value Plays (Grinders are Valuable)
Hard-Pass = I’m fading in tournaments

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DFS NHL Slate Overview:

Playoff time baby. Remember, certain teams are star driven and it will remain that way for some teams like the Leafs and Oilers; however, a lot of teams will rely on an entire team effort with random goals getting chipped in from role players. The playoffs are a greasier and tougher game with stingier defenses, with home ice mattering more than you’d think (These arenas get loud). If you are just gambling on hockey and not watching the games, I highly suggest flicking these game on when chilling out, they are wonderful.

Strategies change in minor ways as series go, with the home team getting the final line-change on offensive zone faceoffs playing a factor. Biggest takeaways of this particular slate is that Edmonton cannot lose their 2 home games against the Kings, same for the Wild against the Blues. I expect a response from the Lightning, but Toronto is simply a wagon; and, Carolina/Boston is a complete guess.

Snipes and Hard Passes for Tonight

Correlated Snipe #1

Auston Matthews – Mitch Marner – Michael Bunting

Matthews and Marner tore the Lightning up in game 1 with 3 total goals, as well as being everywhere on the ice. Michael Bunting is slotted back on their line, and is expecting to return in game 2; which simply gives the Leafs another element. This series could get intense after the violent ending to the game 1 pounding the Leafs put on the Lightning. Matthews is a beast in general, and can score from anywhere; all while being a big strong athlete and holding his own physically. Mitch Marner has a lot to prove this post-season, as he was the star in Toronto that disappeared last year and took a lot of crap on social media. Marner is too talented to shy away this year, and the Leafs will need their big money studs to perform in order to advance. I am confident in Marner, and he broke his playoff scoring drought in game 1. Don’t let the Vasilevskiy save percentage after playoff losses scare you; trust me, as a CBJ fan, I am telling you, he is human.

 

Apr 26, 2022; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Maple Leafs forward Auston Matthews (34) celebrates after scoring his 60th goal of the season during the third period against the Detroit Red Wings at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

 

Correlated Snipe #2

Kirill Kaprizov – Mats Zuccarello – Ryan Hartman

The Wild are all in this year given the Marc-Andre Fleury trade at the trade deadline. The Wild will be in cap hell next year, and they have the firepower on this current roster to scare teams in the playoffs. With them getting embarrassed in game 1 at home, I expect the building to be rocking, the players to be cracked out of their minds, and I expect the coaches to play their best players as much as possible to get this win. With some cheap-shots thrown in this game, the Wild are going to have to answer the bell physically as well. I expect a big effort from the Wild, which hopefully results in their horses producing.

 

If you want to freshen up your 2021-22 cash and tourney strategy skills, read “How to Win DFS NHL in 2022.”

Hard Pass

Blues

The Blues have like eight 20 goal scorers this regular season, so they are tough to predict; and, in Minnesota (who has a stout defense), with Marc-Andre Fleury, is a bit of a fade for me when Toronto and Edmonton are playing. Wild are also desperate. Sure, Perron had a hat-trick in game 1, but those are very rare in the playoffs.

 

NHL Cheatsheets

Save research time with our easy-to-read NHL Cheatsheets! Core plays, tourney leverage, correlated stacks, and extreme goalie plays set up your night differently than your competition.

NHL Grinder Value Plays

Grinder #1

Taylor Hall – Way too cheap and Boston is desperate. Hall loves firing the frozen biscuit and living with the results. Didn’t he win the Hart Trophy once?

Grinder #2

Ryan O’Reilly – Too cheap for the former Conn Smythe winner. That is all.

 

 

Good luck, I hope you all come in 2nd.  😉

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