DFS NHL is a volatile sport centering around correlation, stacking and game theory. Learning how to win cash games and tournaments requires nailing those great upside plays/stacks, grabbing obvious value, and making the proper fades that sink everyone else’s ships. Let’s look through today’s slate and identify those winning picks in “Snipes, Grinders, and Hard Passes!”
All of my plays make sense for the entire DFS industry; however, if there is an egregious discrepancy in player salary between sites, I will mention it in my briefing.
Snipe = Good Play
Grinder = Value Plays (Grinders are Valuable)
Hard-Pass = I’m fading in tournaments
DFS NHL Slate Overview:
Playoff time baby. Remember, certain teams are star driven and it will remain that way for some teams like the Leafs and Oilers; however, a lot of teams will rely on an entire team effort with random goals getting chipped in from role players. The playoffs are a greasier and tougher game with stingier defenses, with home ice mattering more than you’d think (These arenas get loud). If you are just gambling on hockey and not watching the games, I highly suggest flicking these game on when chilling out, they are wonderful.
Strategies change in minor ways as series go, with the home team getting the final line-change on offensive zone faceoffs playing a factor. 3 game 7’s and it is going to be crazy; just sit back and don’t leave the couch, because this is rare, and everything good about sports. Anything can happen in a game 7, so take everything I say with a grain of salt.
Snipes and Hard Passes for Tonight
Correlated Snipe #1
Auston Matthews – Mitch Marner – Michael Bunting
Matthews and Marner tore the Lightning up in game 1 with 3 total goals, as well as being everywhere on the ice. Michael Bunting is slotted back on their line, and has been on their line since game 2; which simply gives the Leafs another element. Matthews is a beast in general, and can score from anywhere; all while being a big strong athlete and holding his own physically. Mitch Marner has a lot to prove this post-season, as he was the star in Toronto that disappeared last year and took a lot of crap on social media. Marner is too talented to shy away this year, and the Leafs will need their big money studs to perform in order to advance. I am confident in Marner, and he broke his playoff scoring drought in game 1. Coach Keefe is going to give Matthews and Marner all they can handle in regards to ice time in a do or die game, and at home; Toronto will be buzzing.
Apr 26, 2022; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Maple Leafs forward Auston Matthews (34) celebrates after scoring his 60th goal of the season during the third period against the Detroit Red Wings at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
Correlated Snipe #2
Leon Draisaitl – Connor McDavid – Kailer Yamamoto
These 3 were united in game 6 where the Oilers stayed alive, and these 3 put up some real offense. McDavid and Draisaitl playing all game together is a great thing for the Oilers as well as us fantasy players. Don’t overthink this, the Oilers will be playing a ton of their top 2 players in a do or die game 7; it also helps that they are in Edmonton who have looked forward to this for some time.
If you want to freshen up your 2021-22 cash and tourney strategy skills, read “How to Win DFS NHL in 2022.”
Hard Pass
None
watch all the game 7’s, I expect the Canes/Bruins to have the least amount of goals.
Save research time with our easy-to-read NHL Cheatsheets! Core plays, tourney leverage, correlated stacks, and extreme goalie plays set up your night differently than your competition.
NHL Grinder Value Plays
Grinder #1
Taylor Hall – Way too cheap. Hall loves firing the frozen biscuit and living with the results. Didn’t he win the Hart Trophy once?
Grinder #2
Martin Necas – Important young player for the Canes, loves to shoot the puck, 2ns line with Trocheck/Teraveinen.
Good luck, I hope you all come in 2nd. 😉
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