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MLB DFS Baseball PrizePicks Strategy Player Picks for 5/25/2022

Similar to MLB DFS, there are going to be player lines that stand out on every slate. One big difference is that you are betting against the house and not other users. Therefore, pick the most favorable over/unders to build the best entry.

Hello DFS Army fans! I am William and am super excited to be a part of the MLB staff this season. Feel free to call me Will and you can find me @wlin018 on Twitter. These articles are written many hours before lock so the lines could change. The lines will be adjusted as people place bets or the player could be removed from the board. To find the most up-to-date player lines with the best edge, check out our MLB Prizepicks Tool. This tool is included as part of our VIP subscription which you can get your first month for free by signing up and depositing on PrizePicks! There is even another bonus which you will find at the end of this article…

PrizePicks MLB Plays for Tonight…

May 19, 2022; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Rich Hill (44) throws a pitch against the Seattle Mariners in the first inning at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

Rich Hill Under 24.5fpt

BOS @ CHW

The Rich Hill and Tanner Houck tandem is on tonight. It seemed like Hill was going to start pitching deeper into games. However, he went only 2 innings last time out against the Mariners giving up 4 earned runs. The amount of innings Hill pitches all depends on how well he is pitching. If he gets into trouble, Houck will be warming up. This is a better matchup for Houck as the White Sox rank 2nd in wRC+ against LHPs this season compared to 28th against RHPs. Chicago will be without Luis Robert but they have dealt with players in and out of the lineup all year. This number is too high when there is a much higher chance than the other SPs today that he could go just 2 or 3 innings. White Sox should be stacking their lineup with righties. Hill only has an 18.3% k rate this season.

 

Darin Ruf O 5.5fpt

SF vs NYM

The Mets are starting lefty Thomas Szapucki. There are reports that when he made his debut last season, he pitched hurt. Now he gets another call up to the majors. San Francisco loves to platoon. Darin Ruf always starts against LHPs. He use to be a platoon player but has played more of a full-time role this season. The Giants have been dealing with lots of injuries. They are getting healthier so Ruf’s role could be less secure. However, the Giants recently placed Brandon Belt on the IL. Ruf’s hitting numbers indicate that he deserves to hit against RHPs too. Today, he will get the platoon advantage against Szapucki. A 5.5 projection just seems too low. He should see 4 at-bats hitting at the top of this Giants lineup.

 

Cristian Javier U 17.5o

HOU vs CLE

Javier started the season in the bullpen as a middle reliever. He is being used as a starter now. Javier has only went over 17.5 pitching outs once this season. That one time was his last start against the Rangers. His pitch counts are usually in the mid-80s. He was able to throw 91 pitches last start. Maybe this means he will be able to go deeper going forward but that remains to be seen. The Guardians are a pesky team. They have the 5th highest wRC+ against RHPs this season. They only strike out 18.9% of the time which is tied for the lowest k rate in the entire league. Cleveland will make it tough for pitchers when they get into 2 strike counts by fouling everything off to stay alive. This will drive up Javier’s pitch count making it tough to go 6 innings.

 

Connor Joe Under 7.5fpt / Under 1.5h+bb

COL @ PIT

The Rockies are playing in Pittsburgh. This is a significant ballpark downgrade for the offense. PNC Park suppresses right-handed power. Joe is not a hard-hit, power hitter anyway. Zach Thompson has the ballpark working in his favor. He has a 7.6% walk rate to RHBs. I lean towards taking the fantasy points because Joe does not have the extra-base hit power. More times than not, he is not going to homer in this ballpark. If he gets on base, his teammates have to deal with the same ballpark. Runs have been at a premium this series and they should be once again today. A 7.5 projection is too high when Joe is usually at this number when he is playing at home and sometimes even with the platoon advantage.

 

Drew Rasmussen U 5.5k

TB vs MIA

Rasmussen has been a solid starter for the Rays this season. However, he is not exactly a strikeout pitcher. He has a 22.4% k rate this season. He struck out 7 against the Tigers and 9 against the Mariners. Other than these two starts, he has went under 5.5. The Marlins rank 18th in strikeout rate against RHPs at 21.7%. This number is probably 1 strikeout too high. Rasmussen has a 5.3% walk rate and gets through innings pretty easily. This game is at home in Tampa Bay. Rasmussen usually pitches 5 innings. He would need more than 1 strikeout an inning. Miami does have a 115 wRC+ against RHPs which ranks 7th so Rasmussen could deal with some trouble today.

 

Just missed the cut: MIA/TB NRFI, Cron U 7.5fpt

 

Final MLB PrizePicks Thought

Remember, ownership is not a factor here. Simply, pick the best lines available.

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